1305 Oakhurst · Jonesboro, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Multi Family duplex near downtown Jonesboro. Unit A is 1bed/1bath. Unit B is 2 bed/1 bath. Great investment opportunity.
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $760 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Jonesboro School District (urban): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #169 of 238 in AR (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 183% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $85k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.31%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $35,661
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.10×
- Total profit
- $97,682
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72401
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 295
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,623 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $493/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $760
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2024-04-17soldstatus $25,000 Closed
-
2024-03-29historical
-
2024-03-06$30,000 Active
-
2023-08-26status Active
-
2023-08-01historical
-
2023-07-25price $49,900
-
2023-03-30$59,900 Active
-
2023-01-18soldstatus $30,000
-
2022-01-28status Under Contract
-
2021-09-09$85,000 New Listing
-
2021-09-08$85,000
-
2019-03-15soldstatus $53,900
-
2019-03-15soldstatus $53,900
-
2019-02-12$53,900
-
2019-02-12$53,900
-
2018-05-04soldstatus $32,500
-
2018-03-05$35,000
-
2014-03-04soldstatus $31,000
-
2014-02-28soldstatus $31,000
-
2014-02-28soldstatus $31,000
-
2013-09-20$49,900
-
2013-09-20$49,900
-
2011-06-22soldstatus $28,000
-
2001-03-01soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $493 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $544 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$51/yr (+$4/mo · 10.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,476
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$493
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,558
- − Management
- −$1,558
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $8,207
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,970
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jonesboro School District
- NCES district ID
- 0508280
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,347
- Composite
- 23.06/100
- National rank
- #7967
- State rank
- #169 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jonesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #12692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesboro, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 97,185 people
- City population
- 91,245
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,602
- Household income
- $45,329
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2606.0
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.25%
- Current HPI
- 208.2079
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.64%
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-58.3% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2024-04-17 Sold (MLS) $25,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2024-03-29 Delisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2024-03-06 Listed $30,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2023-08-26 Relisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2023-08-01 Delisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2023-07-25 Price Changed $49,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2023-03-30 Listed $59,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2023-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-28 Pending — CARMLS
- 2021-09-09 Listed $85,000 CARMLS
- 2021-09-08 Listed $85,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2019-03-15 Sold (MLS) $53,900 CARMLS
- 2019-03-15 Sold (MLS) $53,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2019-02-12 Listed $53,900 CARMLS
- 2019-02-12 Listed $53,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2018-05-04 Sold (MLS) $32,500 NEABOR MLS
- 2018-03-05 Listed $35,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2014-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-28 Sold (MLS) $31,000 CARMLS
- 2014-02-28 Sold (MLS) $31,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2013-09-20 Listed $49,900 CARMLS
- 2013-09-20 Listed $49,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2011-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2001-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $493 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…