CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3747 Dreyfus St
C+ Composite 61.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

3747 Dreyfus St · Houston, TX 77021
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 879 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1950 5,000 sqft lot $119/sqft · 29% below area Est $148k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A great opportunity to build your own dream home, property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 5,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 116 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 471 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,550 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.08%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$148,232
List price
$105,000
Delta
-29.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3811 Noah St 0.22mi 2/1.0 903 (+3%) 4mo $195,000 $216 82
4407 Alice St 0.67mi 2/1.0 896 (+2%) 5mo $95,000 $106 61
3560 Seabrook St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 928 (+6%) 10mo $122,000 $131 61
3544 Mainer St 0.44mi 2/1.0 812 (-8%) 8mo $110,000 $135 60
3401 Seabrook St 0.61mi 2/1.0 885 (+1%) 17mo $118,000 $133 56
1109 Danube St 0.69mi 2/1.0 945 (+8%) 0mo $87,000 $92 55
3919 Daphne St 0.63mi 2/1.0 796 (-9%) 10mo $149,990 $188 46
1026 Theresa St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (+9%) 5mo $209,900 $219 44
3520 Goodhope St 0.54mi 1/— (-1) 784 (-11%) 12mo $129,979 $166 41
3731 Alberta St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,002 (+14%) 7mo $110,000 $110 40
6741 Goforth St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 976 (+11%) 8mo $139,000 $142 34
3903 Luca St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 955 (+9%) 15mo $144,000 $151 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-8,479
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$996
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77021

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
471
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,046/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,074
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $208 -5% $179 +0% $149 +5% $119 +10% $90
Rent -10% $49 -5% $99 +0% $149 +5% $199 +10% $249
Rate -1.0pp $202 -0.5pp $176 base $149 +0.5pp $122 +1.0pp $94

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3603 Alice St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 848 $1,000 $1.18 5d 1 0.27mi
3603 Alice St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 5d 1 0.27mi
3603 Alice St Unit 3725-B Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 850 $999 $1.18 9d 1 0.28mi
3603 Alice St Unit 15 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $999 $1.18 9d 1 0.28mi
4007 Corder St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 814 $885 $1.09 25d 1 0.29mi
1600 Jester St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 641 $1,195 $1.86 0d 3 0.61mi
7812 Tierwester St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 17d 2 0.61mi
3360 Alice St Unit 3387 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 968 $1,307 $1.35 0d 1 0.66mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2292 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $998 $1.06 45d 1 0.66mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 968 $1,348 $1.39 0d 1 0.66mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $991 $1.05 15d 1 0.66mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 968 $1,323 $1.37 9d 1 0.66mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 968 $1,347 $1.39 4d 1 0.67mi
6811 Del Rio St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 588 $999 $1.70 16d 1 0.72mi
6811 Del Rio St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 598 $999 $1.67 45d 1 0.72mi
7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,600 $1.88 45d 1 0.75mi
7826 Gladstone St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 760 $1,250 $1.64 0d 1 0.77mi
6420 Conley St Unit 7 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 652 $975 $1.50 45d 1 0.77mi
7373 Ardmore St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1095 $1,526 $1.39 5d 24 0.88mi
7379 Ardmore St Unit 1303 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 899 $1,193 $1.33 25d 1 0.91mi
7110 Ardmore St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 831 $2,390 $2.87 0d 17 0.97mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1003 $1,048 $1.04 6d 1 1.00mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3581 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1003 $1,087 $1.08 12d 1 1.00mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1047 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1003 $1,088 $1.08 12d 1 1.00mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1187 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1003 $1,037 $1.03 0d 1 1.00mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3611 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1003 $1,037 $1.03 14d 1 1.00mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 324 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1003 $1,048 $1.04 9d 1 1.00mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3581 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1003 $1,083 $1.08 15d 1 1.00mi
6215 Tierwester St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $900 $1.38 25d 3 1.11mi
4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,149 $1.32 25d 1 1.15mi
8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1241 $1,772 $1.43 25d 18 1.15mi
8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1356 $1,641 $1.21 0d 48 1.15mi
3426 Tampa St Unit 4272026 Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1046 $1,500 $1.43 45d 1 1.16mi
2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 704 $2,000 $2.84 3d 12 1.18mi
2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 796 $2,000 $2.51 45d 10 1.18mi
7103 Grand Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 930 $1,382 $1.49 25d 1 1.18mi
4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $3,200 $2.91 14d 1 1.18mi
7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 45d 1 1.21mi
2909 Dupree St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1027 $1,495 $1.46 45d 1 1.24mi
8383 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 737 $1,292 $1.75 15d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $105,000 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Pending 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Pending 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Pending 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Pending 105 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Pending 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Pending 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 100 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 97 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-03-10
    price $105,000 79-char remark
    Show marketing remark (79 chars)

    A great opportunity to build your own dream home, property is being sold as-is.

  14. 2026-02-24
    listed $115,000 Active 79-char remark
    Show marketing remark (79 chars)

    A great opportunity to build your own dream home, property is being sold as-is.

  15. 2019-04-11
    status Pending
  16. 2019-04-02
    listed $55,000 Active
  17. 2019-04-02
    historical
  18. 2015-12-23
    soldstatus
  19. 2015-11-17
    soldstatus
  20. 2013-09-06
    soldstatus Sold
  21. 2013-08-25
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  22. 2013-08-09
    status Option Pending
  23. 2013-07-19
    listed $16,000 Active
  24. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,046 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,046 · $254/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,146
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$3,046
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$216
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$52
After-tax cash flow
$1,736/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,153
Household income
$45,574
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
2532.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.22%
Current HPI
230.2869
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+556.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $105,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $115,000 HARMLS
  • 2019-04-11 Pending HARMLS
  • 2019-04-02 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2019-04-02 Listed $55,000 HARMLS
  • 2015-12-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-11-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-09-06 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2013-08-25 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-08-09 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-07-19 Listed $16,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,046 · +21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…