4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #61 · Topanga, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There is a lot to love about this home: a well put together floor plan that offers THREE BEDROOMS and TWO FULL BATHROOMS; newer construction from 2004; brand new air conditioning; and completely repainted interior with hard flooring everywhere. There's even a wood burning fireplace with chimney. And if you've been looking at homes this year, it's hard to find something like this for under $400k. The home has been well maintained during its lifetime and is ready to move in. With the primary bedroom at the other end of the home, you will not only enjoy added privacy, but also partake of the panoramic view outside your window. This bedroom has direct access to the back porch, where you can soak in the view everyday while enjoying coffee or reading a favorite book. This all ages park features mature trees and landscaping, and the added amenities of a heated swimming pool, clubhouse with kitchen, billiards, and RV storage. And don't forget you are still close to many things, with easy access to the freeway and all the things Woodland Hills has to offer. Or forget it all and turn right on Topanga and head to the beach! Let's go!
Key facts
- Panoramic view
- Heated swimming pool
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $325k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $286k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 2.6% in Topanga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#846 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Las Virgenes Unified (suburban): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #58 of 517 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Chaparral Elementary (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A, #91 of 1,571 statewide, top 6%, 537 students, 18% FRL); Alice C. Stelle Middle (math 40% / reading 68%, grade B-, #79 of 498 statewide, top 16%, 760 students, 17% FRL); Calabasas High (math 34% / reading 70%, grade D+, #296 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 1,817 students, 23% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($133k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.23%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $364,528
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -10.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #40 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,255 (+1%) | 6mo | $425,000 | $339 | 94 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #31 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+0%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $308 | 83 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #178 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+4%) | 18mo | $219,000 | $169 | 75 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #130 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-7%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $164 | 73 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #51 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,123 (-10%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $329 | 69 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #98 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+8%) | 16mo | $340,000 | $252 | 68 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #102 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-10%) | 16mo | $228,000 | $204 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $32,131
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $103,869
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91364
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,357 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $815/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$915
- Net cashflow
- $1,534
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,718 | -5% $1,626 | +0% $1,534 | +5% $1,442 | +10% $1,350 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,190 | -5% $1,362 | +0% $1,534 | +5% $1,706 | +10% $1,878 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,698 | -0.5pp $1,617 | base $1,534 | +0.5pp $1,450 | +1.0pp $1,364 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4413 Canoga Dr Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $4,995 | $3.35 | 16d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4532 Ensenada Dr Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,590 | $3.24 | 9d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 22263 Buena Ventura St Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1350 | $6,450 | $4.78 | 20d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 21905 Viscanio Rd Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $4,450 | $3.62 | 26d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1188 Aztec Topanga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $4,500 | $3.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4973 Topanga Canyon Blvd Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $2,850 | $3.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4406 Coloma Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $3,395 | $4.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5020 Topanga Canyon Blvd Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,700 | $4.62 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 22025 Lopez St Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $4,250 | $4.58 | 26d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5007 Canoga Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $4,850 | $3.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 22034 Galvez St Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $4,200 | $3.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22632 Cass Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $4,300 | $2.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5177 Topanga Canyon Blvd Unit 1 Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 22204 Avenue San Luis Woodland Hills, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $5,875 | $3.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $325,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $325,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-03-19price $325,000 1141-char remark
Show marketing remark (1141 chars)
There is a lot to love about this home: a well put together floor plan that offers THREE BEDROOMS and TWO FULL BATHROOMS; newer construction from 2004; brand new air conditioning; and completely repainted interior with hard flooring everywhere. There's even a wood burning fireplace with chimney. And if you've been looking at homes this year, it's hard to find something like this for under $400k. The home has been well maintained during its lifetime and is ready to move in. With the primary bedroom at the other end of the home, you will not only enjoy added privacy, but also partake of the panoramic view outside your window. This bedroom has direct access to the back porch, where you can soak in the view everyday while enjoying coffee or reading a favorite book. This all ages park features mature trees and landscaping, and the added amenities of a heated swimming pool, clubhouse with kitchen, billiards, and RV storage. And don't forget you are still close to many things, with easy access to the freeway and all the things Woodland Hills has to offer. Or forget it all and turn right on Topanga and head to the beach! Let's go!
-
2026-01-22$349,000 Active 1141-char remark
Show marketing remark (1141 chars)
There is a lot to love about this home: a well put together floor plan that offers THREE BEDROOMS and TWO FULL BATHROOMS; newer construction from 2004; brand new air conditioning; and completely repainted interior with hard flooring everywhere. There's even a wood burning fireplace with chimney. And if you've been looking at homes this year, it's hard to find something like this for under $400k. The home has been well maintained during its lifetime and is ready to move in. With the primary bedroom at the other end of the home, you will not only enjoy added privacy, but also partake of the panoramic view outside your window. This bedroom has direct access to the back porch, where you can soak in the view everyday while enjoying coffee or reading a favorite book. This all ages park features mature trees and landscaping, and the added amenities of a heated swimming pool, clubhouse with kitchen, billiards, and RV storage. And don't forget you are still close to many things, with easy access to the freeway and all the things Woodland Hills has to offer. Or forget it all and turn right on Topanga and head to the beach! Let's go!
-
2025-12-01historical
-
2025-11-06price $349,000
-
2025-10-16$360,000 Active
-
2025-10-10historical
-
2025-08-13$375,000 Active
-
2025-08-07historical
-
2025-07-30$375,000 Active
-
2025-07-28historical
-
2025-06-20price $379,000
-
2025-05-28$395,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $815 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,655/yr (+$138/mo · 203.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$815
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,182
- − Management
- −$4,182
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $13,815
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,316
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, newer construction home with a good condition score is ready to move in. It offers a good ROI with updates that would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Both update flooring — improves both resale and rental value
- Resale update kitchen appliances — modernizes the space
- Resale update bathrooms — enhances overall appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both update flooring — improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Resale update kitchen appliances — modernizes the space ↑
- Resale update bathrooms — enhances overall appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Las Virgenes Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0621000
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $118,374
- Composite
- 59.63/100
- National rank
- #907
- State rank
- #58 of 517 in CA
Livability — Topanga
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #846
- US rank
- #23336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Topanga, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 6,315
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,748
- Household income
- $132,854
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 899.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 10% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -776.49%
- Current HPI
- 362.9341
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.51%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-17.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $325,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $349,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $349,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listed $360,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-10 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $375,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-07-30 Listed $375,000 CRMLS
- 2025-07-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $379,000 CRMLS
- 2025-05-28 Listed $395,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $815 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…