254 Oakridge Dr · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ONSITE PUBLIC AUCTION - Friday, June 26 at 12noon. ATTENTION INVESTORS - Great opportunity to buy a fixer upper in the desirable Forest Hills subdivision. This brick ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, large living room with bay window, kitchen with hardwood floors and open to dining room, sliding door off dining room to covered back porch, full unfinished basement, gas furnace, central air, and 2 car attached garage. Lots size - . 56 acres. Don't miss this opportunity for a flip or a home you can fix up the way you want it. Appraised at only $100,000. Auction Terms - 10% of the purchase price required at close of auction, balance upon delivery of deed within 40 days. Taxes prorated to
Key facts
- Gas furnace
- Brick ranch home
- Central air
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Forest Hills Subdivision; Directions: From Shrine Rd. turn south on Juergens Way to right on Elm Dr. to left on Oakridge Dr.
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Well water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1956
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Well water; Residential lot; Lot approximately 99 x 247 (0.56 acres)
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Unfinished block basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Clark-Shawnee Local (rural): math 54% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #301 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $100k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.47%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $61,488
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 Omega Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (-8%) | 11mo | $50,000 | $54 | 64 |
| 37 Dartmouth Rd | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-7%) | 17mo | $57,000 | $61 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-8,011
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,770
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45504
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$211 /mo · $2,534/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $184 | -5% $156 | +0% $128 | +5% $99 | +10% $71 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $37 | -5% $82 | +0% $128 | +5% $173 | +10% $218 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $178 | -0.5pp $153 | base $128 | +0.5pp $102 | +1.0pp $75 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$100,000 Active
-
1986-12-11soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,534 · $211/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,534 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,743
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,534
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,099
- − Management
- −$1,099
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $0
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$0
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark-Shawnee Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904628
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,411
- Composite
- 50.29/100
- National rank
- #1884
- State rank
- #301 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clark · 134,280 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,654
- Household income
- $67,334
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.4
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.72%
- Current HPI
- 240.7049
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+88.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $100,000 WRIST
- 1986-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,534 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…