1447 Grady Hall Rd · Centerville, SC 29626

$50,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · Manufactured public records · 40 Days on market

Built 2000

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Home in poor condition. Roof is not only in poor shape, but has comprised in a couple of places. Not occupied for 9 years. Yard is overgrown. Although internal blower works, outside heat pump does not heat or cool. Portable dishwasher works. Hot water heater no longer functions and water pipes under house need replacing. House is filled with non-food trash and furniture/objects/etc. including a king waterbed (still filled). Primary bathroom is no longer functional and roof has failed. A bedroom roof is open to the sky.

Key facts

• Built 2000
• Listed 39 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $984 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 29.9% vs local median 3.8% in Centerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#108 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Anderson 05 (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #20 of 80 in SC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1,255 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Anderson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 29.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 84.36%
• DSCR: 4.75
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 84.8%
• Equity multiple: 4.90×
• Total profit: $54,616
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 88.0%
• Equity multiple: 10.17×
• Total profit: $128,415
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29626

• Home prices YoY: -19.8%
• Active inventory: 119
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,702 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$77 /mo · $927/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$357
• Net cashflow: $984

Break-even live

Break-even rent $456

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,012	-5% $998	+0% $984	+5% $970	+10% $956
Rent	-10% $850	-5% $917	+0% $984	+5% $1,051	+10% $1,119
Rate	-1.0pp $1,009	-0.5pp $997	base $984	+0.5pp $971	+1.0pp $958

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $50,000 Active 40 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $50,000 Active 37 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $50,000 Active 36 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $50,000 Active 35 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $50,000 Active 32 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $50,000 Active 29 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $50,000 Active 28 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $50,000 Active 27 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 23 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 22 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
16. 2026-05-12
    listed $50,000 Active
17. 2017-05-11
    soldstatus $50,000
18. 1999-11-12
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $927 · $77/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $927 · $77/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,422
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$927
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,634
• − Management: −$1,634
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $11,723
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,813
• After-tax cash flow: $8,997/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Anderson 05
• NCES district ID: 4500900
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $39,718
• Composite: 38.89/100
• National rank: #4098
• State rank: #20 of 80 in SC

Livability — Centerville

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #108
• US rank: #11094

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 13,678

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 210,546 people
• By 2030: 217,791 · +3.4%
• By 2040: 230,643 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 240,220 · +14.1%
• By 2075: 259,518 · +23.3%
• By 2100: 258,696 · +22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 70% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Danish 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.7% · R 73.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -33.3pp · 2024: -47.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+33.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -68.00%
• Current HPI: 274.7245
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+6.4% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Listed $50,000 FSBO.com
• 2017-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 1999-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $927 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.