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2309 St Francis St
C+ Composite 62.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$193,000

2309 St Francis St · Sulphur, LA 70663
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,801 sqft · SingleFamily · 45 Days on market
Built 1980 0.49 ac lot Est $204k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tastefully updated home with easy access to I-10. Neutral colors are used throughout his 3 bedroom 2 Bath home. There are two great bonus rooms! The sunroom right off of the Kitchen and Dining area can be used as extra living area, home office or even extra dining space. Just imagine the possibilities. There is also a bonus room which is not included in the living square footage that was once used a bedroom. The huge backyard is perfect for outdoor entertaining or outdoor games. Come take a look! All measurements are more or less.

Key facts

  • Attic solar fan
  • Sunroom off kitchen
  • Gas-ready fireplace

Tags

SUNROOM OFF KITCHENREMODELED PRIMARY BATHROOMNEW DOUBLE-PANE WINDOWSATTIC SOLAR FANWALK-IN PANTRYGAS-READY FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $193k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $193k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#48 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $54k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,210 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.03%
Cash-on-cash
9.79%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,513
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2405 Mary Ann Dr 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,681 (-7%) 3mo $159,000 $95 75
2200 Tammy St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,700 (-6%) 9mo $191,000 $112 73
2117 Aubrianna Ln 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,820 (+1%) 14mo $250,000 $137 68
1415 Beth St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,832 (+2%) 3mo $225,000 $123 67
868 S Post Oak Rd S 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,910 (+6%) 5mo $234,000 $123 64
2212 Tammy St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,613 (-10%) 13mo $192,000 $119 59
2505 Jayson St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,913 (+6%) 1mo $195,000 $102 59
515 N Lebanon St N 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,728 (-4%) 7mo $179,700 $104 56
806 Frederick St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,788 (-1%) 11mo $108,765 $61 55
2807 Mary Ann Dr 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,870 (+4%) 8mo $209,000 $112 54
608 Shady Ln 0.62mi 3/3.0 1,903 (+6%) 8mo $215,000 $113 51
2638 Saint Joseph St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,578 (-12%) 7mo $239,900 $152 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,977
Equity at exit
$28,777
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$88,203
Equity at exit
$16,687

Cash invested: $54,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70663

Rents YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,086 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,012
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,372/yr
Insurance
$80
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,528
Max offer price $193,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,250
Closing costs
$5,790
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2310 Timberlane Dr Sulphur, LA 2.0 2.0 1350 $2,450 $1.81 43d 1 0.20mi
1917 Linda Ave Sulphur, LA 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,890 $1.47 43d 1 0.52mi
608 Shady Ln Sulphur, LA 3.0 3.0 1903 $2,200 $1.16 43d 1 0.63mi
708 Alabama St Sulphur, LA 4.0 2.5 2335 $2,800 $1.20 21d 1 0.72mi
1016 Jacques Dr Sulphur, LA 4.0 3.0 2350 $3,000 $1.28 43d 1 1.06mi
309 W Mimosa Dr Sulphur, LA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,500 $1.15 13d 1 1.28mi
1141 Mosswood Dr Sulphur, LA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.5 1332 $2,195 $1.65 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-06
    price $193,000
  3. 2026-03-31
    price $196,500
  4. 2026-03-13
    listed $198,000 Active
  5. 2022-11-29
    soldstatus $180,000
  6. 2022-11-28
    soldstatus 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    Tastefully updated home with easy access to I-10. Neutral colors are used throughout his 3 bedroom 2 Bath home. There are two great bonus rooms! The sunroom right off of the Kitchen and Dining area can be used as extra living area, home office or even extra dining space. Just imagine the possibilities. There is also a bonus room which is not included in the living square footage that was once used a bedroom. The huge backyard is perfect for outdoor entertaining or outdoor games. Come take a look! All measurements are more or less.

  7. 2022-10-07
    listed $180,000 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    Tastefully updated home with easy access to I-10. Neutral colors are used throughout his 3 bedroom 2 Bath home. There are two great bonus rooms! The sunroom right off of the Kitchen and Dining area can be used as extra living area, home office or even extra dining space. Just imagine the possibilities. There is also a bonus room which is not included in the living square footage that was once used a bedroom. The huge backyard is perfect for outdoor entertaining or outdoor games. Come take a look! All measurements are more or less.

  8. 2021-02-22
    soldstatus $131,250
  9. 2013-05-24
    soldstatus $128,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,030
− Mortgage interest
−$10,811
− Property taxes
−$1,372
− Insurance
−$965
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,002
− Management
−$2,002
− Depreciation
−$5,615
Taxable income
$2,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$543
After-tax cash flow
$4,748/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Sulphur

Score
71/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#7164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sulphur, LA
County
Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
City population
27,799
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
Population (ZIP)
27,799
Household income
$64,707
Rent vs Own
19.7% rent · 80.3% own
Severe rent burden
197.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 13% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.29%
Current HPI
100.0895
Rent YoY
▲ 7.65%
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending SWLAR
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $193,000 SWLAR
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $196,500 SWLAR
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $198,000 SWLAR
  • 2022-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-28 Sold (MLS) SWLAR
  • 2022-10-07 Listed $180,000 SWLAR
  • 2021-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $131,250 Public Records
  • 2013-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $128,200 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,372 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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