5308 Summerfields Dr · Flower Mound, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.4/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$649,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come home to a place where you can put your feet up and relax after a long day. Splash in the wonderful outdoor pool, and enjoy the lush landscaped setting. This home is ready for new owners with updates galore: resurfaced pool decking, new flooring throughout, painted in '07, new windows and screens, newer AC units, newer water heater and so much more.
Key facts
- New floorings
- New ceiling fans
- Freshly painted
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No known deed restrictions; Property listed for sale; possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA; Second mortgage: none
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Community features include curbs, jogging/bike path and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with two covered spaces (garage faces front, 2-car single door); Covered parking for 2 vehicles
- Security: Security system; Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Sidewalk access; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential property; Interior lot
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1989
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Deck; Front porch; In-ground gunite pool with pool sweep
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas range; Microwave; Corian-type countertops; Breakfast bar; Pantry; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (primary suite on second level with ensuite bath, garden tub and separate shower); Additional bedrooms located on second level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Luxury vinyl plank; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air (electric); Ceiling fans; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Open floorplan with vaulted ceilings; Built-in features; Cable TV available; Chandelier; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Kitchen island; High speed internet available; Walk-in closets; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Electric dryer hookup; Utility sink in laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $649k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $399k (38.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $377k (41.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $377k (41.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.5% in Flower Mound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#317 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lewisville ISD (suburban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #109 of 826 in TX (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Flower Mound El (math 64% / reading 65%, grade B, #257 of 4,322 statewide, top 6%, 584 students, 20% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lewisville ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($149k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($639k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.35%
- DSCR
- 0.58
- GRM
- 14.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $729,771
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5308 Timber Park Dr | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 | 3,168 (-6%) | 11mo | $595,000 | $188 | 72 |
| 2108 Welch Ct | 0.31mi | 4/3.0 | 3,292 (-2%) | 10mo | $640,000 | $194 | 72 |
| 5220 Water Oak Dr | 0.34mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,380 (+0%) | 14mo | $649,900 | $192 | 63 |
| 5916 Lavon Dr | 0.54mi | 4/3.5 | 3,362 (-0%) | 12mo | $725,000 | $216 | 61 |
| 2132 Hardy Ln | 0.45mi | 4/3.5 | 3,133 (-7%) | 4mo | $705,000 | $225 | 60 |
| 6002 Valleywood Dr | 0.65mi | 4/3.5 | 3,229 (-4%) | 3mo | $700,000 | $217 | 56 |
| 5517 Sweet Roxie Ln | 0.34mi | 4/4.5 | 3,727 (+11%) | 2mo | $1,449,000 | $389 | 56 |
| 2413 Bachman Dr | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 2,865 (-15%) | 11mo | $650,000 | $227 | 49 |
| 4940 Campbeltown Dr | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 | 3,284 (-2%) | 12mo | $869,900 | $265 | 49 |
| 6004 Windridge Ln | 0.68mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 3,524 (+5%) | 1mo | $785,000 | $223 | 48 |
| 6000 Windridge Ln | 0.67mi | 4/3.5 | 3,724 (+11%) | 2mo | $765,000 | $205 | 45 |
| 2001 Longfellow Ln | 0.73mi | 4/4.0 | 3,711 (+10%) | 11mo | $642,000 | $173 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.14×
- Total profit
- $-206,396
- Equity at exit
- $96,768
- IRR
- -72.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.86×
- Total profit
- $-338,565
- Equity at exit
- $56,114
Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75028
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 14.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,773 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,403
- Tax from tax record
- −$723 /mo · $8,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$270
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$792
- Net cashflow
- $-1,416
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,250
- Closing costs
- $19,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2200 Glenbrook St Flower Mound, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2806 | $9,750 | $3.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2200 Glenbrook St Unit 1019560P Flower Mound, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2798 | $10,877 | $3.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2509 Cross Haven Dr Flower Mound, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2608 | $3,200 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2216 6th Ave Flower Mound, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2937 | $4,500 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6205 Prairie Hill Ln Flower Mound, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3600 | $4,250 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6008 Rock Ridge Dr Flower Mound, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2502 | $3,290 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1905 Devereux Ct Flower Mound, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3640 | $4,225 | $1.16 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1101 Homestead St Unit 1514794P Flower Mound, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2346 | $9,000 | $3.84 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3316 Camden Dr Flower Mound, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2946 | $3,295 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3332 Heather Glen Dr Flower Mound, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2410 | $4,995 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $649,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $649,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $649,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $649,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $649,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $649,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $649,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $649,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $649,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $649,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $649,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $649,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $649,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$649,000 Active
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2026-03-20historical
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2026-03-18status Active
-
2026-03-12historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-02-05price $597,000
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2025-11-28price $598,000
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2025-11-03price $625,000
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2025-10-15$650,000 Active
-
2007-09-18soldstatus
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2007-08-31soldstatus 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Come home to a place where you can put your feet up and relax after a long day. Splash in the wonderful outdoor pool, and enjoy the lush landscaped setting. This home is ready for new owners with updates galore: resurfaced pool decking, new flooring throughout, painted in '07, new windows and screens, newer AC units, newer water heater and so much more.
-
2007-08-11historical 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Come home to a place where you can put your feet up and relax after a long day. Splash in the wonderful outdoor pool, and enjoy the lush landscaped setting. This home is ready for new owners with updates galore: resurfaced pool decking, new flooring throughout, painted in '07, new windows and screens, newer AC units, newer water heater and so much more.
-
2007-06-12$259,900 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Come home to a place where you can put your feet up and relax after a long day. Splash in the wonderful outdoor pool, and enjoy the lush landscaped setting. This home is ready for new owners with updates galore: resurfaced pool decking, new flooring throughout, painted in '07, new windows and screens, newer AC units, newer water heater and so much more.
-
1990-11-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,675 · $723/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,877 · $990/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,202/yr (+$267/mo · 36.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,354
- − Property taxes
- −$8,675
- − Insurance
- −$3,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,622
- − Management
- −$3,622
- − Depreciation
- −$18,880
- Taxable loss
- −$29,119
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,989
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,001/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lewisville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827300
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,351
- Composite
- 47.1/100
- National rank
- #2333
- State rank
- #109 of 826 in TX
Livability — Flower Mound
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #7074
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flower Mound, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- City population
- 75,184
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,094
- Household income
- $149,436
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 779.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 12% Two or more races 10% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.51%
- Current HPI
- 277.7883
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+149.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $649,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-12 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $597,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $598,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $625,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $650,000 NTREIS
- 2007-09-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-08-31 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-08-11 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-06-12 Listed $259,900 NTREIS
- 1990-11-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $8,675 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…