7912 Redfish St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming raised cottage built in 2011, features a 2 bedroom, a living room that opens to the kit equipped w/ appliances, dedicated laundry area, and off street parking. New flooring has recently been added, as well as fresh paint and new steps This home just needs a few finishing touches to be complete-a toilet and tub and adding additional Hardie plank. The property is being sold "as is" Financing options are limited to cash, FHA 203K loan or a construction loan, due to the unfinished bath. No flooding. All measurements are approximate. It is up to agent/buyer to confirm meas. This Home is in good condition..
Key facts
- Ac system installed
- New vanity
- Off street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 11% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $89k implies a 789% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.13%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,880
- List price
- $88,900
- Delta
- -16.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Martin Dr | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+12%) | 10mo | $99,000 | $132 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-1,956
- Equity at exit
- $13,255
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $5,812
- Equity at exit
- $7,686
Cash invested: $24,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70126
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,143 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$466
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,225
- Closing costs
- $2,667
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7019 Huntington Park Dr Unit 11 New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $882 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6881 Parc Brittany Blvd New Orleans, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 741 | $1,055 | $1.42 | 2d | 31 | 1.16mi |
| 7019 Crowder Blvd Unit 133 New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $892 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $88,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $88,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $88,900 627-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Charming raised cottage built in 2011, features a 2 bedroom, a living room that opens to the kit equipped w/ appliances, dedicated laundry area, and off street parking. New flooring has recently been added, as well as fresh paint and new steps This home just needs a few finishing touches to be complete-a toilet and tub and adding additional Hardie plank. The property is being sold "as is" Financing options are limited to cash, FHA 203K loan or a construction loan, due to the unfinished bath. No flooding. All measurements are approximate. It is up to agent/buyer to confirm meas. This Home is in good condition. .
-
2026-05-13price $88,900 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Charming raised cottage built in 2011, features a 2 bedroom, a living room that opens to the kit equipped w/ appliances, dedicated laundry area, and off street parking. New flooring has recently been added, as well as fresh paint and new steps This home just needs a few finishing touches to be complete-a toilet and tub and adding additional Hardie plank. The property is being sold "as is" Financing options are limited to cash, FHA 203K loan or a construction loan, due to the unfinished bath. No flooding. All measurements are approximate. It is up to agent/buyer to confirm meas. This Home is in good condition. .
-
2026-02-19$79,900 Active 627-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Charming raised cottage built in 2011, features a 2 bedroom, a living room that opens to the kit equipped w/ appliances, dedicated laundry area, and off street parking. New flooring has recently been added, as well as fresh paint and new steps This home just needs a few finishing touches to be complete-a toilet and tub and adding additional Hardie plank. The property is being sold "as is" Financing options are limited to cash, FHA 203K loan or a construction loan, due to the unfinished bath. No flooding. All measurements are approximate. It is up to agent/buyer to confirm meas. This Home is in good condition. .
-
2026-02-19$79,900 Active 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Charming raised cottage built in 2011, features a 2 bedroom, a living room that opens to the kit equipped w/ appliances, dedicated laundry area, and off street parking. New flooring has recently been added, as well as fresh paint and new steps This home just needs a few finishing touches to be complete-a toilet and tub and adding additional Hardie plank. The property is being sold "as is" Financing options are limited to cash, FHA 203K loan or a construction loan, due to the unfinished bath. No flooding. All measurements are approximate. It is up to agent/buyer to confirm meas. This Home is in good condition. .
-
2009-09-10soldstatus $10,000
-
2009-08-31soldstatus $10,000
-
2008-10-31$13,000
-
2008-10-31$13,000
-
1993-11-29soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,034 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,034 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,721
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,980
- − Property taxes
- −$1,034
- − Insurance
- −$1,242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,098
- − Management
- −$1,098
- − Depreciation
- −$2,586
- Taxable income
- $1,684
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,047
- Household income
- $41,709
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1767.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.35%
- Current HPI
- 177.355
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.24%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+640.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $88,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $88,900 GSREIN
- 2026-02-19 Listed $79,900 GSREIN
- 2026-02-19 Listed $79,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2009-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-31 Sold (MLS) $10,000 GSREIN
- 2008-10-31 Listed $13,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2008-10-31 Listed $13,000 GSREIN
- 1993-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,034 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…