419 Prospect #203 · Romeo, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.
Key facts
- Second floor unit
- Undermount sink
- Pull out shelves
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-723/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $71k (10.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 0.9% in Romeo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#497 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Romeo Community Schools (suburban): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #102 of 540 in MI (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $80k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.23%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-16,536
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-18,336
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48065
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,097 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$375
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $-60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-5 | -5% $-33 | +0% $-60 | +5% $-88 | +10% $-115 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-147 | -5% $-104 | +0% $-60 | +5% $-17 | +10% $26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-20 | -0.5pp $-40 | base $-60 | +0.5pp $-81 | +1.0pp $-102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 S Bailey St Unit 167 Romeo, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,095 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 219 S Main St Romeo, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,100 | $1.69 | 11d | 1 | 0.74mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $375 · $4,500/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapingsnow removalexterior maint.
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-03-06price $79,900 1011-char remark
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.
-
2026-03-05price $79,900 1011-char remark
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.
-
2025-09-22$82,000 Active 1011-char remark
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.
-
2025-09-22$82,000 Active 1011-char remark
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Nice second floor unit in Prospect North Co-op! Clean and nicely updated! 1 bed, 1 bath located in the Village of Romeo walk to town, good access to Macomb Orchard Trail, & Van Dyke Expressway. Well maintained complex, newer vinyl floors, fresh paint, unit is closely located to the mailbox, common basement with separate storage unit and shared laundry room. $375 monthly association fee that includes TAXES, HEAT, water, exterior maintenances, lawn care, snow removal. White kitchen cabinets, granite countertops, a built in microwave, refrigerator, and range. Nice size eating area and living room. Kitchen also features pull out shelves and undermount sink. Three ceiling fans and a AC wall unit to keep you cool. Huge hall walk in closet for storage. Bedroom with door wall to balcony and, updated ceramic tiled bathroom with a walk in shower. This unit includes a CARPORT! Very clean and reasonable place to live. Note: Residents must be 50 years of age or older. Cash only sale. No pets, no smoking.
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2025-01-24historical
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2025-01-24historical
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2024-12-04$78,900 Active
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2024-12-04$78,900 Active
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2018-05-31historical
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2018-05-31historical
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2018-05-18price $55,000
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2018-05-18price $55,000
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2018-03-15$60,000 Active
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2018-03-15$60,000 Active
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2017-06-26historical
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2017-06-24$35,000 Active
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2017-05-02historical
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2017-05-02historical
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2016-12-27price $45,000
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2016-12-27status Active
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2016-12-17historical
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2016-06-10$48,000 Active
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2016-06-10$45,000
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2014-11-17soldstatus $48,000
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2014-11-17soldstatus $48,000
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2014-10-24historical
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2014-06-24$49,900
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2014-06-24$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,053
- − Management
- −$1,053
- − HOA
- −$4,500
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable loss
- −$1,836
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$441
- After-tax cash flow
- $-282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Romeo Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630090
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,121
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #3212
- State rank
- #102 of 540 in MI
Livability — Romeo
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #497
- US rank
- #14340
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Romeo, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,344
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -252.70%
- Current HPI
- 214.524
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+60.1% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-22 Listed $82,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-22 Listed $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-01-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-04 Listed $78,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-04 Listed $78,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-05-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-05-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-05-18 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-05-18 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-03-15 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-15 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-06-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-06-24 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-05-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-05-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-12-27 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-27 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-10 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-10 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-11-17 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-11-17 Sold (MLS) $48,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-10-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-06-24 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-06-24 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…