10632 Azalea Dr · Bastrop, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 bedroom 1 bathroom in Morehouse. Seller has done some of the work for you! Warm colors mixed with rustic modern accents throughout the home, open floor plan, tile floors for durability, kitchen bar for afternoon snacks and so much more! Outside you will find mature trees and an open patio for entertaining family and friends. With your own personal touch you can make this house your home! Call you real estate professional for a showing!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Kitchen bar
- Tile floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#425 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
- Morehouse Parish (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in LA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Morehouse Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morehouse County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $90k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.41%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,626
- List price
- $89,500
- Delta
- -5.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $10,705
- Equity at exit
- $16,957
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $40,364
- Equity at exit
- $14,089
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71220
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,139 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $606/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $343
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,500 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $89,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $90,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom 1 bathroom in Morehouse. Seller has done some of the work for you! Warm colors mixed with rustic modern accents throughout the home, open floor plan, tile floors for durability, kitchen bar for afternoon snacks and so much more! Outside you will find mature trees and an open patio for entertaining family and friends. With your own personal touch you can make this house your home! Call you real estate professional for a showing!
-
2026-04-15price $95,900 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom 1 bathroom in Morehouse. Seller has done some of the work for you! Warm colors mixed with rustic modern accents throughout the home, open floor plan, tile floors for durability, kitchen bar for afternoon snacks and so much more! Outside you will find mature trees and an open patio for entertaining family and friends. With your own personal touch you can make this house your home! Call you real estate professional for a showing!
-
2026-03-11$98,000 Active 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom 1 bathroom in Morehouse. Seller has done some of the work for you! Warm colors mixed with rustic modern accents throughout the home, open floor plan, tile floors for durability, kitchen bar for afternoon snacks and so much more! Outside you will find mature trees and an open patio for entertaining family and friends. With your own personal touch you can make this house your home! Call you real estate professional for a showing!
-
2026-01-13price $98,000
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2025-10-25price $100,000
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2025-09-26$105,000 Active
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2025-05-20price $120,000
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2025-02-04$125,000 Active
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2023-01-05soldstatus $51,475
-
2022-08-29soldstatus $50,000
-
2022-08-26soldstatus Closed
-
2022-08-12status Pending
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2022-07-29status Active
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2022-04-26$59,900 Active
-
2014-11-26soldstatus $65,000
-
2009-01-29soldstatus $71,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $606 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $606 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$606
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,094
- − Management
- −$1,094
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $2,812
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$675
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,439/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morehouse Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201110
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,482
- Composite
- 11.46/100
- National rank
- #9704
- State rank
- #83 of 98 in LA
Livability — Bastrop
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #25547
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,426
Population outlook (Morehouse County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,631 people
- By 2030
- 22,114 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 19,203 · -18.7%
- By 2050
- 16,698 · -29.3%
- By 2075
- 11,998 · -49.2%
- By 2100
- 8,622 · -63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (51%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
Political lean MEDSL · Morehouse
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.7% · R 59.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+11.4 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.3272
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+25.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $90,000 NELABOR
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $95,900 NELABOR
- 2026-03-11 Listed $98,000 NELABOR
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $98,000 NELABOR
- 2025-10-25 Price Changed $100,000 NELABOR
- 2025-09-26 Listed $105,000 NELABOR
- 2025-05-20 Price Changed $120,000 NELABOR
- 2025-02-04 Listed $125,000 NELABOR
- 2023-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $51,475 Public Records
- 2022-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-26 Sold (MLS) — NELABOR
- 2022-08-12 Pending — NELABOR
- 2022-07-29 Relisted — NELABOR
- 2022-04-26 Listed $59,900 NELABOR
- 2014-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2009-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $71,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2024): $606 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…