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309 W Hd W 5th St
B+ Composite 77.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$35,000

309 W Hd W 5th St · Galena, MO 65656
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Other · 306 Days on market
Built 1935 0.42 ac lot $39/sqft · 62% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is in need. It will be at minimum a complete gut, possible tear down. The value is in the water, sewer and electric being on site. Enter at your own risk, there is mold. Cars will be removed from property.

Key facts

  • 0.42 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1935

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($833 rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 0.9% in Galena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#513 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Galena R-II (rural): math 15% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #295 of 324 in MO (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Stone County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $30,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
21.85%
Cash-on-cash
55.57%
DSCR
3.47
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,879
List price
$35,000
Delta
-62.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
68.3%
Equity multiple
5.89×
Total profit
$47,956
Equity at exit
$31,531
10-year hold
IRR
62.0%
Equity multiple
13.09×
Total profit
$118,470
Equity at exit
$67,997

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65656

Home prices YoY
11.7%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$833 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$6 /mo · $72/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$175
Net cashflow
$454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $258
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 306 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 305 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 304 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 303 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 301 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 300 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 297 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 296 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 295 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,000 Active 293 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $35,000 Active 291 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 290 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 289 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 288 DOM
  15. 2025-12-29
    status Active 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    This home is in need. It will be at minimum a complete gut, possible tear down. The value is in the water, sewer and electric being on site. Enter at your own risk, there is mold. Cars will be removed from property.

  16. 2025-08-05
    listed $35,000 Active 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    This home is in need. It will be at minimum a complete gut, possible tear down. The value is in the water, sewer and electric being on site. Enter at your own risk, there is mold. Cars will be removed from property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$72 · $6/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$340 · $28/mo
Expected delta
+$268/yr (+$22/mo · 371.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,994
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$72
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$800
− Management
−$800
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$5,169
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,241
After-tax cash flow
$4,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galena R-II
NCES district ID
2912630
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,014
Composite
20.01/100
National rank
#8663
State rank
#295 of 324 in MO

Livability — Galena

Score
60/100
State rank
#513
US rank
#19560

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galena, MO
Population (ZIP)
5,224

Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,147 people
By 2030
26,405 · -6.2%
By 2040
22,762 · -19.1%
By 2050
19,706 · -30.0%
By 2075
14,742 · -47.6%
By 2100
10,832 · -61.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stone

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.4) · D 18.9% · R 80.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -37.3pp · 2024: -61.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.4 2020: R+61.1 2016: R+62.1 2012: R+49.2 2008: R+37.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.17%
Current HPI
288.99
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-29 Relisted SOMO
  • 2025-08-05 Listed $35,000 SOMO

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $72 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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