5813 Pacific Heights Rd #103 · Palermo, CA 95965

$83,500

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured public records · 681 Days on market

Built 1992 ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.4/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

FRESHLY PAINTED! This 3 bedroom Manufactured home in the Feather River Fairway Park (formerly Dingerville, USA) has been repaired and repainted and it looks like new! This is a Senior Park for those 55 and older, with an in-ground pool and it's own golf course, plus an RV park for your visitors. This manufactured home has a split floor plan, with the primary bedroom and bath separated from the other 2 bedrooms by the living area. The kitchen features newer appliances, an abundance of cupboard and counter space and a breakfast bar, plus there is a large dining area, with more storage. The laundry is just off the kitchen, and includes a washer and dryer. The front deck is a great place to rel

Key facts

• Split floor plan
• Newer appliances
• Large dining area

Tags

• DINGERVILLE GOLF COURSE
• SPLIT FLOOR PLAN
• NEWER APPLIANCES
• ABUNDANCE OF CUPBOARD
• LARGE DINING AREA
• DOUBLE-LENGTH CARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Rent (land lease) includes trash, pool, water, sewer; Access via paved county road
• Financial info: Land lease (park) applicable
• HOA & community: Senior community; Park name: Dingerville USA; Community features include golf course and fishing; foothills location; Manager approval required

Exterior

• Parking: Attached carport; Carport with 2 spaces; Driveway level parking; Total 2 parking spaces
• Utilities: Shared well water; Septic (type unknown); Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected
• Home design: Mobile home (Silverwood model); Double body type; Single-story; Entry at main level; Mobile remains on property; Mobile dimensions approximately 27' x 52'
• Construction: Composition roof; One shed structure
• Exterior features: Covered front porch; Front porch; Deck; In-ground community pool; Shed (1); No fencing; Level/flat lot; Sprinkler system with drip; Close to clubhouse; North-facing; Park has view

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Propane range; Dishwasher
• Bedrooms: Main floor primary bedroom; Main floor bedroom
• Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
• Bathrooms: One full bath on main floor; One 3/4 bath; Walk-in shower; Double sinks in master bath
• Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
• Interior features: Laminate counters; Formica counters; Ceiling fan; Double pane windows; Walk-in closet; Accessibility ramp at main level; One-level living (single story); Main floor primary bedroom; Main floor bedroom
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included; 220V outlet in laundry; Propane water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $84k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $875 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
• Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 3.8% in Palermo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 48/100 on livability (#1,219 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Palermo Union Elementary (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,149 of 1,400 in CA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $577 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 681 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $73,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 681 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 44.89%
• DSCR: 3.00
• GRM: 4.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $51,948
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5813 Pacific Heights Rd #126	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,357 (-3%)	2mo	$45,000	$33	86
5813 Pacific Heights Rd #135	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,296 (-8%)	10mo	$48,000	$37	72
5813 Pacific Heights Rd #125	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,440 (+3%)	22mo	$135,000	$94	70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 40.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.72×
• Total profit: $40,195
• Equity at exit: $12,450

10-year hold

• IRR: 46.5%
• Equity multiple: 5.23×
• Total profit: $98,809
• Equity at exit: $7,220

Cash invested: $23,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95965

• Home prices YoY: -31.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 167
• Price-to-rent: 4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,759 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$438
• Tax from tax record: −$43 /mo · $513/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$369
• Net cashflow: $875

Break-even live

Break-even rent $652

Max offer price $83,500

Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,875
• Closing costs: $2,505
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $83,500 Active 681 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $83,500 Active 680 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $83,500 Active 679 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $83,500 Active 678 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $83,500 Active 677 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $83,500 Active 675 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $83,500 Active 674 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $83,500 Active 672 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $83,500 Active 671 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $83,500 Active 670 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $83,500 Active 669 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $83,500 Active 666 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $83,500 Active 664 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $83,500 Active 663 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $83,500 Active 662 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $83,500 Active 661 DOM
17. 2024-11-07
    price $83,500
18. 2024-09-20
    price $86,500
19. 2024-08-07
    listed $89,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $513 · $43/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $635 · $53/mo
• Expected delta: +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 23.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 35 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,112
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,677
• − Property taxes: −$513
• − Insurance: −$418
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,689
• − Management: −$1,689
• − Depreciation: −$2,429
• Taxable income: $9,698
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,328
• After-tax cash flow: $8,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palermo Union Elementary
• NCES district ID: 0629540
• Math proficiency: 20% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $39,628
• Composite: 25.26/100
• National rank: #12903
• State rank: #1149 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Palermo

• Score: 48/100
• State rank: #1219
• US rank: #26161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Butte County · 175,030 people
• City population: 1,346
• Metro: Chico, CA
• Population (ZIP): 21,181
• Household income: $53,198
• Rent vs Own: 37.1% rent · 62.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 892.0

Population outlook (Butte County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 237,527 people
• By 2030: 243,804 · +2.6%
• By 2040: 253,899 · +6.9%
• By 2050: 262,561 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 283,709 · +19.4%
• By 2100: 282,689 · +19.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Hispanic / Latino 20% Asian 16% Two or more races 13% Black 3% Native American 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 19%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Russian 1%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada
• Languages at home: 75% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butte

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 49.9% · Other 3.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -146.76%
• Current HPI: 317.0277
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.88%
• Metro: Chico, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

-6.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2024-11-07 Price Changed $83,500 CRMLS
• 2024-09-20 Price Changed $86,500 CRMLS
• 2024-08-07 Listed $89,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $513 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.