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10 Worthington Ave
D Composite 44.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

10 Worthington Ave · Geneva, NY 14456
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,328 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1900 2,325 sqft lot $105/sqft · at area comps Est $140k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike! Conveniently located near colleges, Seneca Lake, NYS Wine Trail, local coffee shops, parks, and other amenities, these properties are ideally positioned to attract and retain quality tenants. Spacious 2-story single family home offering over 1,300 sf with 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Ideal for comfortable family living or a strong addition to your investment portfolio. Well-maintained and thoughtfully cared for, providing a move-in ready or rent-ready opportunity!

Key facts

  • 2,325 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 62 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($258/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.0% in Geneva — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in NY, #2,760 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Geneva City School District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #528 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Street Elementary School (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,679 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 595 students, 75% FRL); Geneva Middle School (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #522 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 452 students, 68% FRL); Geneva High School (math 92% / reading 98%, grade A+, #93 of 1,100 statewide, top 10%, 613 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Geneva City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.66%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,479
List price
$139,900
Delta
-0.41%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5 Cortland St 0.10mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,440 (+8%) 5mo $189,900 $132 68
27 Dorchester Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,268 (-4%) 3mo $60,000 $47 65
98 William St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,464 (+10%) 7mo $87,000 $59 65
16 Goodelle Ter 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,344 (+1%) 1mo $142,500 $106 64
87 Madison St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-14%) 3mo $165,000 $144 62
47 Jefferson Ave 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,152 (-13%) 3mo $185,000 $161 61
100 William St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,512 (+14%) 7mo $145,000 $96 59
151 Hillcrest Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,352 (+2%) 3mo $246,500 $182 59
61 Tillman St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,416 (+7%) 7mo $159,000 $112 58
66 Milton St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,503 (+13%) 3mo $111,453 $74 57
89 Maple St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,449 (+9%) 8mo $241,000 $166 45
111 Lewis St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (+11%) 9mo $172,500 $117 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-21,112
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-15,855
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14456

Home prices YoY
-15.8%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,590 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$443 /mo · $5,310/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,563
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $101 -5% $61 +0% $22 +5% $-18 +10% $-58
Rent -10% $-104 -5% $-41 +0% $22 +5% $84 +10% $147
Rate -1.0pp $92 -0.5pp $57 base $22 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 Sheridan Park Unit 140 Geneva, NY 2.0 1.0 1045 $1,450 $1.39 4d 1 1.03mi
794 Pre Emption Rd Unit 9 Geneva, NY 2.0 1.0 1800 $1,700 $0.94 4d 1 1.19mi
794 Pre Emption Rd Unit 10 Geneva, NY 2.0 1.0 1750 $1,650 $0.94 4d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-05-08
    historical Active Under Contract 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike! Conveniently located near colleges, Seneca Lake, NYS Wine Trail, local coffee shops, parks, and other amenities, these properties are ideally positioned to attract and retain quality tenants. Spacious 2-story single family home offering over 1,300 sf with 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Ideal for comfortable family living or a strong addition to your investment portfolio. Well-maintained and thoughtfully cared for, providing a move-in ready or rent-ready opportunity!

  5. 2026-04-01
    listed $139,900 Active 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike! Conveniently located near colleges, Seneca Lake, NYS Wine Trail, local coffee shops, parks, and other amenities, these properties are ideally positioned to attract and retain quality tenants. Spacious 2-story single family home offering over 1,300 sf with 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Ideal for comfortable family living or a strong addition to your investment portfolio. Well-maintained and thoughtfully cared for, providing a move-in ready or rent-ready opportunity!

  6. 2026-01-23
    historical
  7. 2025-12-29
    price $140,000
  8. 2025-12-06
    listed $145,000 Active
  9. 2025-12-01
    historical
  10. 2025-11-10
    listed $165,000 Active
  11. 2025-09-02
    historical
  12. 2025-08-04
    listed $165,000 Active
  13. 2024-06-29
    historical $1,500
  14. 2024-06-05
    listed $1,500
  15. 2022-01-31
    soldstatus $130,000
  16. 2021-08-03
    historical
  17. 2021-08-01
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
  18. 2021-07-06
    listed $119,900 Active
  19. 2015-09-28
    historical
  20. 2015-01-14
    listed $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,310 · $443/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,310 · $443/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,078
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$5,310
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,526
− Management
−$1,526
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,891
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$454
After-tax cash flow
$712/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Geneva City School District
NCES district ID
3611970
Math proficiency
36% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$44,012
Composite
33.48/100
National rank
#5448
State rank
#528 of 590 in NY

Livability — Geneva

Score
78/100
State rank
#177
US rank
#2760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Geneva, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,864

Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,230 people
By 2030
111,401 · +0.2%
By 2040
109,535 · -1.5%
By 2050
104,895 · -5.7%
By 2075
92,999 · -16.4%
By 2100
73,723 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ontario

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.56%
Current HPI
307.9168
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+115.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $139,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-01-23 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $140,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-12-06 Listed $145,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-12-01 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $165,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-09-02 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-04 Listed $165,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-06-29 Rental Removed $1,500 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-06-05 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
  • 2022-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-03 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2021-08-01 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2021-07-06 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
  • 2015-09-28 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2015-01-14 Listed $65,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+19.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,310 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…