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168 Dorian Dr
D+ Composite 49.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,999

168 Dorian Dr · Sicklerville, NJ 08094
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily · 24 Days on market
Built 2012 4,356 sqft lot Est $246k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bright and Sunny on the outside, open and spacious on the inside. You are just going to love this well maintained manufactured home in Sunny Estates. Front porch greets you as you enter the home. Open and spacious living room and dining room. Bright and cheery kitchen with upgraded appliances, new flooring and lots of cabinets and counter space. Master suite with walk in closet and full bath with plenty of storage/linen closet. Great second bedroom that can double as a study or office. Hall bath is perfect for guest. Large laundry / utility area that opens to the backyard driveway and storage shed. Concrete crawl space with outside entry and sump pump. Nice yard with a treelined view. So much to see in this well cared for and beautifully maintained home.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

FRONT PORCHEAT-IN KITCHENLVP FLOORINGHANDICAP RAMP

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Other community fees of $663 per month; Land lease payment of $769 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Land lease ownership; Situated in a 55+ senior community
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: No basement; Above-grade structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with pantry
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Breakfast area; Ceiling fan(s); Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Skylight(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $165k; list at $250k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $246,249 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.30%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$246,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
165 Dorian Dr 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,680 (+5%) 1mo $259,900 $155 90
161 Dorian Dr 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,680 (+5%) 2mo $265,000 $158 89
14 Gibson Ln 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,680 (+5%) 8mo $235,000 $140 82
301 Kennedy 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,568 (-2%) 8mo $129,000 $82 77
45 Gregory Dr 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,680 (+5%) 12mo $258,000 $154 71
200 Harrison Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (+3%) 5mo $139,500 $85 68
209 Harrison Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,700 (+6%) 3mo $145,000 $85 65
522 Buchannan Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-6%) 7mo $103,000 $69 55
1510 N Main St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,686 (+5%) 9mo $320,000 $190 49
1804 Lillian Dr 0.56mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,784 (+12%) 0mo $280,000 $157 47
509 Tuckahoe Rd 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,716 (+7%) 4mo $360,000 $210 46
203 Tyler Ave 0.60mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,680 (+5%) 11mo $130,000 $77 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-20,778
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$7,423
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08094

Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,578 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$541
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $249,999
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $482 -5% $396 +0% $309 +5% $223 +10% $136
Rent -10% $106 -5% $207 +0% $309 +5% $411 +10% $513
Rate -1.0pp $435 -0.5pp $373 base $309 +0.5pp $244 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1616 N Main St Williamstown, NJ 2.0 2.0 1064 $2,500 $2.35 0d 1 0.35mi
1761 Glassboro Cross Keys Rd Williamstown, NJ 2.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 20d 1 0.50mi
1000 Fawn Dr Williamstown, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1209 $6,006 $4.97 0d 1 0.55mi
100 Town Center Blvd Sewell, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1107 $3,110 $2.81 0d 17 1.30mi
343 Brookdale Blvd Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1438 $2,500 $1.74 0d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,999 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,999 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,999 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,999 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,999 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $249,999 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $259,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,940
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,475
− Management
−$2,475
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$69
After-tax cash flow
$3,779/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3410470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$71,557
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#6295
State rank
#302 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Sicklerville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
City population
50,264
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
41,595
Household income
$96,699
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.12%
Current HPI
278.3849
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+136.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-15 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-09-09 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-09-07 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-08-27 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-08-27 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-06-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-06-05 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-05-21 Listed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-03-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-03-27 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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