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123 Deer Haven Rd
D Composite 41.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

123 Deer Haven Rd · Sparta, NC 28675
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1961 0.94 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home in Sparta is selling as-is, where-is, see agent only for information on submitting offers, Buyer/Agent shall verify all systems and information given. Multi-offers are in place, the seller will set a highest and best period and we will post as as soon as they do. Seller does not prorate taxes or pay delinquent taxes. Buyer assumes all closing and deed costs.

Key facts

  • 0.94 acre lot
  • Built 1961
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area reported as 1,536 total; Basement area reported as 768
  • HOA & community: No homeowner association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-story house; Stick/site-built residential structure; Built in 1961; Existing structure
  • Construction: Construction details referenced in remarks; No fireplaces reported
  • Exterior features: Public-maintained road access; Lot close to one acre (approximately 0.94 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heat (oil-fired); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($209/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.7% in Sparta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#50 in NC, #4,236 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, commute F.
  • Alleghany County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #104 of 178 in NC (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Alleghany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alleghany County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,589 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-18,367
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-14,754
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28675

Home prices YoY
-8.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$946 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $613/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $924
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 370-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 206-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $119,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$613 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$983 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$370/yr (+$31/mo · 60.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,351
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$613
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$908
− Management
−$908
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$1,883
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$452
After-tax cash flow
$661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alleghany County Schools
NCES district ID
3700120
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$34,855
Composite
35.12/100
National rank
#5014
State rank
#104 of 178 in NC

Livability — Sparta

Score
75/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#4236

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
6,702
Population (ZIP)
6,702

Population outlook (Alleghany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,103 people
By 2030
9,631 · -4.7%
By 2040
8,468 · -16.2%
By 2050
7,334 · -27.4%
By 2075
5,239 · -48.1%
By 2100
3,962 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alleghany

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-31.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+35.9 2008: R+21.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.69%
Current HPI
252.6077
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $119,900 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $613 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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