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3 Florence Dr
C Composite 57.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$362,500

3 Florence Dr · Noank, CT 06355
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,503 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1992 0.47 ac lot Est $470k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 3 Florence Dr! This 3 bedroom 2 bath West Mystic ranch has a lot of potential for first time home buyers, those downsizing and looking for single-level living, or someone handy to bring this manageable-sized home up to speed with their finishing touches. The main level has low-maintenance laminate flooring throughout and offers 2 spacious sunlit living rooms, a formal dining room which steps out onto a deck overlooking the private backyard, a centrally located kitchen with breakfast bar and plenty of storage, a full bathroom, and 3 bedrooms including a primary suite complete with it's own private bathroom. The large lower level includes laundry hookups and could be finished for a

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Plenty of storage
  • Private bathroom

Tags

SPACIOUS SUNLIT LIVING ROOMSFORMAL DINING ROOMCENTRALLY LOCATED KITCHENBREAKFAST BARPLENTY OF STORAGEPRIVATE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 total parking spaces; Driveway; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric service (appliances listed include electric cooktop)
  • Home design: Single family home; Frame construction
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding; Concrete foundation; Full unfinished basement with interior access and hatchway; Has attic with hatch access
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Level lot on a cul-de-sac; Paved driveway; Off-street paved parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Wall oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Concrete floor in basement
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heat; fuel tank located in basement
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Cable available; Possible in-law apartment with lower level access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups on lower level; Hot water: domestic

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $362k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $362k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#96 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Groton School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #96 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($137k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $362,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.92%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$470,439
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
164 Noank Ledyard Rd 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,581 (+5%) 14mo $525,000 $332 62
576 Noank Ledyard Rd 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-4%) 14mo $430,000 $299 59
102 Noank Ledyard Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,566 (+4%) 15mo $549,000 $351 58
576 New London Rd 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,440 (-4%) 13mo $450,000 $313 52
59 Noank Ledyard Rd 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,705 (+13%) 8mo $356,775 $209 43
527 New London Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,663 (+11%) 9mo $435,000 $262 42
80 Farmstead Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,680 (+12%) 6mo $451,000 $268 41
16 Regatta Cir 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,636 (+9%) 24mo $675,000 $413 41
8- Ice House Ln 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-11%) 23mo $695,000 $517 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-32,204
Equity at exit
$54,050
10-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$6,216
Equity at exit
$31,342

Cash invested: $101,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06355

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,650 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,901
Tax from tax record
$415 /mo · $4,981/yr
Insurance
$151
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$766
Net cashflow
$416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,123
Max offer price $362,500
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,625
Closing costs
$10,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
308 Noank Ledyard Rd Mystic, CT 3.0 2.0 1500 $3,500 $2.33 13d 1 0.11mi
99 Bay View Ave Mystic, CT 3.0 2.0 1668 $8,500 $5.10 43d 1 1.00mi
26 Academy Ln Mystic, CT 4.0 2.0 1858 $3,550 $1.91 43d 1 1.17mi
12 Water St Mystic, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $2,800 $3.07 13d 3 1.24mi
54 High St Mystic, CT 3.0 2.5 1826 $3,800 $2.08 43d 1 1.24mi
5 Ashby St Mystic, CT 3.0 2.0 1842 $8,000 $4.34 43d 1 1.26mi
3 Pearl St Apt A Mystic, CT 2.0 1.0 1200 $3,250 $2.71 43d 1 1.26mi
12 Water St Unit 408 Mystic, CT 2.0 1.0 1075 $2,800 $2.60 21d 1 1.26mi
98 Oslo St Mystic, CT 3.0 1.0 1152 $2,900 $2.52 11d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $362,500 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    statusdays on market $362,500 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $362,500 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $362,500 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,981 · $415/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,369 · $531/mo
Expected delta
+$1,388/yr (+$116/mo · 27.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,797
− Mortgage interest
−$20,306
− Property taxes
−$4,981
− Insurance
−$1,812
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,504
− Management
−$3,504
− Depreciation
−$10,545
Taxable loss
−$856
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$205
After-tax cash flow
$5,199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Groton School District
NCES district ID
0901770
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$60,709
Composite
36.28/100
National rank
#4702
State rank
#96 of 153 in CT

Livability — Noank

Score
70/100
State rank
#96
US rank
#7575

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
New London County · 147,197 people
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
Population (ZIP)
12,173
Household income
$137,425
Rent vs Own
19.0% rent · 81.0% own
Severe rent burden
197.0

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 9% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.46%
Current HPI
287.7568
Rent YoY
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $362,500 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2022): $4,981 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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