106 N Lynn St · Hodgenville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Private backyard
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.1% in Hodgenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#259 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Larue County (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #82 of 165 in KY (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Larue County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $828 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larue County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $120k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.72%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,783
- List price
- $119,800
- Delta
- -12.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,398
- Equity at exit
- $17,863
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $27,880
- Equity at exit
- $10,358
Cash invested: $33,544 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42748
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,321 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$628
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $457/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,950
- Closing costs
- $3,594
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,800 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,800 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,800 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,800 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,800 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,800 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,800 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,800 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,800 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,800 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,800 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,800 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,800 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,800 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,800 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $119,800 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2026-04-01price $119,800 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2026-03-13price $124,800 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2026-03-13price $124,800 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2025-10-20price $124,900 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2025-10-20price $124,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2025-10-01price $139,800 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2025-10-01price $139,800 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2025-09-26price $149,800 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2025-09-26$149,800 Active 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2025-09-19$149,800,000 Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Near Downtown This inviting 2-bedroom home is just a short walk from downtown, offering the perfect blend of convenience and comfort. Enjoy your morning coffee on the large covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, complete with a storage shed. Inside, the home features an eat-in kitchen, spacious living area, and the convenience of a washer and dryer included. Recent updates include a newer HVAC system, windows, and roof, giving you peace of mind for years
-
2024-02-27soldstatus $44,040 Closed
-
2024-02-27soldstatus $44,040 Closed
-
2024-02-26soldstatus $44,040
-
2024-02-06status Pending
-
2024-02-06status Pending
-
2024-02-02$45,000 Active
-
2024-02-02$45,000 Active
-
2016-12-31historical
-
2016-06-07$42,000
-
2000-04-01soldstatus $27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $457 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$574/yr (+$48/mo · 125.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,854
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,711
- − Property taxes
- −$457
- − Insurance
- −$599
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,268
- − Management
- −$1,268
- − Depreciation
- −$3,485
- Taxable income
- $2,066
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$496
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,434/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Larue County
- NCES district ID
- 2103180
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,784
- Composite
- 27.66/100
- National rank
- #6918
- State rank
- #82 of 165 in KY
Livability — Hodgenville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #259
- US rank
- #12858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hodgenville, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,189
Population outlook (Larue County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,441 people
- By 2030
- 14,453 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 14,258 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 13,687 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 12,271 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 10,639 · -26.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Serbian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Larue
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.1% · R 79.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.3pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+55.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+36.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.53%
- Current HPI
- 241.8077
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+335.6% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $119,800 HKARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $119,800 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $124,800 HKARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $124,800 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $124,900 HKARMLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $124,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $139,800 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $139,800 HKARMLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $149,800 HKARMLS
- 2025-09-26 Listed $149,800 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $149,800,000 HKARMLS
- 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) $44,040 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) $44,040 HKARMLS
- 2024-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $44,040 Public Records
- 2024-02-06 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-06 Pending — HKARMLS
- 2024-02-02 Listed $45,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-02 Listed $45,000 HKARMLS
- 2016-12-31 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2016-06-07 Listed $42,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2000-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…