4124 8th Ct · Seminole Manor, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MOTIVATED SELLER! Welcome to your next home in the highly sought-after community of Maralago Cay! This well-maintained 3bed/2bath modular home offers comfort, space & convenience. Built in 2004, this property has been cared for and is move-in ready, coming partially furnished for your added convenience. Enjoy a bright and open floor plan featuring a spacious kitchen, a large primary suite with a private bath, and generously sized guest bedrooms. Step outside to relax on your covered screened patio, perfect for morning coffee or evening gatherings. Maralago Cay is a 55+ community, lot rent of $1398 w/ several amenities, pool, gated security, on-site RV/Boat/Trailer storage & a pr
Key facts
- Private bath
- Gated security
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Carport with 2 covered spaces; 2 open parking spaces
- Security: Security guard; Phone/intercom entry; Gated (no guard)
- Utilities: Well water; Three-phase electric; Cable available; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Entry level living area; North-facing
- Construction: Modular construction; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s); Stacked bedroom layout; Partially furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#711 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Starlight Cove Elementary School (math 40% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,684 of 2,144 statewide, top 79%, 737 students, 77% FRL); Tradewinds Middle School (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #468 of 571 statewide, top 82%, 912 students, 74% FRL); Santaluces Community High (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 2,675 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 435 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 435 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 77.05%
- DSCR
- 4.43
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.64×
- Total profit
- $89,513
- Equity at exit
- $13,106
- IRR
- 82.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.96×
- Total profit
- $220,591
- Equity at exit
- $7,600
Cash invested: $24,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33462
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 383
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,769 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$110 /mo · $1,318/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$582
- Net cashflow
- $1,580
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,975
- Closing costs
- $2,637
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6411 Birch Ln Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4091 Plumbago Pl Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4350 Peregrine Way Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $3,119 | $3.04 | 2d | 18 | 0.44mi |
| 6040 Lace Wood Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,799 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3883 Island Club Cir W Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1308 | $2,400 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 423 Pine Tree Ct #23 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,300 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7132 Colony Club Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $2,884 | $2.65 | 2d | 14 | 0.70mi |
| 493 Forestview Dr Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1701 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7093 Middlebury Dr Unit 7093 Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $3,000 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4735 Blue Pine Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $3,500 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3327 Sapphire Rd Lake Worth, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1377 | $3,350 | $2.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3327 Sapphire Rd Lake Worth, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1377 | $3,400 | $2.47 | 11d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4648 Silver Saw Ln Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1718 | $3,300 | $1.92 | 11d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7398 Willow Springs Cir E Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,861 | $2.06 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6909 Blue Skies Dr Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1293 | $2,600 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4951 Mallory St Unit 4951 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1309 | $2,700 | $2.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4302 Colony View Dr Unit 4302 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1851 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4725 Via Bari Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1150 | $2,829 | $2.46 | 3d | 10 | 0.94mi |
| 4947 Grinnell St Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1309 | $2,850 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3771 Newport Ave Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $3,500 | $1.95 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4983 Pinemore Ln Unit 4983 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,900 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 712 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,400 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,895 | $2.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 316 Meadows Cir #316 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,100 | $2.28 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1120 Meadows Cir Unit 1120 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,980 | $2.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1205 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,900 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4259 Wood Ride Unit E Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,350 | $1.90 | 7d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5 Heather Trace Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $3,100 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7640 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7640 Forest Green Ln Unit 7640 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 11d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $2,200 | $2.78 | 15d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr #203 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,200 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1239 Sussex St Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,100 | $2.16 | 19d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1239 Sussex St Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,100 | $2.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7705 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $3,200 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7705 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $3,200 | $2.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6941 Boston Dr Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $3,399 | $2.23 | 20d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6941 Boston Dr Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $3,299 | $2.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4220 Grove Park Ln Unit 1 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,600 | $2.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,900 Active 435 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,900 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,900 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,900 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $87,900 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,900 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,900 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $87,900 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,900 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $87,900 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $93,999 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $93,999
-
2026-04-02price $98,999
-
2026-02-26price $104,999
-
2026-02-13status Active
-
2026-02-01historical
-
2026-01-01status Active
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-11-16price $109,000
-
2025-08-15price $124,900
-
2025-03-26$130,000 Active
-
2022-11-10$139,000 Active
-
2022-10-27historical
-
2022-09-07status Active
-
2022-09-07price $139,000
-
2022-04-27$145,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,230
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,924
- − Property taxes
- −$1,318
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,658
- − Management
- −$2,658
- − Depreciation
- −$2,557
- Taxable income
- $18,675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,482
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Seminole Manor
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #711
- US rank
- #15076
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,371
- Household income
- $73,997
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1852.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 14% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.48%
- Current HPI
- 361.5391
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-35.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $93,999 Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $98,999 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $104,999 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-01 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-16 Price Changed $109,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $124,900 Beaches MLS
- 2025-03-26 Listed $130,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-11-10 Listed $139,000 MCRTC
- 2022-10-27 Listing Removed — MCRTC
- 2022-09-07 Relisted — MCRTC
- 2022-09-07 Price Changed $139,000 MCRTC
- 2022-04-27 Listed $145,000 MCRTC
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…