7433 Layton Dr · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 74.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Look at the value per square ft. Around 1,300 square ft of roaming space. Why rent when you can own for potentially less than rent. Double wide manufactured at Sunset Park. Formal dining, Kitchen Dining Room Combo. Carpet and Vinyl throughout. Clean and ready to move in. Fully Fenced Yard for your pets or children. There is a back deck to enjoy your BBQ days. Very close to Ft Bragg off of Rim Rd near Cliffdale Rd intersection.
Key facts
- Formal dining
- Back deck
- Close to ft bragg
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in SUNSET PK subdivision
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; Level topography
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters (kitchen)
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedrooms and living areas included)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
- Interior features: Laminate counters; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lewis Chapel Middle (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #424 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 578 students, 100% FRL); Seventy-First High (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,366 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 55% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 429 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.84%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,800
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7437 April Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (+1%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $117 | 70 |
| 836 Richardson Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,336 (+1%) | 12mo | $143,000 | $107 | 66 |
| 7433 April Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+3%) | 16mo | $164,000 | $121 | 58 |
| 1213 July Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+2%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $115 | 55 |
| 7325 April Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+14%) | 22mo | $146,000 | $97 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $29,395
- Equity at exit
- $13,345
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $82,752
- Equity at exit
- $7,738
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28314
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 429
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,676 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,584/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 581 Abbotts Landing Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $1,525 | $1.66 | 14d | 6 | 0.55mi |
| 5101 ParcStone Ln Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,755 | $1.71 | 14d | 12 | 0.58mi |
| 7903 Cliffdale Rd Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 14d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 8250 Cliffdale Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1405 | $1,875 | $1.33 | 23d | 4 | 0.76mi |
| 9330 Castle Falls Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,600 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7023 Salinas Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,495 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1308 Braybrooke Pl Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1810 | $1,900 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9329 Castle Falls Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,495 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4811 Cellner Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 14d | 5 | 0.91mi |
| 7311 Bass Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,495 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1120 Braybrooke Pl Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1806 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6916 Kizer Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,375 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1267 Exeter Ln Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,545 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7212 Reedy Creek Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1274 Arailia Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,575 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 6764 Saint Julian Way Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,775 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 735 Prestige Blvd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6794 Saint Julian Way Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7281 Pebblebrook Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6824 Saint Julian Way Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1591 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1222 Kienast Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 905 Kingscote Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 892 Kingscote Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 910 Kingscote Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1011 Kingscote Dr Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $1,945 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1108 Patrick Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $1,800 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1215 Patrick Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $1,795 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1338 Kienast Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,350 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5346 Greystoke Pl Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1161 Patrick Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $1,750 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1366 Worstead Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1113 Oakstone Dr Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $1,750 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7807 Rosewood Ave Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,575 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1549 Laurel Oak Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $1,900 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6837 Woodmark Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $89,500
-
2026-02-17price $99,500
-
2026-02-11$110,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$1,584
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,609
- − Management
- −$1,609
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $7,250
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,740
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,489/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,834
- Household income
- $62,249
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2511.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.20%
- Current HPI
- 231.873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.11%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-18.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $89,500 LPRMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $99,500 LPRMLS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $110,000 LPRMLS
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,584 · +66.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…