4065 Airport Rd · Shenandoah, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$102,750
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Acreage located on 1.65 acres near the airport in Shenandoah, Iowa. The home has steel siding, a full unfinished basement, and the interior of the house is unfinished. The house has the potential for 4 bedrooms, one full bath on the main floor, and a 1/2 bath upstairs. The oversized (24'x40') garage has a concrete floor. The roof and siding of the garage need to be repaired or replaced. This is a fixer upper and is being sold "AS IS".
Key facts
- Steel siding
- Oversized garage
- 1.65 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $103k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $103k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#206 in IA, #3,757 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Shenandoah Community School District (town): math 64% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #190 of 289 in IA (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Fremont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $710 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fremont County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $75k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.83%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $7,548
- Equity at exit
- $15,320
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $37,789
- Equity at exit
- $8,884
Cash invested: $28,770 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51601
- Home prices YoY
- -14.9%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,378 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$539
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$43
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $380
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,688
- Closing costs
- $3,082
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $102,750 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $102,750 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $102,750 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $102,750 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $102,750 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $102,750 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $102,750 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $102,750 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $107,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $107,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $107,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $107,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $107,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $107,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $107,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $107,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $107,500 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Acreage located on 1.65 acres near the airport in Shenandoah, Iowa. The home has steel siding, a full unfinished basement, and the interior of the house is unfinished. The house has the potential for 4 bedrooms, one full bath on the main floor, and a 1/2 bath upstairs. The oversized (24'x40') garage has a concrete floor. The roof and siding of the garage need to be repaired or replaced. This is a fixer upper and is being sold "AS IS".
-
2026-04-20price $117,877 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Acreage located on 1.65 acres near the airport in Shenandoah, Iowa. The home has steel siding, a full unfinished basement, and the interior of the house is unfinished. The house has the potential for 4 bedrooms, one full bath on the main floor, and a 1/2 bath upstairs. The oversized (24'x40') garage has a concrete floor. The roof and siding of the garage need to be repaired or replaced. This is a fixer upper and is being sold "AS IS".
-
2026-03-24$124,400 Active 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Acreage located on 1.65 acres near the airport in Shenandoah, Iowa. The home has steel siding, a full unfinished basement, and the interior of the house is unfinished. The house has the potential for 4 bedrooms, one full bath on the main floor, and a 1/2 bath upstairs. The oversized (24'x40') garage has a concrete floor. The roof and siding of the garage need to be repaired or replaced. This is a fixer upper and is being sold "AS IS".
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2010-07-14soldstatus $75,000
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2010-07-14soldstatus $70,000
-
2010-06-23soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,573 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$41/yr (+$3/mo · 2.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,541
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,532
- − Insurance
- −$514
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,323
- − Management
- −$1,323
- − Depreciation
- −$2,989
- Taxable income
- $3,104
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$745
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shenandoah Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926070
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,835
- Composite
- 55.67/100
- National rank
- #1225
- State rank
- #190 of 289 in IA
Livability — Shenandoah
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #3757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,562
Population outlook (Fremont County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,095 people
- By 2030
- 5,632 · -7.6%
- By 2040
- 4,806 · -21.1%
- By 2050
- 4,106 · -32.6%
- By 2075
- 2,947 · -51.6%
- By 2100
- 2,205 · -63.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Greek 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fremont
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.6) · D 27.0% · R 71.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.0pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -44.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.6 2020: R+42.3 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+9.2 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.90%
- Current HPI
- 181.7259
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+43.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $107,500 IAR
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $117,877 IAR
- 2026-03-24 Listed $124,400 IAR
- 2010-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2010-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2010-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,532 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…