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4121 Opal St 10-Plex
C+ Composite 63.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,995,000

4121 Opal St · Oakland, CA 94609
10 bd · 10.0 ba · 5,904 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1962 7,600 sqft lot $338/sqft · 21% above area Est $1646k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 10 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Marcus & Millichap is pleased to present 4121 Opal Street, a 10-unit apartment building ideally located in Oakland's highly desirable Temescal neighborhood, one of the East Bay's most vibrant and walkable districts. Offered at an attractive $208,000 per unit with nearly a 6% cap rate, the property presents a compelling investment opportunity with significant upside through cosmetic improvements. The asset benefits from exceptional walkability and immediate access to the shopping, dining, and entertainment along Telegraph Avenue, Broadway, and Piedmont Avenue, placing tenants in the center of one of Oaklands most dynamic urban corridors.

Key facts

  • 7,600 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1962

Tags

10 UNIT APARTMENT BUILDINGTEMESCAL NEIGHBORHOODEXCEPTIONAL WALKABILITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 10 × 10-bed/10.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.00M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($131k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($32k rent vs $2.00M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.82M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $32,040/mo this rent would consume 357% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 1721% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $559k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.82M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $1,815,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
12.88%
Cash-on-cash
23.54%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,645,859
List price
$1,995,000
Delta
21.21%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$492,521
Equity at exit
$297,461
10-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
4.31×
Total profit
$1,847,515
Equity at exit
$172,491

Cash invested: $558,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Oakland
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
Rent Adjustment Program + Just Cause.

ZIP-level market 94609

Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
51.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$32,040 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$10,462
Tax from tax record
$3,062 /mo · $36,741/yr
Insurance
$831
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$6,728
Net cashflow
$10,957

Break-even live

Break-even rent $18,171
Max offer price $1,995,000
Occupancy floor 61%

10-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (10 units) $32,040

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$498,750
Closing costs
$59,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-04-10
    price $1,995,000 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Marcus & Millichap is pleased to present 4121 Opal Street, a 10-unit apartment building ideally located in Oakland's highly desirable Temescal neighborhood, one of the East Bay's most vibrant and walkable districts. Offered at an attractive $208,000 per unit with nearly a 6% cap rate, the property presents a compelling investment opportunity with significant upside through cosmetic improvements. The asset benefits from exceptional walkability and immediate access to the shopping, dining, and entertainment along Telegraph Avenue, Broadway, and Piedmont Avenue, placing tenants in the center of one of Oaklands most dynamic urban corridors.

  16. 2026-04-10
    price $1,995,000 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Marcus & Millichap is pleased to present 4121 Opal Street, a 10-unit apartment building ideally located in Oakland's highly desirable Temescal neighborhood, one of the East Bay's most vibrant and walkable districts. Offered at an attractive $208,000 per unit with nearly a 6% cap rate, the property presents a compelling investment opportunity with significant upside through cosmetic improvements. The asset benefits from exceptional walkability and immediate access to the shopping, dining, and entertainment along Telegraph Avenue, Broadway, and Piedmont Avenue, placing tenants in the center of one of Oaklands most dynamic urban corridors.

  17. 2026-03-13
    listed $2,080,000 Active 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Marcus & Millichap is pleased to present 4121 Opal Street, a 10-unit apartment building ideally located in Oakland's highly desirable Temescal neighborhood, one of the East Bay's most vibrant and walkable districts. Offered at an attractive $208,000 per unit with nearly a 6% cap rate, the property presents a compelling investment opportunity with significant upside through cosmetic improvements. The asset benefits from exceptional walkability and immediate access to the shopping, dining, and entertainment along Telegraph Avenue, Broadway, and Piedmont Avenue, placing tenants in the center of one of Oaklands most dynamic urban corridors.

  18. 2026-03-13
    listed $2,080,000 Active 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Marcus & Millichap is pleased to present 4121 Opal Street, a 10-unit apartment building ideally located in Oakland's highly desirable Temescal neighborhood, one of the East Bay's most vibrant and walkable districts. Offered at an attractive $208,000 per unit with nearly a 6% cap rate, the property presents a compelling investment opportunity with significant upside through cosmetic improvements. The asset benefits from exceptional walkability and immediate access to the shopping, dining, and entertainment along Telegraph Avenue, Broadway, and Piedmont Avenue, placing tenants in the center of one of Oaklands most dynamic urban corridors.

  19. 2023-11-14
    soldstatus $1,900,000
  20. 2012-12-27
    soldstatus $900,000
  21. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $485,000
  22. 1995-08-08
    soldstatus $519,027
  23. 1992-02-24
    soldstatus $555,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$36,741 · $3,062/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$36,741 · $3,062/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$384,480
− Mortgage interest
−$111,751
− Property taxes
−$36,741
− Insurance
−$9,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$30,758
− Management
−$30,758
− Depreciation
−$58,036
Taxable income
$106,459
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$25,550
After-tax cash flow
$105,929/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oakland Unified
NCES district ID
0628050
Math proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$55,194
Composite
29.52/100
National rank
#11769
State rank
#1007 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Oakland

Score
71/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#7245

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oakland, CA
County
Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
City population
385,993
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
23,928
Household income
$107,834
Rent vs Own
67.1% rent · 32.9% own
Severe rent burden
1721.0

Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,928,884 people
By 2030
2,069,146 · +7.3%
By 2040
2,338,405 · +21.2%
By 2050
2,586,608 · +34.1%
By 2075
3,061,911 · +58.7%
By 2100
3,234,133 · +67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Alameda

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -765.68%
Current HPI
327.2982
Rent YoY
▲ 6.51%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+259.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $1,995,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $1,995,000 MLSListings
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $2,080,000 MLSListings
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $2,080,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2023-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $1,900,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $900,000 Public Records
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $485,000 Public Records
  • 1995-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $519,027 Public Records
  • 1992-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $555,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $36,741 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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