410 Brandon Ave · Williamsport, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in a convenient location close to Brandon Park and UPMC Williamsport, this spacious 4-bedroom, 1½-bath home offers endless potential at an affordable price! Featuring a detached 2-car garage, paved off-street parking, and a beautifully landscaped yard, this property has the space and charm buyers are looking for. Enjoy relaxing on the open front porch or entertaining in the enclosed rear porch overlooking the fenced-in backyard. A solid home with great bones, ready for your personal touches and updates to truly make it shine. Showings will begin June 8 following the tag sale.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1901
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Alley access
- Utilities: Public water; Electric with fuses
- Home design: Residential property; R2 zoning
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle and slate roof; Built area above grade: 1,704
- Exterior features: Porch; Level, cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
- Flooring: Linoleum; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central air
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.16%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,516
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $25,781
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17701
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,647 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,979/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $233
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 770 W 4th St Williamsport, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,155 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 215 E 3rd St Unit 3D Williamsport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 675 Cemetery St Williamsport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $135,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $135,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,979 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,979 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,764
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,979
- − Insurance
- −$1,342
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,581
- − Management
- −$1,581
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$190
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Williamsport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226460
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,637
- Composite
- 34.63/100
- National rank
- #5150
- State rank
- #349 of 539 in PA
Livability — Williamsport
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #523
- US rank
- #4841
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamsport, PA
- County
- Lycoming County · 43,104 people
- City population
- 43,104
- Metro
- Williamsport, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,104
- Household income
- $53,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2178.0
Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,164 people
- By 2030
- 112,221 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 107,613 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 102,950 · -9.8%
- By 2075
- 92,987 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 80,924 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.61%
- Current HPI
- 216.7203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- Williamsport, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $135,000 WBVAR
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,979 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…