5756 Cherry Laurel Dr · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Checkout this 3 Bed / 2.5 bath 1958 sqft home in Lake Shore near Riverside. Home needs repairs, contact agent for details. Fixer upper ready for a new owner to make it their own.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Other parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Entry on level 1
- Exterior features: City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Electric range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 73% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $147k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.82%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,414
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5316 Colonial Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,876 (-4%) | 2mo | $274,000 | $146 | 71 |
| 6332 Badnur Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (-9%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $121 | 71 |
| 2355 Cedar Shores Cir | 0.21mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,854 (-5%) | 14mo | $574,900 | $310 | 65 |
| 5758 Hyde Grove Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,943 (-1%) | 13mo | $262,000 | $135 | 56 |
| 6126 Wilson Blvd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,175 (+11%) | 1mo | $112,750 | $52 | 53 |
| 5115 Blackburn St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,745 (-11%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $158 | 39 |
| 5155 Lexington Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 2,121 (+8%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $61 | 38 |
| 5520 Hyde Grove Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,712 (-13%) | 12mo | $260,000 | $152 | 37 |
| 6650 Pinnochio Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,665 (-15%) | 5mo | $152,500 | $92 | 36 |
| 5139 Birkenhead Rd | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,722 (-12%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $131 | 36 |
| 2134 Figaro Ln | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,732 (-12%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $133 | 32 |
| 6642 Pinnochio Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,688 (-14%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $130 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,632
- Equity at exit
- $21,918
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $32,083
- Equity at exit
- $12,710
Cash invested: $41,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,711 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$771
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $956/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,750
- Closing costs
- $4,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5324 Fremont St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,495 | $0.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5821 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1056 | $1,330 | $1.26 | 3d | 7 | 0.41mi |
| 6119 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 6026 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $700 | $0.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3434 Blanding Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 3d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 3607 Colebrooke Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,590 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3434 Blanding Blvd #201 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3668 Jammes Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,540 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6650 Pinnochio Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1665 | $2,250 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6171 Cedar Hills Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,550 | $0.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2640 Hugh Edwards Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,495 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5253 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1614 | $1,471 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4128 Arcot Cir Unit NA Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4020 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,845 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5032 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,789 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3740 Ballejo Ct W Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,599 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4102 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6819 Lake Mist Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,745 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6236 Autlan Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,555 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6851 Lake Mist Ln Unit A Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,745 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6822 McMullin St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,950 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2235 Bayview Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1619 | $2,595 | $1.60 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1756 Lane Ave S Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,399 | $1.12 | 7d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1591 Lane Ave S Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $1,485 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4614 Birkenhead Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4301 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $1,606 | $1.54 | 3d | 39 | 1.10mi |
| 6947 Magdelena Dr Unit A11 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2450 | $1,880 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2327 Looking Glass Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,495 | $1.13 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4610 Cedarwood Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1381 | $1,950 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6039 Oracle Ct Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2010 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1626 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1368 | $1,641 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6560 Barmer Dr S Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4375 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1125 | $1,536 | $1.37 | 2d | 22 | 1.26mi |
| 5256 Clarendon Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6037 Marsha Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1374 Lake Shore Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 7d | 2 | 1.34mi |
| 7147 Eudine Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,585 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4455 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1045 | $1,599 | $1.53 | 1d | 19 | 1.37mi |
| 7127 Prellie St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1388 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7188 Koleda Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,327 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-21price $147,000
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-12$85,000 Active
-
2025-08-29status Pending 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
Checkout this 3 Bed / 2.5 bath 1958 sqft home in Lake Shore near Riverside. Home needs repairs, contact agent for details. Fixer upper ready for a new owner to make it their own.
-
2025-08-29historical 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
Checkout this 3 Bed / 2.5 bath 1958 sqft home in Lake Shore near Riverside. Home needs repairs, contact agent for details. Fixer upper ready for a new owner to make it their own.
-
2025-08-27$85,000 Active 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
Checkout this 3 Bed / 2.5 bath 1958 sqft home in Lake Shore near Riverside. Home needs repairs, contact agent for details. Fixer upper ready for a new owner to make it their own.
-
1998-03-18soldstatus $71,500
-
1989-10-01soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $956 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$264/yr (+$22/mo · 27.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,530
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,234
- − Property taxes
- −$956
- − Insurance
- −$735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,642
- − Management
- −$1,642
- − Depreciation
- −$4,276
- Taxable income
- $3,044
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$731
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,547/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3605.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+126.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $147,000 realMLS
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-04-16 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $85,000 realMLS
- 2025-08-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-08-29 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-08-27 Listed $85,000 realMLS
- 1998-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
- 1989-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $956 · +23.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…