ABERNATHY Plan · Memphis, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$256,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 384 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active
- Financial info: List price $256,990
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Home design: New construction plan (ABERNATHY); Address: 104 Legend Ct, Eof2a4 Memphis, IN 47143
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,290
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Plan home (ABERNATHY)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $257k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($67/yr) — positive.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (2.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $219k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 5.1% in Memphis — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#164 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 911 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 384 days — a 12% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 384 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.10%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $248,970
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1026 Legend Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (0%) | 2mo | $239,990 | $186 | 96 |
| 1012 Legend Ct | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (0%) | 7mo | $229,991 | $178 | 94 |
| 1022 Legend Ct | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (0%) | 6mo | $229,991 | $178 | 91 |
| 2066 Derby Way | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (0%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $182 | 88 |
| 1023 Legend Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (0%) | 10mo | $249,991 | $194 | 87 |
| 2016 Derby Way | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,257 (-3%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $183 | 84 |
| 13825 Deerfield | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,298 (+1%) | 7mo | $249,900 | $193 | 73 |
| 14025 Deerfield Ct | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,238 (-4%) | 8mo | $254,900 | $206 | 72 |
| 1205 Sir Barton Ct | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (+10%) | 16mo | $281,990 | $199 | 64 |
| 5706 Greenland Pass | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+14%) | 8mo | $264,900 | $180 | 59 |
| 13954 Deer Run Trce Lot 425 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+14%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $204 | 48 |
| 13961 Deer Run Trce Lot 401 | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+14%) | 7mo | $299,900 | $204 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-39,955
- Equity at exit
- $37,122
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-34,201
- Equity at exit
- $21,526
Cash invested: $69,712 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47143
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,185 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$311 /mo · $3,735/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $6
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,242
- Closing costs
- $7,469
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $256,990 Active 384 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $256,990 Active 383 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $256,990 Active 382 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $256,990 Active 381 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $256,990 Active 379 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $256,990 Active 376 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $256,990 Active 375 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $256,990 Active 374 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $256,990 Active 373 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $256,990 Active 369 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $256,990 Active 368 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $256,990 Active 367 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $256,990 Active 366 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,946
- − Property taxes
- −$3,735
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,098
- − Management
- −$2,098
- − Depreciation
- −$7,243
- Taxable loss
- −$4,143
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$994
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,061/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Memphis
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #164
- US rank
- #7848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Memphis, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,775
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 126,401 people
- By 2030
- 131,455 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 140,471 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 147,677 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 161,702 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 164,078 · +29.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% American 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 38.9% · R 59.3% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.3pp toward R · 2008: -7.1pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+18.3 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+9.9 2008: R+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.60%
- Current HPI
- 184.1286
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…