104 Bryant Dr · Perry, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 5-bedroom, 3.5-bath home, ready to welcome the right family. This versatile property also offers excellent potential as an investment opportunity. Features include a durable, long-lasting metal roof and a walk-in jetted tub.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1967
- Listed 55 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (6.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.5% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tucker Elementary School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 470 students, 84% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Perry High School (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #84 of 424 statewide, top 20%, 1,478 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 46% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 472 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.30%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $283,884
- List price
- $219,900
- Delta
- -22.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Farmland Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,936 (+5%) | 2mo | $349,500 | $181 | 86 |
| 214 Farmland Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 2,003 (+9%) | 2mo | $370,268 | $185 | 80 |
| 1102 Jewell Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (-4%) | 4mo | $204,000 | $115 | 59 |
| 411 Gordy St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (-9%) | 16mo | $200,000 | $119 | 50 |
| 120 Bramblewood Way | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,756 (-5%) | 8mo | $295,339 | $168 | 46 |
| 906 Washington St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 2,045 (+11%) | 11mo | $277,499 | $136 | 38 |
| 405 Otter's Ridge Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,766 (-4%) | 18mo | $302,900 | $172 | 38 |
| 113 Osidian Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (-10%) | 21mo | $294,366 | $177 | 32 |
| 202 Hill Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,578 (-14%) | 23mo | $259,900 | $165 | 31 |
| 902 Washington St | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,066 (+12%) | 10mo | $310,500 | $150 | 31 |
| 106 Champagne | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,011 (+9%) | 23mo | $349,914 | $174 | 26 |
| 243 Overton Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,646 (-10%) | 24mo | $284,758 | $173 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-15,136
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $12,928
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31069
- Active inventory
- 472
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $676/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $448 | -5% $386 | +0% $323 | +5% $261 | +10% $199 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $161 | -5% $242 | +0% $323 | +5% $405 | +10% $486 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $434 | -0.5pp $379 | base $323 | +0.5pp $266 | +1.0pp $209 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1218 Creekwood Dr Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1218 Creekwood Dr Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 705 Evergreen St Perry, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1489 | $1,400 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 316 Julianne St Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2297 | $1,825 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1215 Macon Rd Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1768 | $1,700 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1304 Georgia Ave Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $3,500 | $2.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1304 Georgia Ave Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $3,500 | $2.36 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 304 Christopher Luke Cir Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $2,095 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $219,900 Pending 55 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $219,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $219,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-13$219,900 Active 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Nice 5-bedroom, 3.5-bath home, ready to welcome the right family. This versatile property also offers excellent potential as an investment opportunity. Features include a durable, long-lasting metal roof and a walk-in jetted tub.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $676 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,023 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,347/yr (+$112/mo · 199.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$676
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,974
- − Management
- −$1,974
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable income
- $239
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$57
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #9757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Perry, GA
- County
- Houston County · 157,321 people
- City population
- 22,953
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,953
- Household income
- $74,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 666.0
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.01%
- Current HPI
- 240.9327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $219,900 CGMLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $676 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…