3 Florence Dr · Noank, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$362,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 3 Florence Dr! This 3 bedroom 2 bath West Mystic ranch has a lot of potential for first time home buyers, those downsizing and looking for single-level living, or someone handy to bring this manageable-sized home up to speed with their finishing touches. The main level has low-maintenance laminate flooring throughout and offers 2 spacious sunlit living rooms, a formal dining room which steps out onto a deck overlooking the private backyard, a centrally located kitchen with breakfast bar and plenty of storage, a full bathroom, and 3 bedrooms including a primary suite complete with it's own private bathroom. The large lower level includes laundry hookups and could be finished for a
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Plenty of storage
- Private bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 4 total parking spaces; Driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric service (appliances listed include electric cooktop)
- Home design: Single family home; Frame construction
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding; Concrete foundation; Full unfinished basement with interior access and hatchway; Has attic with hatch access
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Level lot on a cul-de-sac; Paved driveway; Off-street paved parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Wall oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Concrete floor in basement
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heat; fuel tank located in basement
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Cable available; Possible in-law apartment with lower level access
- Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups on lower level; Hot water: domestic
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $362k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $362k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#96 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Groton School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #96 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($137k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.92%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $470,439
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164 Noank Ledyard Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+5%) | 14mo | $525,000 | $332 | 62 |
| 576 Noank Ledyard Rd | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-4%) | 14mo | $430,000 | $299 | 59 |
| 102 Noank Ledyard Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+4%) | 15mo | $549,000 | $351 | 58 |
| 576 New London Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-4%) | 13mo | $450,000 | $313 | 52 |
| 59 Noank Ledyard Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,705 (+13%) | 8mo | $356,775 | $209 | 43 |
| 527 New London Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,663 (+11%) | 9mo | $435,000 | $262 | 42 |
| 80 Farmstead Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (+12%) | 6mo | $451,000 | $268 | 41 |
| 16 Regatta Cir | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (+9%) | 24mo | $675,000 | $413 | 41 |
| 8- Ice House Ln | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-11%) | 23mo | $695,000 | $517 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-32,204
- Equity at exit
- $54,050
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $6,216
- Equity at exit
- $31,342
Cash invested: $101,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06355
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,650 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,901
- Tax from tax record
- −$415 /mo · $4,981/yr
- Insurance
- −$151
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$766
- Net cashflow
- $416
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,625
- Closing costs
- $10,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Noank Ledyard Rd Mystic, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,500 | $2.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 99 Bay View Ave Mystic, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $8,500 | $5.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 26 Academy Ln Mystic, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $3,550 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 12 Water St Mystic, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $2,800 | $3.07 | 13d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 54 High St Mystic, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1826 | $3,800 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5 Ashby St Mystic, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $8,000 | $4.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3 Pearl St Apt A Mystic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $3,250 | $2.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 12 Water St Unit 408 Mystic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $2,800 | $2.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 98 Oslo St Mystic, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $2,900 | $2.52 | 11d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $362,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $362,500 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $362,500 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$362,500 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,981 · $415/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,369 · $531/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,388/yr (+$116/mo · 27.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,797
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,306
- − Property taxes
- −$4,981
- − Insurance
- −$1,812
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,504
- − Management
- −$3,504
- − Depreciation
- −$10,545
- Taxable loss
- −$856
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$205
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Groton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901770
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,709
- Composite
- 36.28/100
- National rank
- #4702
- State rank
- #96 of 153 in CT
Livability — Noank
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #7575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,173
- Household income
- $137,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 197.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 9% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.46%
- Current HPI
- 287.7568
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $362,500 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2022): $4,981 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…