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4139 County Road 24
D- Composite 38.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.2/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$219,000

4139 County Road 24 · Billingsley, AL 36006
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 266 Days on market
Built 2025 0.40 ac lot $156/sqft · 16% below area Est $262k · 16% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this charming energy efficient NEW CONSTRUCTION home in a peaceful setting! Discover modern comfort and country living in this 1400 sq ft home designed with both style and functionality in mind. This home offers open living space, quality finishes, metal roofing and the peaceful lifestyle you've been looking for. Step inside to an open concept floor plan with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, a spacious living area, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen complete with custom cabinets and plenty of counter space. With 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home provides room for family, guests, or a home office. Don't miss the chance to make this beautiful new home your own!

Key facts

  • 0.4 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2025

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-592 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (39.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (46.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (46.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 43/100 on livability (#560 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $116,673 (46.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.53%
Cap rate
3.05%
Cash-on-cash
-11.58%
DSCR
0.48
GRM
15.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$261,621
List price
$219,000
Delta
-16.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$81,602
Equity at exit
$197,293
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
5.40×
Total profit
$269,978
Equity at exit
$425,469

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36006

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
15.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax est. 1.5%
$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$-592

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,916
Max offer price $133,374
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,000 Active 266 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,000 Active 265 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 264 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,000 Active 263 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,000 Active 261 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,000 Active 260 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,000 Active 258 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,000 Active 257 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 256 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 255 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 251 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 250 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 249 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 248 DOM
  15. 2026-03-10
    price $219,000 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Come see this charming energy efficient NEW CONSTRUCTION home in a peaceful setting! Discover modern comfort and country living in this 1400 sq ft home designed with both style and functionality in mind. This home offers open living space, quality finishes, metal roofing and the peaceful lifestyle you've been looking for. Step inside to an open concept floor plan with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, a spacious living area, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen complete with custom cabinets and plenty of counter space. With 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home provides room for family, guests, or a home office. Don't miss the chance to make this beautiful new home your own!

  16. 2026-03-10
    status Active 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Come see this charming energy efficient NEW CONSTRUCTION home in a peaceful setting! Discover modern comfort and country living in this 1400 sq ft home designed with both style and functionality in mind. This home offers open living space, quality finishes, metal roofing and the peaceful lifestyle you've been looking for. Step inside to an open concept floor plan with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, a spacious living area, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen complete with custom cabinets and plenty of counter space. With 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home provides room for family, guests, or a home office. Don't miss the chance to make this beautiful new home your own!

  17. 2026-03-09
    historical 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Come see this charming energy efficient NEW CONSTRUCTION home in a peaceful setting! Discover modern comfort and country living in this 1400 sq ft home designed with both style and functionality in mind. This home offers open living space, quality finishes, metal roofing and the peaceful lifestyle you've been looking for. Step inside to an open concept floor plan with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, a spacious living area, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen complete with custom cabinets and plenty of counter space. With 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home provides room for family, guests, or a home office. Don't miss the chance to make this beautiful new home your own!

  18. 2025-10-29
    price $226,000 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Come see this charming energy efficient NEW CONSTRUCTION home in a peaceful setting! Discover modern comfort and country living in this 1400 sq ft home designed with both style and functionality in mind. This home offers open living space, quality finishes, metal roofing and the peaceful lifestyle you've been looking for. Step inside to an open concept floor plan with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, a spacious living area, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen complete with custom cabinets and plenty of counter space. With 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home provides room for family, guests, or a home office. Don't miss the chance to make this beautiful new home your own!

  19. 2025-09-23
    listed $231,000 Active 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Come see this charming energy efficient NEW CONSTRUCTION home in a peaceful setting! Discover modern comfort and country living in this 1400 sq ft home designed with both style and functionality in mind. This home offers open living space, quality finishes, metal roofing and the peaceful lifestyle you've been looking for. Step inside to an open concept floor plan with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, a spacious living area, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen complete with custom cabinets and plenty of counter space. With 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home provides room for family, guests, or a home office. Don't miss the chance to make this beautiful new home your own!

  20. 2025-09-09
    historical $231,000 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Come see this charming energy efficient NEW CONSTRUCTION home in a peaceful setting! Discover modern comfort and country living in this 1400 sq ft home designed with both style and functionality in mind. This home offers open living space, quality finishes, metal roofing and the peaceful lifestyle you've been looking for. Step inside to an open concept floor plan with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, a spacious living area, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen complete with custom cabinets and plenty of counter space. With 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, this home provides room for family, guests, or a home office. Don't miss the chance to make this beautiful new home your own!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,001
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$3,285
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,120
− Management
−$1,120
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$11,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,702
After-tax cash flow
$-4,399/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chilton County
NCES district ID
0100660
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,269
Composite
20.73/100
National rank
#8520
State rank
#94 of 129 in AL

Livability — Billingsley

Score
43/100
State rank
#560
US rank
#26875

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,028

Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,064 people
By 2030
43,694 · -0.8%
By 2040
42,168 · -4.3%
By 2050
39,667 · -10.0%
By 2075
31,397 · -28.7%
By 2100
21,319 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Chilton

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.71%
Current HPI
247.3399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $219,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-09 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $226,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $231,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-09-09 Coming Soon $231,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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