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1216 S New Wilke Rd #307
D Composite 43.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

1216 S New Wilke Rd #307 · Arlington Heights, IL 60005
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,155 sqft · Condo public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1971 $477/mo HOA · 22% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo located in the highly desirable Mallard Cove community! This unit offers a fantastic opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch. In need of updates and some tender loving care. This property is perfect for flippers, investors, or owner-occupants with a vision to build equity. Enjoy a functional layout with generous living space and great potential throughout. With the right improvements, this condo can truly shine. Mallard Cove offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, exercise room, and tennis courts-providing both convenience and an active lifestyle. Oh, and the golf course within walking distance is very beautiful. Great lo

Key facts

  • Exercise room
  • Swimming pool
  • Tennis courts

Tags

MALLARD COVE COMMUNITYSWIMMING POOLEXERCISE ROOMTENNIS COURTSGOLF COURSE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manager on-site; Some photos are virtually staged; Possession at closing or immediate
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $477; Association fee covers heat, water, gas, parking, insurance, clubhouse, exercise facilities, pool, exterior maintenance, lawn care, scavenger, and snow removal; Community amenities include bike room/trails, coin laundry, elevator(s), exercise room, storage, and pool; On-site manager available Monday through Friday; Pets allowed (cats OK)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Parking provided (features listed as Other)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached single condo; Entry level: 3; Located in a multi-unit building (39 units); Estimated living area; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Located across from a golf course; near commuter and school bus routes
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Landscaped grounds; Common lot area

Interior

  • Kitchen: Double oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with full bath; Second bedroom on main level (12 x 13) with blinds and laminate flooring; Additional bedrooms present
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in living room, dining room, kitchen, master and bedroom; Laminate in living room (16 x 20), kitchen (9 x 8), dining room (9 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; Baseboard heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); 5 total rooms; Balcony/Porch/Lanai
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-820/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (6.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.9% in Arlington Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in IL, #1,055 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Township Hsd 214 (suburban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #103 of 620 in IL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Willow Bend Elem School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #503 of 2,056 statewide, top 25%, 955 students, 0% FRL); Carl Sandburg Jr High School (math 24% / reading 25%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 470 students, 0% FRL); Rolling Meadows High School (math 35% / reading 39%, grade F, #107 of 693 statewide, top 17%, 2,044 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.0%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,829 (6.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.04%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.9%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-39,573
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-40.3%
Equity multiple
-0.26×
Total profit
$-63,444
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60005

Rents YoY
-5.0%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,201 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$245 /mo · $2,939/yr
Insurance
$75
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$477
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$-68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,287
Max offer price $167,829
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $34 -5% $-17 +0% $-68 +5% $-119 +10% $-170
Rent -10% $-242 -5% $-155 +0% $-68 +5% $19 +10% $106
Rate -1.0pp $22 -0.5pp $-23 base $-68 +0.5pp $-115 +1.0pp $-162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2402 Birch Ln Rolling Meadows, IL 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,649 $1.42 6d 1 0.31mi
2205 Fulle St Rolling Meadows, IL 3.0 2.0 1340 $2,400 $1.79 26d 1 0.40mi
4730 Calvert Dr Unit C2 Rolling Meadows, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,195 $1.83 26d 1 0.42mi
5300 Carriageway Dr #107 Rolling Meadows, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,175 $1.98 26d 1 0.50mi
2850 Southampton Dr Rolling Meadows, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1212 $2,208 $1.82 0d 33 0.52mi
829 S Dwyer Ave Unit D Arlington Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 8d 1 0.70mi
2606 Grouse Ln Rolling Meadows, IL 3.0 1.0 1055 $2,600 $2.46 0d 1 0.76mi
1243 S Mitchell Ave Arlington Heights, IL 3.0 2.0 1486 $3,300 $2.22 11d 1 0.93mi
1243 S Mitchell Ave Unit HSE Arlington Heights, IL 3.0 2.0 1486 $3,300 $2.22 2d 1 0.93mi
814 S Evergreen Ave Arlington Heights, IL 3.0 1.5 1281 $3,950 $3.08 11d 1 1.29mi
3609 Bobwhite Ln Rolling Meadows, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,850 $2.80 11d 1 1.31mi
4700 Arbor Dr Rolling Meadows, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $1,938 $1.85 3d 20 1.36mi
3265 Kirchoff Rd #215 Rolling Meadows, IL 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 19d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$477 · $5,724/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    listed $179,900 Active
  3. 2017-07-28
    historical
  4. 2017-07-19
    price
  5. 2017-07-10
    status Reactivated
  6. 2017-06-12
    historical
  7. 2017-06-07
    price
  8. 2017-05-03
    listed New
  9. 2010-07-19
    historical
  10. 2010-03-03
    listed New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,939 · $245/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,511 · $293/mo
Expected delta
+$572/yr (+$48/mo · 19.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,406
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,939
− Insurance
−$1,697
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,113
− Management
−$2,113
− HOA
−$5,724
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$3,489
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$837
After-tax cash flow
$17/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Township Hsd 214
NCES district ID
1704170
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$68,267
Composite
39.13/100
National rank
#4035
State rank
#103 of 620 in IL

Livability — Arlington Heights

Score
82/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#1055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Arlington Heights, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
80,678
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
28,843
Household income
$99,743
Rent vs Own
35.9% rent · 64.1% own
Severe rent burden
818.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% French 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
64% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 13% Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -301.88%
Current HPI
209.777
Rent YoY
▼ -4.96%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $179,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-28 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-19 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-10 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-12 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-07 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-05-03 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-19 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-03 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,939 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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