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3944 Clutier Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 41.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$10,000

3944 Clutier Rd · Bridgeport, MI 48601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 926 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1934 0.53 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect for an investor or DIY buyer. Home is currently gutted and will need to be refinished. Home will be sold As Is.

Key facts

  • 0.53 acre lot
  • Built 1934
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 0.53 acre (79 x 293)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; No central air
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $10,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$121,306) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($920 rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 83.8% vs local median 6.3% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#638 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, schools F.
  • Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #513 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $9,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.20%
Cap rate
83.78%
Cash-on-cash
276.74%
DSCR
13.31
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$121,306
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3928 Clutier Rd 0.02mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,014 (+10%) 8mo $133,000 $131 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.12×
Total profit
$39,527
Equity at exit
$1,491
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
32.24×
Total profit
$87,463
Equity at exit
$865

Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48601

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$920 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $294/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$193
Net cashflow
$646

Break-even live

Break-even rent $103
Max offer price $10,000
Occupancy floor 25%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $651 -5% $649 +0% $646 +5% $643 +10% $640
Rent -10% $573 -5% $609 +0% $646 +5% $682 +10% $718
Rate -1.0pp $651 -0.5pp $648 base $646 +0.5pp $643 +1.0pp $640

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,500
Closing costs
$300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2800 Gemini St Unit GE2800 Saginaw, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $920 $0.96 44d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $10,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $10,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $10,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $10,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $10,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    remarks 119-char remark
  12. 2026-06-04
    listed $10,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$294 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$294 · $24/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,040
− Mortgage interest
−$560
− Property taxes
−$294
− Insurance
−$50
− Repairs & maintenance
−$883
− Management
−$883
− Depreciation
−$291
Taxable income
$8,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,939
After-tax cash flow
$5,810/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District
NCES district ID
2606780
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,403
Composite
10.13/100
National rank
#9800
State rank
#513 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
57/100
State rank
#638
US rank
#21636

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, MI
City population
32,069
Population (ZIP)
32,069

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.46%
Current HPI
197.3359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-10.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $294 · -78.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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