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1800 Lakewood Ct #140
B- Composite 65.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1800 Lakewood Ct #140 · Eugene, OR 97402
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,809 sqft · Manufactured public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1989 $97/sqft · at area comps Est $170k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy modern updates and peaceful views in this refreshed manufactured home. Features include newer LVP flooring, painted cabinets, vinyl windows, and a newer roof. The open layout offers comfortable living, while the spacious deck overlooking the lake creates the perfect spot to unwind. A spacious shop adds valuable storage, workspace, or hobby potential. This home is move-in-ready and full of charm in a welcoming community.

Key facts

  • Vinyl windows
  • Painted cabinets
  • Newer roof

Tags

NEWER LVP FLOORINGPAINTED CABINETSVINYL WINDOWSNEWER ROOFSPACIOUS DECKOVERLOOKING THE LAKE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
  • Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Malabon Elementary School (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #309 of 412 statewide, top 77%, 346 students, 66% FRL); Cascade Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #108 of 128 statewide, top 89%, 342 students, 65% FRL); Willamette High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,516 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,266/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3142% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $175k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $164,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.99%
Cash-on-cash
16.78%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$169,635
List price
$175,000
Delta
3.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1800 Lakewood Ct #139 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-10%) 11mo $159,000 $98 68
1385 Taney St 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,053 (+14%) 3mo $379,999 $185 54
1343 Taft St 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,539 (-15%) 9mo $375,000 $244 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$12,070
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$53,864
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97402

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,266 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$685

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,398
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $784 -5% $735 +0% $685 +5% $636 +10% $586
Rent -10% $506 -5% $596 +0% $685 +5% $775 +10% $864
Rate -1.0pp $773 -0.5pp $730 base $685 +0.5pp $640 +1.0pp $594

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4057 Concord St Eugene, OR 4.0 1.0 1800 $2,000 $1.11 45d 1 0.51mi
3466 Royal Ave Eugene, OR 3.0 2.0 1604 $2,550 $1.59 22d 1 0.72mi
1642 Zoe Ave Eugene, OR 3.0 2.5 1395 $2,695 $1.93 22d 1 0.80mi
1846 Labona Dr Eugene, OR 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,500 $1.67 15d 1 0.93mi
128 Chase St Eugene, OR 2.0 1.5 1378 $1,895 $1.38 45d 1 1.18mi
2106 Golden Gardens St Eugene, OR 3.0 1.0 1410 $1,995 $1.41 45d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    price $175,000 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Enjoy modern updates and peaceful views in this refreshed manufactured home. Features include newer LVP flooring, painted cabinets, vinyl windows, and a newer roof. The open layout offers comfortable living, while the spacious deck overlooking the lake creates the perfect spot to unwind. A spacious shop adds valuable storage, workspace, or hobby potential. This home is move-in-ready and full of charm in a welcoming community.

  17. 2026-04-02
    listed $185,000 Active 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Enjoy modern updates and peaceful views in this refreshed manufactured home. Features include newer LVP flooring, painted cabinets, vinyl windows, and a newer roof. The open layout offers comfortable living, while the spacious deck overlooking the lake creates the perfect spot to unwind. A spacious shop adds valuable storage, workspace, or hobby potential. This home is move-in-ready and full of charm in a welcoming community.

  18. 2014-07-09
    soldstatus $57,500 Sold 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Lrg. 1989 Buckingham double wide of approx. 1809 sq ft. Exciting location right on the lake. Many upgrades regarding plumbing & appliances.

  19. 2014-07-01
    historical 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Lrg. 1989 Buckingham double wide of approx. 1809 sq ft. Exciting location right on the lake. Many upgrades regarding plumbing & appliances.

  20. 2014-06-30
    listed $63,000 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Lrg. 1989 Buckingham double wide of approx. 1809 sq ft. Exciting location right on the lake. Many upgrades regarding plumbing & appliances.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,698 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$328/yr (+$27/mo · 24.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,191
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,369
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,175
− Management
−$2,175
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$5,703
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,369
After-tax cash flow
$6,856/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethel SD 52
NCES district ID
4102040
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,860
Composite
22.62/100
National rank
#8066
State rank
#52 of 58 in OR

Livability — Eugene

Score
81/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#1587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime D- Employment C- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eugene, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
215,212
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
53,823
Household income
$57,658
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
3142.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -437.20%
Current HPI
298.1167
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $175,000 RMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $185,000 RMLS
  • 2014-07-09 Sold (MLS) $57,500 RMLS
  • 2014-07-01 Delisted RMLS
  • 2014-06-30 Listed $63,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,369 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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