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1600 S San Jacinto Ave #82
B- Composite 67.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

1600 S San Jacinto Ave #82 · San Jacinto, CA 92583
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 684 sqft · Manufactured · 12 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1963 Est $39k · at est. ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

All Age Community! Blue Fountain Park, This affordable and beautifully updated 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features new carpet, an upgraded kitchen with new cabinets, a new Tub/Shower Combo, Home has all new dual-pane windows. Enjoy resort-style amenities like a clubhouse, pool, spa, and picnic area—near Aldi, Walmart, as well as other shopping, and medical facilities and not far from Soboba Casino. Don’t miss this move-in ready gem, Schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1963
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park name: Blue Fountain; Access via maintained, paved city streets; Walk score: 28
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease of $724 (seller reported)
  • HOA & community: Land lease community with monthly land lease; Community features include dog park and street lighting; Manager approval required for tenancy; contact park management for pet policy

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway; Paved parking areas; Attached carport
  • Security: Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors; Resident manager
  • Utilities: Standard electricity; Natural gas connected; Public/district water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story/mobile setting; Mobile home remains (12' x 57'); Has a view; Estimated living area
  • Construction: Metal construction materials
  • Exterior features: Awning; Concrete patio; In-ground community pool (fenced); Shed on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Formica counters; Refrigerator; Gas range / Free standing range; Range/stove hood; Gas water heater (central water heater listed)
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms located on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub and shower-in-tub; Formica counters in bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home with ground-level entry; Updated/remodeled condition; Double-pane windows; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors; Resident manager on site; In-ground heated spa
  • Laundry & utility: Community laundry available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 26.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Jacinto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#467 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Park Hill Elementary (890 students, 87% FRL); North Mountain Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 844 students, 90% FRL); San Jacinto High (math 14% / reading 38%, grade F, #807 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 2,617 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 68% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.02%
Cap rate
26.60%
Cash-on-cash
72.51%
DSCR
4.23
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$39,257
List price
$39,900
Delta
9.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #114 0.03mi 1/1.0 660 (-4%) 16mo $8,000 $12 80
1600-Spc 75 S San Jacinto Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 738 (+8%) 8mo $40,000 $54 76
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #66 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 728 (+6%) 13mo $27,500 $38 73
999 S Santa Fe #48 0.46mi 1/1.0 624 (-9%) 1mo $20,500 $33 63
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #138 0.15mi 2/2.0 (+1) 760 (+11%) 3mo $47,500 $63 63
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #87 0.00mi 2/2.0 (+1) 760 (+11%) 14mo $55,000 $72 61
999 S Santa Fe Ave #45 0.47mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (+5%) 12mo $16,500 $23 55
999 S Santa Fe Ave #3 0.47mi 1/1.0 756 (+10%) 12mo $13,000 $17 51
999 S Santa Fe Ave #36 0.46mi 1/1.0 624 (-9%) 19mo $38,000 $61 48
999 S Santa Fe Ave #88 0.46mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+12%) 18mo $36,000 $47 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.8%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$36,078
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
75.6%
Equity multiple
8.60×
Total profit
$84,938
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92583

Home prices YoY
-14.8%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,204 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $703 -5% $689 +0% $675 +5% $661 +10% $647
Rent -10% $580 -5% $628 +0% $675 +5% $723 +10% $770
Rate -1.0pp $695 -0.5pp $685 base $675 +0.5pp $665 +1.0pp $654

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
811 E Menlo Ave Unit 02 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 46d 1 0.92mi
811 E Menlo Ave Apt 12 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 26d 1 0.92mi
320 S Pico Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 650 $1,500 $2.31 46d 1 0.92mi
526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 20d 1 1.06mi
526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 46d 1 1.06mi
526 Greystone Ln Apt 3 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,650 $2.36 46d 1 1.06mi
560 E Oakland Ave Apt P Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,325 $2.41 19d 1 1.15mi
700 E Main St Unit 08 San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,395 $1.86 26d 1 1.19mi
1376 E Date St Unit 5 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 650 $1,500 $2.31 19d 1 1.23mi
426 N Buena Vista St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 680 $1,550 $2.28 6d 1 1.24mi
426 N Buena Vista St Apt 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 680 $1,550 $2.28 10d 1 1.24mi
359 N Wateka St San Jacinto, CA 1.0 1.0 440 $1,425 $3.24 1d 1 1.41mi
210 N Santa Fe St Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,300 $2.17 6d 1 1.46mi
1955 E Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,350 $2.70 26d 1 1.49mi
1955 E Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,450 $2.90 46d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $39,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $39,900 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,900 Active 491 DOM
  10. 2025-12-20
    price $42,900 470-char remark
  11. 2025-07-18
    price $44,000 470-char remark
  12. 2025-01-25
    listed $49,000 Active 470-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,443
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,155
− Management
−$1,155
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$7,938
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,905
After-tax cash flow
$6,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Jacinto Unified
NCES district ID
0634440
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
20.94/100
National rank
#8478
State rank
#421 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Jacinto

Score
63/100
State rank
#467
US rank
#15889

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Jacinto, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
33,778
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,778
Household income
$68,351
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
747.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% White 26% Two or more races 23% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 52%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 40% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.15%
Current HPI
407.8584
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $39,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $42,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Price Changed $44,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-01-25 Listed $49,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…