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49 Mohican Path
B+ Composite 75.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

49 Mohican Path · Lehigh, PA 18424
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,204 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 2002 0.28 ac lot $47/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This could be your very own peaceful retreat away from all of the hustle and bustle of life. This newer home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, family room, large kitchen, one car garage, and plenty of outdoor space. It is conveniently located close to I84. Come see this unique property and you'll fall in love!, Beds Description: 2+Bed1st, Baths: 2 Bath Lev 1, Eating Area: Modern KT

Key facts

  • Private bath
  • Single-level living
  • 0.28 acre lot

Tags

POCONO RANCHLANDS COMMUNITYSINGLE-LEVEL LIVINGBRIGHT AND OPEN LAYOUTWELL-EQUIPPED KITCHENPRIVATE BATHCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Pocono Ranchettes subdivision on a private, privately maintained asphalt road (0.28 acre lot, R-1 residential zoning)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $561 (about $46.75/month); Association amenities include picnic area and playground; Association fee includes trash and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces total; 1-car garage; 3 open parking spaces; Driveway; Garage faces side; Off-site parking available
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; 200+ amp electric service
  • Home design: Single wide mobile home; House structure; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Raised and slab foundation; Brick skirt
  • Exterior features: Uncovered courtyard; Garden; Private yard; Storage; Deck; Barn(s); Chain link fencing in front and back yards; Many trees; Meadow; Native plants

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedroom count within rooms)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Tile counters; Ceiling fans; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.61%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.2%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$78,947
Equity at exit
$94,828
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
7.25×
Total profit
$209,961
Equity at exit
$191,914

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18424

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,529 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$47
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,012
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $477 -5% $443 +0% $409 +5% $375 +10% $341
Rent -10% $288 -5% $348 +0% $409 +5% $469 +10% $530
Rate -1.0pp $469 -0.5pp $439 base $409 +0.5pp $378 +1.0pp $346

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$47 · $564/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $119,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$885 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,390 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$505/yr (+$42/mo · 57.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,354
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,468
− Management
−$1,468
− HOA
−$564
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$3,164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$759
After-tax cash flow
$4,146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Pocono SD
NCES district ID
4217310
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,555
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1894
State rank
#82 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lehigh

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Pocono Springs, PA
Population (ZIP)
5,076

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,924 people
By 2030
46,191 · -3.6%
By 2040
42,815 · -10.7%
By 2050
39,873 · -16.8%
By 2075
34,556 · -27.9%
By 2100
28,358 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 6% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.45%
Current HPI
399.903
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+242.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $119,900 PMAR
  • 2018-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-15 Sold (MLS) $75,000 PWMLS
  • 2018-06-21 Listed $73,950 PWMLS
  • 2014-04-11 Listed $89,500 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 1990-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $885 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…