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1315 Morena Blvd 12-Plex
C+ Composite 63.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$3,390,000

1315 Morena Blvd · San Diego, CA 92110
120 bd · 156.0 ba · 4,101 sqft · MultiFamily · 91 Days on market
Good condition 6,387 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 12 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Lowest Coastal Price Per Unit! Introducing a fully renovated 12-unit apartment community in the heart of Bay Park, one of San Diego’s most walkable coastal neighborhoods. Located just blocks from Mission Bay and within walking distance to restaurants and bars, the property offers strong tenant appeal and everyday convenience. The unit mix includes 3 studios, 8 one-bedroom/one-bath units, and 1 two-bedroom/two-bath unit, all renovated through a city-permitted down-to-the-studs remodel. Improvements include a new fire sprinkler system, all-new plumbing and electrical, new drywall and insulation, secured gated access, and off-street parking. Each unit features modern interiors, upgraded

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Secured gated access
  • Off-street parking

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDSECURED GATED ACCESSOFF-STREET PARKINGMODERN INTERIORSIN-UNIT WASHERS AND DRYERSQUICK ACCESS TO INTERSTATE 5

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income property (Commercial-Residential Income subtype)
  • Construction: About 4,101 square feet (building size)
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.15 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 13 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: UnBranded virtual tour available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 12 × 10-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $3.39M. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($112k/yr) — positive. Per door: $776/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($41k rent vs $3.39M).
  • Recommended offer: $3.08M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
  • San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 127 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $41,439/mo this rent would consume 449% of the median local household income ($111k/yr) (locally 1894% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $23k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $102k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($3.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $3,084,900 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.77%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-63,035
Equity at exit
$505,460
10-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$293,693
Equity at exit
$293,105

Cash invested: $949,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92110

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
81.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$41,439 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$17,778
Tax est. 1.5%
$4,238 /mo · $50,850/yr
Insurance
$1,412
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$8,702
Net cashflow
$9,309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $29,655
Max offer price $3,390,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $11,652 -5% $10,481 +0% $9,309 +5% $8,138 +10% $6,967
Rent -10% $6,036 -5% $7,672 +0% $9,309 +5% $10,946 +10% $12,583
Rate -1.0pp $11,016 -0.5pp $10,171 base $9,309 +0.5pp $8,431 +1.0pp $7,537

12-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (12 units) $41,439

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$847,500
Closing costs
$101,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $3,390,000 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-04-24
    historical
  15. 2026-04-23
    price $3,394,000
  16. 2026-04-16
    price $3,398,000
  17. 2026-03-19
    listed $3,399,000 Active
  18. 2026-03-17
    listed $3,399,000 Active
  19. 2024-01-13
    historical $1,799
  20. 2024-01-07
    price $1,799
  21. 2023-12-30
    price $1,999
  22. 2023-12-24
    price $1,899
  23. 2023-12-15
    listed $1,999

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$497,268
− Mortgage interest
−$189,893
− Property taxes
−$50,850
− Insurance
−$16,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$39,781
− Management
−$39,781
− Depreciation
−$98,618
Taxable income
$61,394
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$14,735
After-tax cash flow
$96,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully renovated 12-unit apartment community in Bay Park is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers strong tenant appeal and everyday convenience, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Upgrading common areas — Modernizing common areas can attract more tenants and buyers, increasing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Upgrading common areas — Modernizing common areas can attract more tenants and buyers, increasing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Diego Unified
NCES district ID
0634320
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$61,673
Composite
22.31/100
National rank
#8135
State rank
#393 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Diego

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4206

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Diego, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
1,397,612
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
30,902
Household income
$110,790
Rent vs Own
63.3% rent · 36.7% own
Severe rent burden
1894.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 16% Asian 7% Black 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -670.72%
Current HPI
414.3971
Rent YoY
▲ 0.36%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169684.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $3,394,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $3,398,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $3,399,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $3,399,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-01-13 Rental Removed $1,799 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-07 Price Changed $1,799 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-30 Price Changed $1,999 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-24 Price Changed $1,899 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-15 Listed for Rent $1,999 APPFOLIO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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