Duplex
17 Olcott Pl · Cheektowaga, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious well maintaned 2/2 double! Lower has nice front four season sun room & artificial fireplace in living room. Hardwood floors. Lower furnace & roof - 2004. Appliances "as is" condition. Some replacement windows. Prefer evening showings with 24 hour notice.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1924
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays water; rent includes water; Operating expenses include maintenance and water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking; Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story building (1 story); Multifamily property with 2 total units; Existing condition
- Construction: Composite siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; PEX plumbing; Existing (year built details)
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Eat-in kitchen (Unit 1); Formal dining room (Unit 2)
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies by area
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (total 2 full bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air
- Interior features: Natural woodwork; Full basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry in unit (Unit 2); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $267/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
- Cheektowaga Central School District (urban): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #564 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,644/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 991% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $200k implies a 479% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.47%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $320,520
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -37.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Woodell Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,748 (+2%) | 8mo | $192,500 | $110 | 64 |
| 63 Wright Ave | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,842 (+8%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $65 | 63 |
| 124 Newburgh Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,750 (+2%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $54 | 61 |
| 152 David Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,587 (-7%) | 8mo | $212,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 60 Sattler Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,746 (+2%) | 6mo | $94,500 | $54 | 60 |
| 173 Briscoe Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,832 (+7%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $147 | 57 |
| 274 Newburgh Ave | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,754 (+2%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $105 | 55 |
| 35 Loxley Rd | 0.41mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,943 (+14%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $90 | 52 |
| 112 Hazelwood Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,498 (-12%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $58 | 52 |
| 68 Marne Rd | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,906 (+11%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $87 | 49 |
| 124 Roma Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,520 (-11%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $155 | 48 |
| 30 Woodell Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 1,960 (+15%) | 5mo | $159,900 | $82 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,815
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $46,033
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14225
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,644 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$422 /mo · $5,068/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $535
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $648 | -5% $591 | +0% $535 | +5% $478 | +10% $422 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $326 | -5% $430 | +0% $535 | +5% $639 | +10% $744 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $635 | -0.5pp $586 | base $535 | +0.5pp $483 | +1.0pp $430 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,644 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,322 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,322 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,644 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2247 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 47 Awood Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-06$199,900 Active 1205-char remark
-
2013-03-19soldstatus $34,500 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Spacious well maintaned 2/2 double! Lower has nice front four season sun room & artificial fireplace in living room. Hardwood floors. Lower furnace & roof - 2004. Appliances "as is" condition. Some replacement windows. Prefer evening showings with 24 hour notice.
-
2013-03-19soldstatus $34,500
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Spacious well maintaned 2/2 double! Lower has nice front four season sun room & artificial fireplace in living room. Hardwood floors. Lower furnace & roof - 2004. Appliances "as is" condition. Some replacement windows. Prefer evening showings with 24 hour notice.
-
2012-09-14$38,900 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Spacious well maintaned 2/2 double! Lower has nice front four season sun room & artificial fireplace in living room. Hardwood floors. Lower furnace & roof - 2004. Appliances "as is" condition. Some replacement windows. Prefer evening showings with 24 hour notice.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,068 · $422/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,068 · $422/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$5,068
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,538
- − Management
- −$2,538
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $3,571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$857
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,561/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheektowaga Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607230
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,401
- Composite
- 28.45/100
- National rank
- #6753
- State rank
- #564 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cheektowaga
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cheektowaga, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 55,470
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,620
- Household income
- $67,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 991.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.26%
- Current HPI
- 320.6248
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+413.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
- 2013-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
- 2013-03-19 Sold (MLS) $34,500 WNYREIS
- 2012-09-14 Listed $38,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,068 · +17.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…