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419 Prospect #203
D Composite 40.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

419 Prospect #203 · Romeo, MI 48065
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · Condo · 243 Days on market
Built 1966 $375/mo HOA · 34% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.

Key facts

  • Second floor unit
  • Undermount sink
  • Pull out shelves

Tags

SECOND FLOOR UNITUPDATED KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSPULL OUT SHELVESUNDERMOUNT SINKWALK IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-723/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $71k (10.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 0.9% in Romeo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#497 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Romeo Community Schools (suburban): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #102 of 540 in MI (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $80k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.23%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.3%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-16,536
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-18,336
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48065

Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,097 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$375
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$-60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,174
Max offer price $71,184
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-5 -5% $-33 +0% $-60 +5% $-88 +10% $-115
Rent -10% $-147 -5% $-104 +0% $-60 +5% $-17 +10% $26
Rate -1.0pp $-20 -0.5pp $-40 base $-60 +0.5pp $-81 +1.0pp $-102

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
157 S Bailey St Unit 167 Romeo, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $1,095 $1.68 44d 1 0.68mi
219 S Main St Romeo, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $1,100 $1.69 11d 1 0.74mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$375 · $4,500/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapingsnow removalexterior maint.
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-03-06
    price $79,900 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.

  2. 2026-03-05
    price $79,900 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.

  3. 2025-09-22
    listed $82,000 Active 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.

  4. 2025-09-22
    listed $82,000 Active 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.

  5. 2025-01-24
    historical
  6. 2025-01-24
    historical
  7. 2024-12-04
    listed $78,900 Active
  8. 2024-12-04
    listed $78,900 Active
  9. 2018-05-31
    historical
  10. 2018-05-31
    historical
  11. 2018-05-18
    price $55,000
  12. 2018-05-18
    price $55,000
  13. 2018-03-15
    listed $60,000 Active
  14. 2018-03-15
    listed $60,000 Active
  15. 2017-06-26
    historical
  16. 2017-06-24
    listed $35,000 Active
  17. 2017-05-02
    historical
  18. 2017-05-02
    historical
  19. 2016-12-27
    price $45,000
  20. 2016-12-27
    status Active
  21. 2016-12-17
    historical
  22. 2016-06-10
    listed $48,000 Active
  23. 2016-06-10
    listed $45,000
  24. 2014-11-17
    soldstatus $48,000
  25. 2014-11-17
    soldstatus $48,000
  26. 2014-10-24
    historical
  27. 2014-06-24
    listed $49,900
  28. 2014-06-24
    listed $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,169
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,053
− Management
−$1,053
− HOA
−$4,500
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable loss
−$1,836
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$441
After-tax cash flow
$-282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Romeo Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630090
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$73,121
Composite
42.48/100
National rank
#3212
State rank
#102 of 540 in MI

Livability — Romeo

Score
64/100
State rank
#497
US rank
#14340

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Romeo, MI
Population (ZIP)
11,344

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -252.70%
Current HPI
214.524
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.1% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $82,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Listed $78,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-04 Listed $78,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-18 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-18 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-03-15 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-15 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-06-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-06-24 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-05-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-05-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2016-12-27 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-12-27 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-12-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-06-10 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-06-10 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-11-17 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-11-17 Sold (MLS) $48,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-10-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-24 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-24 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…