1789 County Road 226 · Alton, MO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked away in the heart of the Ozarks, this 3 bedroom 1 bath fixer upper sits on 20 secluded acres + offers a rare opportunity to create your own private retreat. Perfect for those seeking off the grid living, or a quiet escape from everyday. Located near Eleven point river & Mark Twain National Forest, outdoor recreation is right at your doorstep. If you've been searching for acreage, privacy, and potential in a prime ozarks location, this property is ready to be transformed into something truly special
Key facts
- Acreage
- Outdoor recreation
- Off the grid living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.2% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#441 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D, schools F, crime F.
- Couch R-I (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #472 of 535 in MO (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Oregon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($725 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Oregon County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.99%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,900
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- 75.13%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $29,715
- Equity at exit
- $57,050
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $84,271
- Equity at exit
- $96,534
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65606
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $104,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $104,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Tucked away in the heart of the Ozarks, this 3 bedroom 1 bath fixer upper sits on 20 secluded acres + offers a rare opportunity to create your own private retreat. Perfect for those seeking off the grid living, or a quiet escape from everyday. Located near Eleven point river & Mark Twain National Forest, outdoor recreation is right at your doorstep. If you've been searching for acreage, privacy, and potential in a prime ozarks location, this property is ready to be transformed into something truly special
-
2026-05-06price $104,900 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Tucked away in the heart of the Ozarks, this 3 bedroom 1 bath fixer upper sits on 20 secluded acres + offers a rare opportunity to create your own private retreat. Perfect for those seeking off the grid living, or a quiet escape from everyday. Located near Eleven point river & Mark Twain National Forest, outdoor recreation is right at your doorstep. If you've been searching for acreage, privacy, and potential in a prime ozarks location, this property is ready to be transformed into something truly special
-
2026-01-08$109,900 Active 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Tucked away in the heart of the Ozarks, this 3 bedroom 1 bath fixer upper sits on 20 secluded acres + offers a rare opportunity to create your own private retreat. Perfect for those seeking off the grid living, or a quiet escape from everyday. Located near Eleven point river & Mark Twain National Forest, outdoor recreation is right at your doorstep. If you've been searching for acreage, privacy, and potential in a prime ozarks location, this property is ready to be transformed into something truly special
-
2022-02-16soldstatus 1399-char remark
Show marketing remark (1399 chars)
If living in the Ozarks in the middle of your own place is what you have been dreaming of, then look no further! This 3 bed / 1 bath home has a great start and is dried in. It just needs your finishing touches. Home has a wide hallway for ease of travel and boasts a large living area, perfect for entertaining friends and family in the Ozark foothills. New well drilled recently to 221 ft. with static water sitting at 58 ft. with a rate of 25 GPM. Lagoon also newly dug and connected to the main line of the house. Property would be great for off-grid living. No restrictions would make it easy to move an RV while you finish your house, if that is what you want to do. Property has a large cleared area for your yard. The land has been surveyed. Deer will abound on the property if hunting is what you're looking for. The land lays very well and would easily be clearable if grazing ground is what you are seeking. Property sits about 10 minutes from the town of Alton, MO and about 35-40 minutes from West Plains, MO. The Mark Twain National Forest, Spring River and Eleven Point River are just short drives away! If living in the country in the middle of your own place is what you've been dreaming of, don't miss your opportunity to live the dream and be able to create your stamp while finishing your house. Motivated seller. Property is currently Pending, but seller will take backup offers.
-
2021-10-28$99,900 1399-char remark
Show marketing remark (1399 chars)
If living in the Ozarks in the middle of your own place is what you have been dreaming of, then look no further! This 3 bed / 1 bath home has a great start and is dried in. It just needs your finishing touches. Home has a wide hallway for ease of travel and boasts a large living area, perfect for entertaining friends and family in the Ozark foothills. New well drilled recently to 221 ft. with static water sitting at 58 ft. with a rate of 25 GPM. Lagoon also newly dug and connected to the main line of the house. Property would be great for off-grid living. No restrictions would make it easy to move an RV while you finish your house, if that is what you want to do. Property has a large cleared area for your yard. The land has been surveyed. Deer will abound on the property if hunting is what you're looking for. The land lays very well and would easily be clearable if grazing ground is what you are seeking. Property sits about 10 minutes from the town of Alton, MO and about 35-40 minutes from West Plains, MO. The Mark Twain National Forest, Spring River and Eleven Point River are just short drives away! If living in the country in the middle of your own place is what you've been dreaming of, don't miss your opportunity to live the dream and be able to create your stamp while finishing your house. Motivated seller. Property is currently Pending, but seller will take backup offers.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,865
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,574
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,029
- − Management
- −$1,029
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable loss
- −$219
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$52
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive renovations, including landscaping, kitchen and bathroom updates, and interior finishing. The current state is not move-in ready and lacks curb appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation needs trimming
- Major Exterior siding — Overgrown vegetation needs trimming
- Major Kitchen appliances — Exposed framing, no appliances
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Exposed framing, no fixtures
- Major Flooring — Exposed subfloor
- Major Interior walls — Exposed drywall
- Major Systems — Exposed plumbing and electrical
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and exterior improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Kitchen appliances — Improves functionality and appeal
- Both Bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and appeal
- Both Flooring — Improves functionality and appeal
- Both Interior walls — Improves functionality and appeal
- Both Systems — Improves functionality and appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Overgrown vegetation needs trimming | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Overgrown vegetation needs trimming | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen appliances · Exposed framing, no appliances | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Exposed framing, no fixtures | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Exposed subfloor | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Exposed drywall | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Systems · Exposed plumbing and electrical | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $105,000–350,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and exterior improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Kitchen appliances — Improves functionality and appeal ↑
- Both Bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and appeal ↑
- Both Flooring — Improves functionality and appeal ↑
- Both Interior walls — Improves functionality and appeal ↑
- Both Systems — Improves functionality and appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Couch R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2910200
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,094
- Composite
- 27.21/100
- National rank
- #12452
- State rank
- #472 of 535 in MO
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #441
- US rank
- #18027
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,540
Population outlook (Oregon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,607 people
- By 2030
- 10,352 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 9,829 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 9,286 · -12.5%
- By 2075
- 8,392 · -20.9%
- By 2100
- 7,136 · -32.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oregon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.1) · D 15.1% · R 84.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.8pp toward R · 2008: -18.3pp · 2024: -69.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.1 2020: R+63.8 2016: R+60.1 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+18.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.62%
- Current HPI
- 142.0523
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+5.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — SOMO
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $104,900 SOMO
- 2026-01-08 Listed $109,900 SOMO
- 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2021-10-28 Listed $99,900 SOMO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…