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539 E Elm St
C+ Composite 63.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

539 E Elm St · Tamaqua, PA 18252
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 868 sqft · Townhouse public records · 404 Days on market
Built 1910 3,049 sqft lot $109/sqft · 10% above area Est $86k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Frame-Constructed, Semi-Detached Single-Family Dwelling is located in a great part of town, in a quiet and peaceful residential neighborhood on the east side of the Borough. The Subject Property is within easy driving distance to all local amenities and the small town attractions. This Dwelling Has 2 Bedrooms, Open Front Porch and Storage Basement. The Rear Yard is large and has Privacy for Outside Relaxation too! Call Owner Direct for a showing today.

Key facts

  • Storage basement
  • Large rear yard
  • Open front porch

Tags

OPEN FRONT PORCHSTORAGE BASEMENTLARGE REAR YARDPRIVACY FOR OUTSIDE RELAXATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 6.8% in Tamaqua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#209 in PA, #1,844 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, employment F.
  • Tamaqua Area SD (rural): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #331 of 539 in PA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 404 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $95k implies a 849% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 404 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.78%
Cash-on-cash
16.01%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,128
List price
$94,900
Delta
10.19%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
541 E Elm St 0.00mi 2/1.0 868 (0%) 15mo $93,000 $107 87

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$7,201
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$35,338
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18252

Home prices YoY
-15.4%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,235 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,008/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
223 Schuylkill Ave Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 43d 1 0.44mi
234 Mauch Chunk St Unit 2 Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,425 $1.30 23d 1 0.53mi
128 E Broad St Unit 128C Tamaqua, PA 2.0 1.0 1055 $1,200 $1.14 43d 1 0.66mi
132 E Broad St Unit 1 Tamaqua, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 43d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 404 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 403 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 402 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 401 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 399 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $94,900 Active 398 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 395 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 394 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 393 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 392 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,900 Active 389 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 388 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 387 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 386 DOM
  15. 2025-12-30
    price $94,900 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    This Frame-Constructed, Semi-Detached Single-Family Dwelling is located in a great part of town, in a quiet and peaceful residential neighborhood on the east side of the Borough. The Subject Property is within easy driving distance to all local amenities and the small town attractions. This Dwelling Has 2 Bedrooms, Open Front Porch and Storage Basement. The Rear Yard is large and has Privacy for Outside Relaxation too! Call Owner Direct for a showing today.

  16. 2025-05-09
    listed $89,900 Active 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    This Frame-Constructed, Semi-Detached Single-Family Dwelling is located in a great part of town, in a quiet and peaceful residential neighborhood on the east side of the Borough. The Subject Property is within easy driving distance to all local amenities and the small town attractions. This Dwelling Has 2 Bedrooms, Open Front Porch and Storage Basement. The Rear Yard is large and has Privacy for Outside Relaxation too! Call Owner Direct for a showing today.

  17. 2016-01-22
    historical
  18. 2014-03-17
    listed $37,000
  19. 2009-09-18
    soldstatus $10,000
  20. 2009-09-11
    soldstatus $10,000
  21. 2008-06-29
    listed $10,000
  22. 2008-06-29
    historical
  23. 2004-10-26
    soldstatus $6,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,008 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,253 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$246/yr (+$20/mo · 24.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,821
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$1,008
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,186
− Management
−$1,186
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$2,891
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$694
After-tax cash flow
$3,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tamaqua Area SD
NCES district ID
4223220
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,184
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4893
State rank
#331 of 539 in PA

Livability — Tamaqua

Score
80/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#1844

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tamaqua, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,065

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Salvadoran 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 3% Polish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.53%
Current HPI
194.8976
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1360.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $94,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Listed $89,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2016-01-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-03-17 Listed $37,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-09-18 Sold (MLS) $10,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 2008-06-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-06-29 Listed $10,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $6,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,008 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…