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1412 S Ballenger Hwy 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,900

1412 S Ballenger Hwy · Flint, MI 48532
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1951 9,583 sqft lot Est $49k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1951

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $35,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$49,280) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $248 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,361 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.03%
Cap rate
26.70%
Cash-on-cash
72.89%
DSCR
4.24
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$49,280
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1409 Stocker Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,290 (+5%) 1mo $50,250 $39 81
1202 Knapp Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,255 (+2%) 3mo $49,900 $40 75
3722 Larchmont St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,128 (-8%) 4mo $47,000 $42 69
3522 Whitney Ave 0.07mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,100 (-11%) 8mo $41,500 $38 66
3813 Larchmont St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,408 (+14%) 6mo $100,000 $71 55
1318 Mann Ave 0.17mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,412 (+15%) 7mo $89,900 $64 55
2830 Reynolds St 0.49mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+9%) 4mo $31,500 $23 54
2624 Miller Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,220 (-1%) 4mo $82,000 $67 52
3926 W Court St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,150 (-7%) 7mo $30,000 $26 51
3801 W Court 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,305 (+6%) 7mo $16,500 $13 51
874 Tacken St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,126 (-9%) 3mo $30,000 $27 50
1555 Bradley Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,107 (-10%) 3mo $45,000 $41 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
72.6%
Equity multiple
4.29×
Total profit
$33,088
Equity at exit
$5,353
10-year hold
IRR
76.5%
Equity multiple
8.85×
Total profit
$78,954
Equity at exit
$3,104

Cash invested: $10,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48532

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,087 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$188
Tax est. 1.5%
$45 /mo · $538/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$611

Break-even live

Break-even rent $314
Max offer price $35,900
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,975
Closing costs
$1,077
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 13d 1 0.06mi
3901 Herrick St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 13d 1 0.15mi
3929 Larchmont St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 13d 1 0.26mi
806 Barney Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 21d 1 0.59mi
1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1160 $995 $0.86 21d 1 0.61mi
2610 Swayze St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1194 $950 $0.80 21d 1 0.69mi
2198 Utley Rd Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 44d 1 0.73mi
314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,250 $1.40 21d 1 1.01mi
2428 Norbert St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 21d 1 1.38mi
2544 Tyrone St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 1440 $825 $0.57 13d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2025-04-12
    status Pending 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  2. 2025-04-12
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  3. 2025-04-11
    price $35,900 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  4. 2025-04-10
    price $35,900
  5. 2025-04-09
    price $39,900 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  6. 2025-04-08
    price $39,900
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  7. 2025-04-08
    price $49,900 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  8. 2025-04-07
    price $49,900
  9. 2025-03-29
    price $55,900 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  10. 2025-03-28
    price $55,900
  11. 2025-03-27
    listed $65,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  12. 2025-03-27
    listed $65,900 Active 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home. Right in the center of all amenities, highways, Hospital, Resturants shopping Full basement & 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $950 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  13. 2022-10-18
    soldstatus $25,000 Sold 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  14. 2022-10-18
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  15. 2022-10-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  16. 2022-10-06
    status Pending 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  17. 2022-09-30
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  18. 2022-09-30
    status Active 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  19. 2022-09-28
    status Pending 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  20. 2022-09-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  21. 2022-09-26
    listed $22,900 Active 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  22. 2022-09-26
    listed $22,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Great investment opportunity with this 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Full basement & huge 2 car detached garage! Home has solid bones & with some tlc it can be a great income producing rental (prior tenant was paying $700 a month), or potential flip! Conventional or rehab loans will be considered but buyer must assume any lender required repairs. Sold AS-IS. BATVAI

  23. 2016-09-19
    status Pending
  24. 2016-09-18
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
  25. 2016-08-16
    price $25,000
  26. 2016-05-27
    price $44,900
  27. 2016-04-13
    listed $54,900 Active
  28. 2016-04-12
    listed $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,043
− Mortgage interest
−$2,011
− Property taxes
−$538
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,043
− Management
−$1,043
− Depreciation
−$1,044
Taxable income
$7,183
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,724
After-tax cash flow
$5,603/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
19,750

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.08%
Current HPI
202.407
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.6% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2025-04-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-11 Price Changed $35,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Price Changed $35,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-09 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-08 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-08 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-07 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-29 Price Changed $55,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-28 Price Changed $55,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-27 Listed $65,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-27 Listed $65,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-10-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-09-30 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-30 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2022-09-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-09-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-26 Listed $22,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-26 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
  • 2016-09-19 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-09-18 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-08-16 Price Changed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-05-27 Price Changed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-13 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-12 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,830 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…