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344 Keasbey St
B+ Composite 79.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$145,000

344 Keasbey St · Salem, NJ 08079
5 bd · None ba · 2,055 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1930 5,510 sqft lot Est $189k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 - 2Br Ranchers W/ Separate Entrances And Adjoining Door, Zoned As Single Family Home. 2 Full Baths, 2Nd Kitchen Listed As Laundry Room, Property Being Sold As-Is. Handyman Special. DRASTICALLY REDUCED!!!

Key facts

  • 5,510 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Ownership is Fee Simple; Property has a month-to-month existing lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Driveway fits 2 vehicles; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Hot water: Other
  • Home design: Detached structure; Single-family / one unit
  • Construction: Permanent foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch(es); Detached shed; Lot dimensions approximately 58 x 95

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring; No basement; 9 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $659 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,297/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $451 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-551 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $145k implies a 303% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
11.75%
Cash-on-cash
19.48%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$189,060
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
337 Craven Ave 0.22mi 5/2.0 2,205 (+7%) 9mo $306,000 $139 70
26 Olive St 0.32mi 4/1.0 (-1) 2,164 (+5%) 3mo $200,000 $92 69
334 Craven Ave 0.23mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,843 (-10%) 2mo $245,000 $133 65
320 Fenwick Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,958 (-5%) 18mo $190,000 $97 58
187 7th St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,929 (-6%) 3mo $67,000 $35 56
93 7th St 0.69mi 6/2.5 (+1) 2,042 (-1%) 8mo $183,000 $90 55
349 E Broadway 0.22mi 5/2.0 2,348 (+14%) 16mo $65,000 $28 53
216 N Union St 0.19mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,798 (-12%) 16mo $265,000 $147 52
6 Walnut St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,764 (-14%) 2mo $70,000 $40 44
35 Walnut St 0.55mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,278 (+11%) 9mo $180,000 $79 44
56 New Market St 0.59mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,240 (+9%) 15mo $50,000 $22 40
61 Eighth St 0.71mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,344 (+14%) 11mo $230,000 $98 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$35,283
Equity at exit
$39,368
10-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
3.50×
Total profit
$101,455
Equity at exit
$45,191

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,297 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$335 /mo · $4,021/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$659

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,463
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
270-272 Grant St Salem, NJ 4.0 1.0 1644 $2,100 $1.28 5d 1 0.54mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $145,000
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $150,000 Active
  17. 2016-03-24
    soldstatus $36,000
  18. 2010-01-14
    soldstatus $60,000
  19. 2002-02-28
    soldstatus $21,000 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    2 - 2Br Ranchers W/ Separate Entrances And Adjoining Door, Zoned As Single Family Home. 2 Full Baths, 2Nd Kitchen Listed As Laundry Room, Property Being Sold As-Is. Handyman Special. DRASTICALLY REDUCED!!!

  20. 2002-02-18
    historical 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    2 - 2Br Ranchers W/ Separate Entrances And Adjoining Door, Zoned As Single Family Home. 2 Full Baths, 2Nd Kitchen Listed As Laundry Room, Property Being Sold As-Is. Handyman Special. DRASTICALLY REDUCED!!!

  21. 2001-05-29
    listed $21,000 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    2 - 2Br Ranchers W/ Separate Entrances And Adjoining Door, Zoned As Single Family Home. 2 Full Baths, 2Nd Kitchen Listed As Laundry Room, Property Being Sold As-Is. Handyman Special. DRASTICALLY REDUCED!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,021 · $335/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,021 · $335/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,566
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$4,021
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,205
− Management
−$2,205
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$6,070
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,457
After-tax cash flow
$6,450/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+590.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 2010-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2002-02-28 Sold (MLS) $21,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-02-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-05-29 Listed $21,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,021 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…