15778 Indiana St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity for both homeowners and investors in Detroit! This expansive two-family flat offers flexibility and strong potential. Featuring two living rooms, two dining rooms, an upgraded kitchen. The home is perfect for buyers looking to add value while keeping it multi-family or converting it to a spacious single-family residence. BATVAI.
Key facts
- Two dining rooms
- Upgraded kitchen
- Two living rooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $125k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,620/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $891 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.68%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,469
- Equity at exit
- $19,219
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $29,729
- Equity at exit
- $11,145
Cash invested: $36,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,620 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$409 /mo · $4,910/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $214 | -5% $177 | +0% $141 | +5% $104 | +10% $68 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $77 | +0% $141 | +5% $205 | +10% $269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $206 | -0.5pp $174 | base $141 | +0.5pp $107 | +1.0pp $73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,225
- Closing costs
- $3,867
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15756 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $1,700 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 16211 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2168 | $1,995 | $0.92 | 18d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1577 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $750 | $0.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,345 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-04-11$128,900 Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Excellent opportunity for both homeowners and investors in Detroit! This expansive two-family flat offers flexibility and strong potential. Featuring two living rooms, two dining rooms, an upgraded kitchen. The home is perfect for buyers looking to add value while keeping it multi-family or converting it to a spacious single-family residence. BATVAI.
-
2026-04-10$128,900 Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Excellent opportunity for both homeowners and investors in Detroit! This expansive two-family flat offers flexibility and strong potential. Featuring two living rooms, two dining rooms, an upgraded kitchen. The home is perfect for buyers looking to add value while keeping it multi-family or converting it to a spacious single-family residence. BATVAI.
-
2026-03-02historical
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2026-03-02historical
-
2026-02-28$134,900 Active
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2026-02-28$134,900 Active
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2026-02-24historical
-
2026-02-24historical
-
2026-01-27price $138,500
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2026-01-26price $138,500
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2025-12-16$140,000 Active
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2025-12-16$140,000 Active
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2025-10-06historical
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2025-09-19price $124,900
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2025-09-19status Active
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2025-09-19status Active
-
2025-09-19price $124,900
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2025-09-15historical
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2025-09-15historical
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2025-09-10price $149,900
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2025-09-09price $149,900
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2025-09-04price $159,900
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2025-09-03price $159,900
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2025-08-19$164,900 Active
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2025-08-19$164,900 Active
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2023-04-04soldstatus $147,000
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2022-02-07soldstatus $55,000
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2021-09-17soldstatus $55,000 Sold
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2021-09-17soldstatus $55,000 Closed
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2021-09-14historical
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2021-09-10status Pending
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2021-09-10status Pending
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2021-08-11$50,000 Active
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2021-08-11$50,000 Active
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2019-09-10status Pending
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2019-09-09$28,900 Active
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2019-09-09historical
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2019-09-09historical
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2019-04-30price $28,900
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2019-04-12$29,900 Active
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2019-04-12$28,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,910 · $409/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,910 · $409/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,436
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,220
- − Property taxes
- −$4,910
- − Insurance
- −$644
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,555
- − Management
- −$1,555
- − Depreciation
- −$3,750
- Taxable loss
- −$198
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$48
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,736/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+331.1% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Listed $128,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Listed $128,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-28 Listed $134,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-28 Listed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $138,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $138,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-16 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-19 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $159,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-19 Listed $164,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-19 Listed $164,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-17 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-17 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-09-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-09-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-08-11 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-08-11 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-09-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-09 Listed $28,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-09-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-30 Price Changed $28,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-12 Listed $28,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-12 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,910 · -37.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…