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21 W Bertsch St
A Composite 85.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$69,900

21 W Bertsch St · Lansford, PA 18232
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,346 sqft · Townhouse public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1905 1,306 sqft lot $52/sqft · 25% below area Est $93k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious home in a convenient central location--ready for its next chapter! Whether you're an investor or a new owner looking to make it your own, this property offers great potential and plenty of space to enjoy. Step through the front door into a large double living room, perfect for gatherings or flexible use. Continue into a bright dining area that opens to an inviting kitchen with electric range, refrigerator, and washer/dryer hookup. The back door leads to a deck--ideal for relaxing or dining outdoors on warm summer days. Upstairs you'll find a full bath, a generous front bedroom with ample closet space, and a rear bedroom with walk-in closet. The third floor offers two additional rooms awaiting your finishing touches. Offered at just $69,900--don't miss this opportunity! Call today for your private showing.

Key facts

  • Inviting kitchen
  • Double living room
  • Electric range

Tags

CENTRAL LOCATIONDOUBLE LIVING ROOMBRIGHT DINING AREAINVITING KITCHENELECTRIC RANGEDECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Oil hot water; 200+ amp electric service; Municipal trash service
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Finished above-grade area reported as 1,346 (assessor)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Asphalt roof; Building not winterized; Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 15 x 75 (estimated); No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level; Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Heating fuel: coal; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Full basement with interior access and outside entrance; Basement is unfinished; Living room; Dining room; Family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $614 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 9.5% in Lansford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#605 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, schools F, commute F.
  • Panther Valley SD (rural): math 14% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #477 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
16.84%
Cash-on-cash
37.67%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,757
List price
$69,900
Delta
-24.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 W Kline Ave 0.29mi 4/1.5 1,312 (-2%) 4mo $115,000 $88 77
120 W Abbott St 0.12mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,287 (-4%) 7mo $120,000 $93 76
343 W Kline Ave 0.35mi 4/1.0 1,394 (+4%) 8mo $65,000 $47 71
253 E Abbott 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,370 (+2%) 4mo $165,000 $120 69
108 W Bertsch St 0.10mi 4/2.0 1,508 (+12%) 5mo $115,000 $76 67
328 W Abbott St 0.34mi 4/1.5 1,455 (+8%) 3mo $127,000 $87 66
260 E Abbott St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,253 (-7%) 4mo $62,000 $49 64
45 Jones St 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,296 (-4%) 2mo $62,000 $48 60
217 E Ridge St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,170 (-13%) 2mo $145,000 $124 59
126 W White St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-0%) 6mo $115,000 $86 58
359 W Patterson St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,193 (-11%) 7mo $70,000 $59 52
31 Powell St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,170 (-13%) 5mo $120,000 $103 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.1%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$73,071
Equity at exit
$58,521
10-year hold
IRR
46.4%
Equity multiple
10.38×
Total profit
$183,613
Equity at exit
$121,749

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18232

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,445 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,572/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$614

Break-even live

Break-even rent $667
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $654 -5% $634 +0% $614 +5% $595 +10% $575
Rent -10% $500 -5% $557 +0% $614 +5% $672 +10% $729
Rate -1.0pp $650 -0.5pp $632 base $614 +0.5pp $596 +1.0pp $578

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
149 W Ridge St Unit 1B Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1654 $1,500 $0.91 20d 1 0.16mi
149 W Ridge St Unit 3A Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,650 $1.06 45d 1 0.16mi
10 Leisenring St Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1422 $1,100 $0.77 45d 1 0.61mi
546 E Kline Ave Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 4d 1 0.62mi
214 N Oak St Unit 2 Summit Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,250 $1.33 20d 1 0.81mi
214 N Oak St Unit 2 Summit Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,250 $1.33 45d 1 0.81mi
214 N Oak St Unit 2 Summit Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 4d 1 0.81mi
214 N Oak St Summit Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,250 $1.33 4d 1 0.81mi
215 E High St Coaldale, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 22d 1 1.06mi
151 E High St Coaldale, PA 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,200 $0.91 45d 1 1.10mi
126 E High St Coaldale, PA 4.0 1.5 1000 $1,200 $1.20 15d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    listed $69,900 Active 825-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $69,900 Active 825-char remark
    Show marketing remark (825 chars)

    Spacious home in a convenient central location--ready for its next chapter! Whether you're an investor or a new owner looking to make it your own, this property offers great potential and plenty of space to enjoy. Step through the front door into a large double living room, perfect for gatherings or flexible use. Continue into a bright dining area that opens to an inviting kitchen with electric range, refrigerator, and washer/dryer hookup. The back door leads to a deck--ideal for relaxing or dining outdoors on warm summer days. Upstairs you'll find a full bath, a generous front bedroom with ample closet space, and a rear bedroom with walk-in closet. The third floor offers two additional rooms awaiting your finishing touches. Offered at just $69,900--don't miss this opportunity! Call today for your private showing.

  3. 2026-05-07
    listed $69,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (825 chars)

    Spacious home in a convenient central location--ready for its next chapter! Whether you're an investor or a new owner looking to make it your own, this property offers great potential and plenty of space to enjoy. Step through the front door into a large double living room, perfect for gatherings or flexible use. Continue into a bright dining area that opens to an inviting kitchen with electric range, refrigerator, and washer/dryer hookup. The back door leads to a deck--ideal for relaxing or dining outdoors on warm summer days. Upstairs you'll find a full bath, a generous front bedroom with ample closet space, and a rear bedroom with walk-in closet. The third floor offers two additional rooms awaiting your finishing touches. Offered at just $69,900--don't miss this opportunity! Call today for your private showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,572 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,572 · $131/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,334
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,572
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,387
− Management
−$1,387
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$6,690
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,606
After-tax cash flow
$5,768/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Panther Valley SD
NCES district ID
4218450
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$36,914
Composite
20.31/100
National rank
#8613
State rank
#477 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lansford

Score
72/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#5834

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansford, PA
County
Carbon County · 13,404 people
City population
4,156
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
4,156
Household income
$44,713
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
123.0

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.12%
Current HPI
262.3396
Rent YoY
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-29 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $69,900 PMAR
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,572 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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