2120 4th Pl E · Tuscaloosa, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss out on this investment opportunity! This property has a lot of potential! Metal roof and covered driveway! Functional bedroom space and spacious kitchen! All information deemed reliable, but not guaranteed. Buyer(s) and/or Buyer's Agent responsible for verifying all information on property.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Spacious kitchen
- Covered driveway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 3.7% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Tuscaloosa City (urban): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #74 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: University Place Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #424 of 627 statewide, top 68%, 599 students, 64% FRL); Northridge High School (math 40% / reading 42%, grade F, #31 of 305 statewide, top 10%, 1,145 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.32%
- DSCR
- 3.11
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,319
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -38.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2131 5th St E | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-3%) | 2mo | $219,900 | $191 | 85 |
| 307 Short 24th Ave E | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,145 (-4%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $162 | 74 |
| 2012 6th St E | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-13%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $194 | 70 |
| 108 22nd Ave NE | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-3%) | 4mo | $209,900 | $183 | 69 |
| 2336 10th St E | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+4%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $61 | 68 |
| 63 Juanita Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (+1%) | 3mo | $116,500 | $97 | 65 |
| 413 26th Ave E | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-6%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $98 | 62 |
| 2806 Sunset Dr NE | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (+2%) | 10mo | $188,000 | $155 | 57 |
| 2624 3rd St E | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-8%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $151 | 55 |
| 2803 Sunset Dr NE | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,237 (+4%) | 9mo | $199,900 | $162 | 54 |
| 2902 1st St E | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (+11%) | 8mo | $168,000 | $127 | 40 |
| 1119 23rd Ave Ave E | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-11%) | 12mo | $195,000 | $185 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $46,363
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 52.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.24×
- Total profit
- $139,755
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 15 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.2 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $209,900 ($174/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 21 d
- This list price
- 13% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -37.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35404
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,818 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $817
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $872 | -5% $844 | +0% $817 | +5% $789 | +10% $762 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $673 | -5% $745 | +0% $817 | +5% $889 | +10% $960 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $857 | -0.5pp $837 | base $817 | +0.5pp $796 | +1.0pp $775 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 922 23rd Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 62d | 4 | 0.46mi |
| 927 Kicker Rd Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1412 | $3,075 | $2.18 | 70d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 936 22nd Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 906 | $2,000 | $2.21 | 62d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 933 21st Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 906 | $2,150 | $2.37 | 93d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 1010 23rd Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 93d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 419 30th Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $2,200 | $2.58 | 62d | 7 | 0.67mi |
| 419 30th Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $2,400 | $2.82 | 93d | 5 | 0.67mi |
| 30 Beverly Hts Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 62d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1722 13th St E Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 93d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1305 12th St E Tuscaloosa, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,615 | $1.17 | 70d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1515 Kicker Rd Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,025 | $0.98 | 93d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2501 Veterans Memorial Pkwy Tuscaloosa, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $875 | $0.86 | 93d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2501 Veterans Memorial Pkwy Tuscaloosa, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $975 | $0.90 | 62d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3550 Crescent Gardens Dr Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,575 | $1.41 | 93d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 622 4th St NE Unit Highland 4 Tuscaloosa, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,080 | $0.94 | 93d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3218 Veterans Memorial Pkwy Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 3.0–3.5 | 1484 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 70d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 931 Crescent Ridge Rd E Tuscaloosa, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 93d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 680 6th Ave NE #3401 Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1266 | $2,300 | $1.82 | 93d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 680 6th Ave NE Unit WC3407 A Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1266 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 93d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $80,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $80,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $80,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $80,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $80,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $80,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $80,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $80,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $80,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $80,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $80,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $80,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $80,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $80,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $80,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $80,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $80,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $80,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $80,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $80,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $80,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $80,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $80,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $80,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $80,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $80,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $80,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $80,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $80,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $80,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $80,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $80,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $80,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $80,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $80,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 51 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$1,198
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,745
- − Management
- −$1,745
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $9,118
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,188
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,613/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires significant repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. A new roof, exterior painting, and bathroom renovation would significantly enhance its appeal and marketability.
Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be missing or damaged, indicating a major issue that needs immediate attention.
- Major Windows (windows) — The windows appear to be old and possibly not functioning properly, indicating a major issue that needs immediate attention.
- Major Electrical (electrical) — The electrical panel appears to be old and possibly not functioning properly, indicating a major issue that needs immediate attention.
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — The plumbing appears to be old and possibly not functioning properly, indicating a major issue that needs immediate attention.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior of the house appears to be in poor condition, with peeling paint and possibly structural issues, indicating a major issue that needs immediate attention.
Repairs flagged
- Major Metal roof — Visible rust and wear indicate significant structural damage.
- Moderate Exterior siding — Some discoloration and minor damage observed.
- Major Carpet — Worn and stained, needs replacement.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Visible wear and discoloration, needs replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Metal roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Resale Exterior painting — Fresh paint will enhance the home's appearance and curb appeal. ↑
- Both Carpet replacement — New carpet will improve the home's appearance and comfort level. ↑
- Both Bathroom renovation — A new bathroom will improve the home's functionality and appeal. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa City
- NCES district ID
- 0103360
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,474
- Composite
- 24.51/100
- National rank
- #7647
- State rank
- #74 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tuscaloosa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #2909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 228,293 people
- City population
- 134,228
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,445
- Household income
- $48,932
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.00%
- Current HPI
- 170.026
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.81%
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $100,000 WAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…