10310 Millwood Ave · St. Ann, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this charming Saint Ann property offering comfort, convenience, and great value! Situated on a spacious lot, this home features inviting living spaces filled with natural light, a functional layout, and plenty of room to make it your own. The backyard provides ample space for entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing outdoors including a nice patio and raised flower bed.
Key facts
- 7,174 sq ft lot
- Built 1952
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Buder Elem. (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #941 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 406 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.02%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,650
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3438 Ashby Rd | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-4%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $196 | 76 |
| 10262 Breckenridge Rd | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-7%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $126 | 75 |
| 3507 Westridge Ln | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+2%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $191 | 74 |
| 10512 Saint Francis Ln | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-7%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $189 | 72 |
| 10346 Saint Henry Ln | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+2%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $179 | 71 |
| 3525 Wismer Rd | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-4%) | 5mo | $148,500 | $182 | 64 |
| 10019 Saint Martha Ln | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+2%) | 4mo | $188,000 | $218 | 64 |
| 10335 Saint Joan Ln | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 897 (+6%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $195 | 60 |
| 10212 Saint Arthur Ln | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-8%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $198 | 60 |
| 10812 Saint Francis Ln | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+7%) | 2mo | $144,900 | $159 | 58 |
| 3219 Royalton Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-7%) | 3mo | $102,500 | $129 | 52 |
| 3113 Ashby Rd | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 960 (+13%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $182 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,841
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $10,343
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63074
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,311 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,774/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $152
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $226 | -5% $189 | +0% $152 | +5% $115 | +10% $79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $49 | -5% $100 | +0% $152 | +5% $204 | +10% $256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $218 | -0.5pp $185 | base $152 | +0.5pp $118 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10214 Saint Anthony Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 10116 Saint Katherine Ln Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,865 | $1.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10205 Saint Daniel Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,450 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3529 Saint Joachim Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3529 Saint Joachim Ln Unit NA St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3434 Sims Ave Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 988 | $1,545 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3219 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,095 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3209 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9618 De Porres Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10069 Livingston Ave St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9627 Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 830 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9733 Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 830 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3961 Jane Ave Unit 3963 St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9535 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,145 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9807 Guthrie Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3209 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3648 Edmundson Rd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3208 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,235 | $1.88 | 11d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2732 Annapolis Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11042 Florence Ave Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11120 Graben Dr St Ann, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 2d | 14 | 1.21mi |
| 9448 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,495 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 10742 Tropic Dr Unit VACANT St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 9429 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt B St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt C St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10788 Tropic Dr Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,260 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 10145 Cabana Club Dr St Ann, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 776 | $1,060 | $1.37 | 44d | 8 | 1.29mi |
| 3010 Woodson Rd Breckenridge Hills, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $875 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $875 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 922 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 11276 Liana Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,189 | $1.52 | 5d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-31remarks 391-char remark
-
2026-05-31$130,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,774 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,774 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,736
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,774
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,259
- − Management
- −$1,259
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$270
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$65
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ritenour
- NCES district ID
- 2926640
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,410
- Composite
- 17.04/100
- National rank
- #9125
- State rank
- #304 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Ann
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Ann, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 16,237
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,793
- Household income
- $51,610
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 782.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -242.89%
- Current HPI
- 210.6588
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.14%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-31 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2022): $1,774 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…