🌊 Lakefront
2427 Biron St · Mandeville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to comfort, flexibility, and an unbeatable location! Nestled in an established neighborhood within a highly preferred school district, this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of everyday convenience and functional living. Just minutes from the beautiful Lake Pontchartrain lakefront, The Trace, shopping, dining, and quick access to I-12, you'll love how connected this home feels to everything the area has to offer. Inside, the spacious and versatile flex room provides endless possibilities -- create the perfect home office, media room, playroom, fitness space, or cozy den tailored to your lifestyle. Thoughtful updates bring added value and peace of mind, including a water well installed in 2022 along with indoor and outdoor HVAC units replaced in 2022 for improved comfort and efficiency. Step outside to enjoy a generously sized backyard designed for relaxing evenings, gatherings with friends, or weekend projects. The impressive 16x20 workshop/shed includes electricity, partial insulation, and its own window A/C unit, making it ideal for hobbies, storage, a workspace, or additional entertaining potential. A multi-car driveway adds even more convenience for homeowners and guests alike. As an added bonus, the seller's VA loan is assumable for qualified buyers -- presenting an incredible opportunity in today's market. This home truly offers the space, versatility, and location buyers have been searching for. Schedule your private showing today and come experience all it has to offer!
Key facts
- Water well
- Multi-car driveway
- 16x20 workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with two parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors installed
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer; Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Home design: Single-story home; Brick, stucco, and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Average condition; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built with brick, stucco, and vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Detached shed(s); Rectangular lot approximately 66 x 113; Located outside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Includes multiple bedrooms (total rooms listed: 10)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Interior features: Attic with pull-down stairs; Ceiling fans; Carbon monoxide detector; High-speed internet available; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $224k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($568/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.5% in Mandeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#13 in LA, #3,224 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $185k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.30%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $282,512
- List price
- $224,000
- Delta
- -20.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2155 Biron St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (-3%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $168 | 83 |
| 2761 Rue Weller St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-7%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $141 | 80 |
| 623 Beaulieux St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,708 (+7%) | 3mo | $319,130 | $187 | 79 |
| 701 Armand St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (-3%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $129 | 76 |
| 2010 Rue Pickney St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,746 (+10%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $146 | 68 |
| 2018 Steven St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,455 (-9%) | 8mo | $258,000 | $177 | 62 |
| 928 Nancy St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,737 (+9%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $176 | 60 |
| 2366 Soult St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,702 (+7%) | 1mo | $311,500 | $183 | 60 |
| 1873 Octavia Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,752 (+10%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $183 | 50 |
| 1720 Dupre St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-8%) | 7mo | $259,000 | $176 | 48 |
| 2425 Cours Carson St | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 | 1,797 (+13%) | 3mo | $365,000 | $203 | 44 |
| 2321 Cours Carson St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+13%) | 5mo | $384,900 | $214 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-37,041
- Equity at exit
- $33,399
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-43,210
- Equity at exit
- $19,367
Cash invested: $62,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70448
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,965 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,175
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,344/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $47
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,000
- Closing costs
- $6,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2440 Biron St Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2630 Rue Weller Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 735 Nancy St Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 909 Chevreuil St Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 805 Norval St Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 817 Norval St Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $1,950 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2058 Olvey Dr Mandeville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2105 | $2,575 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1010 Elmer St Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $1,600 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 22475 Louisiana 1088 Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 143 Remmy Ct Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$224,000 Active 1538-char remark
Show marketing remark (1538 chars)
Welcome home to comfort, flexibility, and an unbeatable location! Nestled in an established neighborhood within a highly preferred school district, this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of everyday convenience and functional living. Just minutes from the beautiful Lake Pontchartrain lakefront, The Trace, shopping, dining, and quick access to I-12, you'll love how connected this home feels to everything the area has to offer. Inside, the spacious and versatile flex room provides endless possibilities -- create the perfect home office, media room, playroom, fitness space, or cozy den tailored to your lifestyle. Thoughtful updates bring added value and peace of mind, including a water well installed in 2022 along with indoor and outdoor HVAC units replaced in 2022 for improved comfort and efficiency. Step outside to enjoy a generously sized backyard designed for relaxing evenings, gatherings with friends, or weekend projects. The impressive 16x20 workshop/shed includes electricity, partial insulation, and its own window A/C unit, making it ideal for hobbies, storage, a workspace, or additional entertaining potential. A multi-car driveway adds even more convenience for homeowners and guests alike. As an added bonus, the seller's VA loan is assumable for qualified buyers -- presenting an incredible opportunity in today's market. This home truly offers the space, versatility, and location buyers have been searching for. Schedule your private showing today and come experience all it has to offer!
-
2026-05-12$224,000 Active 1566-char remark
Show marketing remark (1538 chars)
Welcome home to comfort, flexibility, and an unbeatable location! Nestled in an established neighborhood within a highly preferred school district, this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of everyday convenience and functional living. Just minutes from the beautiful Lake Pontchartrain lakefront, The Trace, shopping, dining, and quick access to I-12, you'll love how connected this home feels to everything the area has to offer. Inside, the spacious and versatile flex room provides endless possibilities -- create the perfect home office, media room, playroom, fitness space, or cozy den tailored to your lifestyle. Thoughtful updates bring added value and peace of mind, including a water well installed in 2022 along with indoor and outdoor HVAC units replaced in 2022 for improved comfort and efficiency. Step outside to enjoy a generously sized backyard designed for relaxing evenings, gatherings with friends, or weekend projects. The impressive 16x20 workshop/shed includes electricity, partial insulation, and its own window A/C unit, making it ideal for hobbies, storage, a workspace, or additional entertaining potential. A multi-car driveway adds even more convenience for homeowners and guests alike. As an added bonus, the seller's VA loan is assumable for qualified buyers -- presenting an incredible opportunity in today's market. This home truly offers the space, versatility, and location buyers have been searching for. Schedule your private showing today and come experience all it has to offer!
-
2026-03-27price $229,900
-
2026-03-27price $229,900
-
2026-02-19price $234,900
-
2026-02-19price $234,900
-
2025-11-26price $239,900
-
2025-11-19price $245,000
-
2025-11-12$239,900 Active
-
2025-06-27$253,500 Active
-
2006-07-07soldstatus $185,000
-
2006-06-30soldstatus $185,000
-
2006-05-27$185,000
-
2006-05-27$185,000
-
1998-11-03soldstatus $102,000
-
1998-10-29soldstatus $102,000
-
1998-09-16$102,000
-
1998-09-16$102,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,344 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,344 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,547
- − Property taxes
- −$1,344
- − Insurance
- −$2,622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,887
- − Management
- −$1,887
- − Depreciation
- −$6,516
- Taxable loss
- −$3,220
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$773
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Mandeville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #3224
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 50,537
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,338
- Household income
- $95,682
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 320.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.97%
- Current HPI
- 179.9084
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+119.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $224,000 GSREIN
- 2026-05-12 Listed $224,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $229,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $229,900 GSREIN
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $234,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $234,900 GSREIN
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $239,900 GSREIN
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $245,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-12 Listed $239,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-27 Listed $253,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-30 Sold (MLS) $185,000 GSREIN
- 2006-05-27 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-05-27 Listed $185,000 GSREIN
- 1998-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-29 Sold (MLS) $102,000 GSREIN
- 1998-09-16 Listed $102,000 GSREIN
- 1998-09-16 Listed $102,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,344 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…