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7933 Guadiana Way
B- Composite 65.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$345,000

7933 Guadiana Way · Ave Maria, FL 34142
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,437 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2012 7,840 sqft lot $472/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome Home to the Pulte built Taft model in the desirable Bellera Walk neighborhood situated in the Del Webb 55+ community located in Ave Maria, FL. This home is surrounded by beautiful landscaped areas on the back and one side of the home, offering a tranquil park-like setting for hours of relaxation time. The perfect home for year round or seasonal stays away from the cold days of winter up North. This is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 car garage. The large living room with plenty of windows offers lots of light to this home. The kitchen is situated at the rear of the home overlooking the park-like setting. Step through the sliding glass door in your kitchen where you can sit and rel

Key facts

  • Landscaped areas
  • Large living room
  • 7,840 sq ft lot

Tags

PULTE BUILT TAFT MODELBELLERA WALK NEIGHBORHOODDEL WEBB 55 COMMUNITYLANDSCAPED AREASLARGE LIVING ROOMGRANITE KITCHEN COUNTERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Deeded restrictions: no commercial use and no RVs
  • Financial info: Total annual recurring community fees disclosed; One-time community fees disclosed
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly HOA fees; Master HOA fee assessed quarterly; HOA maintenance covers cable, internet/WiFi, lawn/land maintenance, manager, street lights, street maintenance and trash removal; Managed by developer; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool and room, exercise room, golf course (public), tennis and pickleball courts, bocce, bike/jog paths, dog park, park, library, restaurant, shopping, sauna, beauty salon, BBQ/picnic area, hobby room, underground utilities and sidewalks; Gated, golf-course community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Paved driveway
  • Security: Gated community; Manual storm shutters
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family, 1-story ranch style; Rear exposure faces southwest; Located in the Ave Maria community (BELLERA WALK)
  • Construction: Built in 2012; Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior; Tile roof; Single-hung windows; Regular lot
  • Exterior features: Patio; Automatic sprinkler system; Landscaped area/view; Central irrigation

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator/Freezer; Eat-in kitchen and dining area open to living
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms with a split bedroom floor plan
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and a shower (no tub)
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling with ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Cable prewire and high-speed internet available; Pantry; Smoke detectors; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Turnkey furnished; Den/Study; Screened lanai/porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence with washer and dryer; Auto garage door

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $345k).
  • Recommended offer: $340k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Estates Elementary School (math 70% / reading 67%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 862 students, 53% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 449 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,525/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1093% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $339,825 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.68%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$17,927
Equity at exit
$82,481
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$100,828
Equity at exit
$85,933

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34142

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
449
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,525 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$451 /mo · $5,411/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$472
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$950
Net cashflow
$699

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,640
Max offer price $345,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,250
Closing costs
$10,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8010 Helena Ct Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1554 $2,500 $1.61 21d 1 0.15mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir #4217 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,795 $5.02 23d 1 0.20mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir #4316 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,495 $4.76 23d 1 0.20mi
5835 Double Eagle Cir #4726 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,095 $1.82 13d 1 0.20mi
5704 Melbourne Ct #6712 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,295 $4.19 23d 1 0.20mi
5715 Double Eagle Cir #4416 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,100 $1.82 23d 1 0.20mi
6039 Ellerston WAY #2017 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $6,295 $4.65 23d 1 0.20mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir #4218 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $6,295 $4.84 23d 1 0.20mi
5710 Melbourne Ct #6511 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,295 $4.19 23d 1 0.20mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir #4223 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,395 $2.08 23d 1 0.20mi
6036 Ellerston WAY #1311 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $4,490 $2.58 23d 1 0.20mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir #4338 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1301 $6,295 $4.84 23d 1 0.20mi
5445 Double Eagle Cir #3011 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1569 $2,495 $1.59 23d 1 0.20mi
5835 Double Eagle CIR #4714 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,895 $1.69 23d 1 0.20mi
6205 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $5,000 $3.21 23d 1 0.32mi
6189 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $6,295 $4.04 23d 1 0.32mi
6082 National Blvd Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $4,145 $3.03 23d 2 0.35mi
6168 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1570 $5,495 $3.50 13d 1 0.36mi
6023 Ellerston Way #1823 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,995 $1.77 23d 1 0.39mi
5909 Berwick Ln Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1850 $10,995 $5.94 23d 1 0.41mi
6058 National Blvd #343 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1194 $4,000 $3.35 23d 1 0.45mi
6058 National Blvd #335 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $5,795 $5.17 13d 1 0.45mi
6058 National Blvd Ave Maria, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1210 $5,795 $4.79 23d 2 0.45mi
6046 National Blvd Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $4,395 $3.81 23d 2 0.49mi
6034 National Blvd Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1137 $4,046 $3.56 13d 3 0.55mi
5428 Double Eagle Cir #2517 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,695 $1.99 23d 1 0.55mi
5410 Double Eagle Cir #2222 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,395 $1.77 23d 1 0.55mi
5433 Double Eagle Cir #2915 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $6,295 $4.61 21d 1 0.58mi
5835 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4742 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,795 $5.02 23d 1 0.59mi
5807 Double Eagle Cir #4631 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $5,695 $4.38 23d 1 0.59mi
5433 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $3,295 $2.41 23d 1 0.59mi
5427 Double Eagle Cir #2812 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,395 $1.77 13d 1 0.61mi
5427 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,995 $2.21 23d 1 0.61mi
5466 Double Eagle Cir #3425 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $5,995 $4.42 23d 1 0.62mi
5478 Double Eagle Cir #3515 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,395 $1.77 23d 1 0.63mi
5478 Double Eagle Cir #3521 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1569 $4,995 $3.18 23d 1 0.66mi
5454 Double Eagle Cir #3325 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,495 $1.84 23d 1 0.67mi
5479 Double Eagle Cir #3626 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,200 $1.91 13d 1 0.71mi
5943 Sunningdale St Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1850 $10,995 $5.94 23d 1 0.72mi
6040 Ellerston Way #1411 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $2,695 $1.55 23d 1 0.73mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$472 · $5,664/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $345,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $345,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $345,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $345,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $345,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $345,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $345,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $345,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $345,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $345,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $345,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $345,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $345,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $345,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $345,000 Active
  16. 2026-04-30
    historical
  17. 2025-11-26
    listed $362,500 Active
  18. 2025-10-31
    historical
  19. 2025-03-05
    price $365,000
  20. 2025-02-05
    listed $369,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,411 · $451/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,411 · $451/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$54,300
− Mortgage interest
−$19,325
− Property taxes
−$5,411
− Insurance
−$1,725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,344
− Management
−$4,344
− HOA
−$5,664
− Depreciation
−$10,036
Taxable income
$3,450
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$828
After-tax cash flow
$7,558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ave Maria

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Ave Maria, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,149
Household income
$62,333
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1093.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.05%
Current HPI
226.9105
Rent YoY
▲ 2.95%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $345,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $362,500 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-05 Price Changed $365,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Listed $369,000 NAPLESMLS

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,411 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…