4171 Eichelberger St · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located at 4171 Eichelberger ST, STLS, MO 63116, this single-family residence in STLS County presents an exciting opportunity to own a piece of history. Built in 1919, this property holds the promise of comfortable living. This single-family residence could be the perfect opportunity foreign investors or a flipper
Key facts
- 5,706 sq ft lot
- Built 1919
- Listed 303 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.36%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,170
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -55.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4045 Walsh St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 803 (+0%) | 2mo | $55,635 | $69 | 90 |
| 5034 Ray Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 800 (0%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $206 | 85 |
| 5450 Dresden Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 829 (+4%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $181 | 72 |
| 3976 Eichelberger St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-10%) | 1mo | $10,000 | $14 | 69 |
| 6118 Newport Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (+7%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $233 | 63 |
| 5425 Bates St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 914 (+14%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $202 | 59 |
| 4372 Ellenwood Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+8%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 4068 Wilmington Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 901 (+13%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $222 | 54 |
| 4609 Milentz Ave | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-4%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $182 | 53 |
| 5205 S Kingshighway Blvd | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 859 (+7%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $157 | 52 |
| 4404 Taft Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 884 (+10%) | 2mo | $239,900 | $271 | 46 |
| 5203 Windsor Pkwy | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 890 (+11%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $180 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $21,223
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $56,178
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63116
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,089 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $837/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $479
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $511 | -5% $495 | +0% $479 | +5% $464 | +10% $448 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $393 | -5% $436 | +0% $479 | +5% $522 | +10% $565 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $507 | -0.5pp $493 | base $479 | +0.5pp $465 | +1.0pp $451 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5021 Ray Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,195 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5021 Ray Ave Unit 1f St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,095 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5021 Ray Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,194 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4740 Newport Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,650 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4028 Schiller Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,440 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4733 Morgan Ford Rd Unit 3 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $799 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4729 Morgan Ford Rd Unit 7 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $799 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4413 Delor St Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,125 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4215 Neosho St Unit 101 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5723 Gravois Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $850 | $0.79 | 12d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5033 Ulena Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,575 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5415 Dresden Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4205 Ellenwood Ave Unit 202 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $899 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4205 Ellenwood Ave Unit 102 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $899 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5111 Cologne Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4007 Wilmington Ave Fl 2 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $850 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4227 Ellenwood Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $825 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4231-4233 Ellenwood Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $825 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4274 Ellenwood Ave Unit 1E St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3824 Eiler St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6135 Newport Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,976 | $2.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4710 Eichelberger St Unit First St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4428 Ellenwood Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4403 Gravois Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4114 Osceola St Unit A St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $750 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4666-4668 Rosa Ave Unit 4 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $725 | $0.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4668 Rosa Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $725 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4668 Rosa Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $725 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5006 Christy Blvd Unit 1st Fl St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3765 Delor St Unit 37651-F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3761 Delor St St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,285 | $1.43 | 2d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 3815 Wilmington Ave Apt 2N St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3647 Delor St Unit 3647-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3737 Delor St Unit 3737-1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3737 Delor St Unit 3737-2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3729 Delor St Unit 37292-F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3717 Delor St Unit 37172-F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,115 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4341 Morganford Rd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $799 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4341 Morgan Ford Rd Unit F St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $749 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5707 Dewey Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-16price $59,000 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Located at 4171 Eichelberger ST, STLS, MO 63116, this single-family residence in STLS County presents an exciting opportunity to own a piece of history. Built in 1919, this property holds the promise of comfortable living. This single-family residence could be the perfect opportunity foreign investors or a flipper
-
2026-01-14status Active 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Located at 4171 Eichelberger ST, STLS, MO 63116, this single-family residence in STLS County presents an exciting opportunity to own a piece of history. Built in 1919, this property holds the promise of comfortable living. This single-family residence could be the perfect opportunity foreign investors or a flipper
-
2026-01-14price $63,900 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Located at 4171 Eichelberger ST, STLS, MO 63116, this single-family residence in STLS County presents an exciting opportunity to own a piece of history. Built in 1919, this property holds the promise of comfortable living. This single-family residence could be the perfect opportunity foreign investors or a flipper
-
2025-08-07price $64,900 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Located at 4171 Eichelberger ST, STLS, MO 63116, this single-family residence in STLS County presents an exciting opportunity to own a piece of history. Built in 1919, this property holds the promise of comfortable living. This single-family residence could be the perfect opportunity foreign investors or a flipper
-
2025-07-18$69,900 Active 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Located at 4171 Eichelberger ST, STLS, MO 63116, this single-family residence in STLS County presents an exciting opportunity to own a piece of history. Built in 1919, this property holds the promise of comfortable living. This single-family residence could be the perfect opportunity foreign investors or a flipper
-
2025-05-03historical
-
2025-04-18$65,000 Active
-
2025-04-16historical
-
2002-10-18soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $837 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $837 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$837
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,046
- − Management
- −$1,046
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,187
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,245
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,170
- Household income
- $61,433
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1923.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -271.19%
- Current HPI
- 215.7108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+5.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $59,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $63,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $64,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-18 Listed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-03 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Listed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-16 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2024): $837 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…