618 Walnut Ave · Norfolk, NE 68701

$79,900

1 bd · 2.0 ba · 478 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market

Built 1948

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.9/30.0
• DSCR +9.3/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.5/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.8/10.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Built 1948
• Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
• Home design: Single-family residential
• Construction: Frame construction; Cement siding
• Exterior features: Asphalt roof

Interior

• Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
• Interior features: Gas water heater; Forced air heating

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($917 rent vs $80k).
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.2% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#54 in NE, #2,611 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Norfolk Public Schools (town): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #84 of 111 in NE (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 230 active listings in the ZIP; 270 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $45k; list at $80k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.15% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.92%
• DSCR: 1.53
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.07×
• Total profit: $1,475
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.92×
• Total profit: $20,622
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Nebraska: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 68701

• Rents YoY: 3.3%
• Active inventory: 230
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $917 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax from tax record: −$50 /mo · $596/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$192
• Net cashflow: $222

Break-even live

Break-even rent $635

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $267	-5% $245	+0% $222	+5% $200	+10% $177
Rent	-10% $150	-5% $186	+0% $222	+5% $258	+10% $295
Rate	-1.0pp $262	-0.5pp $243	base $222	+0.5pp $201	+1.0pp $180

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-12
   status $79,900 Pending 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   listed $79,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $596 · $50/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,382 · $115/mo
• Expected delta: +$786/yr (+$66/mo · 132.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,000
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$596
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$880
• − Management: −$880
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $1,444
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$347
• After-tax cash flow: $2,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Norfolk Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 3174430
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $46,579
• Composite: 38.31/100
• National rank: #4227
• State rank: #84 of 111 in NE

Livability — Norfolk

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #54
• US rank: #2611

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Norfolk, NE
• County: Madison County · 31,417 people
• City population: 31,417
• Metro: Norfolk, NE
• Population (ZIP): 31,417
• Household income: $62,633
• Rent vs Own: 35.5% rent · 64.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 861.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 35,536 people
• By 2030: 35,518 · -0.1%
• By 2040: 35,170 · -1.0%
• By 2050: 34,606 · -2.6%
• By 2075: 34,522 · -2.9%
• By 2100: 34,307 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+56.0) · D 21.4% · R 77.4% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -39.2pp · 2024: -56.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+56.0 2020: R+53.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+48.1 2008: R+39.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -172.61%
• Current HPI: 260.5574
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.31%
• Metro: Norfolk, NE
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 0.68%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Conglomerate	1	$371B

Price history

+247.4% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-05 Listed $79,900 NNEMLS
• 2021-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
• 2006-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $596 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.