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106 N Lynn St
B- Composite 66.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,800

106 N Lynn St · Hodgenville, KY 42748
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · Other · 265 Days on market
Built 1949 0.30 ac lot $171/sqft · 12% below area Est $137k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Private backyard
  • Storage shed

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHPRIVATE BACKYARDSTORAGE SHEDEAT-IN KITCHENNEWER HVAC SYSTEMNEWER WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.1% in Hodgenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#259 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Larue County (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #82 of 165 in KY (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Larue County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $828 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Larue County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $120k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,424 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.57%
Cash-on-cash
11.72%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,783
List price
$119,800
Delta
-12.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,398
Equity at exit
$17,863
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$27,880
Equity at exit
$10,358

Cash invested: $33,544 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42748

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,321 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$628
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $457/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$328

Break-even live

Break-even rent $907
Max offer price $119,800
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,950
Closing costs
$3,594
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,800 Active 265 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,800 Active 264 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,800 Active 263 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,800 Active 262 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,800 Active 260 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,800 Active 259 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,800 Active 257 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,800 Active 256 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,800 Active 255 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,800 Active 254 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,800 Active 251 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,800 Active 249 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,800 Active 248 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,800 Active 247 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,800 Active 246 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    price $119,800 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  17. 2026-04-01
    price $119,800 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  18. 2026-03-13
    price $124,800 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  19. 2026-03-13
    price $124,800 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  20. 2025-10-20
    price $124,900 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  21. 2025-10-20
    price $124,900 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  22. 2025-10-01
    price $139,800 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  23. 2025-10-01
    price $139,800 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  24. 2025-09-26
    price $149,800 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  25. 2025-09-26
    listed $149,800 Active 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  26. 2025-09-19
    listed $149,800,000 Active 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years

  27. 2024-02-27
    soldstatus $44,040 Closed
  28. 2024-02-27
    soldstatus $44,040 Closed
  29. 2024-02-26
    soldstatus $44,040
  30. 2024-02-06
    status Pending
  31. 2024-02-06
    status Pending
  32. 2024-02-02
    listed $45,000 Active
  33. 2024-02-02
    listed $45,000 Active
  34. 2016-12-31
    historical
  35. 2016-06-07
    listed $42,000
  36. 2000-04-01
    soldstatus $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$457 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,030 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$574/yr (+$48/mo · 125.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,854
− Mortgage interest
−$6,711
− Property taxes
−$457
− Insurance
−$599
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,268
− Management
−$1,268
− Depreciation
−$3,485
Taxable income
$2,066
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$496
After-tax cash flow
$3,434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Larue County
NCES district ID
2103180
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$39,784
Composite
27.66/100
National rank
#6918
State rank
#82 of 165 in KY

Livability — Hodgenville

Score
65/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#12858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hodgenville, KY
Population (ZIP)
9,189

Population outlook (Larue County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,441 people
By 2030
14,453 · +0.1%
By 2040
14,258 · -1.3%
By 2050
13,687 · -5.2%
By 2075
12,271 · -15.0%
By 2100
10,639 · -26.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Serbian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Larue

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.1% · R 79.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.3pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+55.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+36.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.53%
Current HPI
241.8077
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+335.6% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $119,800 HKARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $119,800 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $124,800 HKARMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $124,800 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $124,900 HKARMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $124,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $139,800 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $139,800 HKARMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $149,800 HKARMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $149,800 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $149,800,000 HKARMLS
  • 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) $44,040 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) $44,040 HKARMLS
  • 2024-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $44,040 Public Records
  • 2024-02-06 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-02-06 Pending HKARMLS
  • 2024-02-02 Listed $45,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-02-02 Listed $45,000 HKARMLS
  • 2016-12-31 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2016-06-07 Listed $42,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2000-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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