3747 Dreyfus St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A great opportunity to build your own dream home, property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 116 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 471 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.08%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,232
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -29.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3811 Noah St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 903 (+3%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $216 | 82 |
| 4407 Alice St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+2%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $106 | 61 |
| 3560 Seabrook St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 928 (+6%) | 10mo | $122,000 | $131 | 61 |
| 3544 Mainer St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 812 (-8%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $135 | 60 |
| 3401 Seabrook St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 885 (+1%) | 17mo | $118,000 | $133 | 56 |
| 1109 Danube St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 945 (+8%) | 0mo | $87,000 | $92 | 55 |
| 3919 Daphne St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (-9%) | 10mo | $149,990 | $188 | 46 |
| 1026 Theresa St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+9%) | 5mo | $209,900 | $219 | 44 |
| 3520 Goodhope St | 0.54mi | 1/— (-1) | 784 (-11%) | 12mo | $129,979 | $166 | 41 |
| 3731 Alberta St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,002 (+14%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $110 | 40 |
| 6741 Goforth St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 976 (+11%) | 8mo | $139,000 | $142 | 34 |
| 3903 Luca St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 955 (+9%) | 15mo | $144,000 | $151 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-8,479
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $996
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77021
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 471
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $179 | +0% $149 | +5% $119 | +10% $90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $49 | -5% $99 | +0% $149 | +5% $199 | +10% $249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $202 | -0.5pp $176 | base $149 | +0.5pp $122 | +1.0pp $94 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3603 Alice St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3603 Alice St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3603 Alice St Unit 3725-B Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $999 | $1.18 | 9d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3603 Alice St Unit 15 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $999 | $1.18 | 9d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4007 Corder St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $885 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1600 Jester St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 641 | $1,195 | $1.86 | 0d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 7812 Tierwester St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 17d | 2 | 0.61mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 3387 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,307 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2292 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $998 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,348 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $991 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,323 | $1.37 | 9d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,347 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6811 Del Rio St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $999 | $1.70 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6811 Del Rio St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 598 | $999 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7826 Gladstone St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,250 | $1.64 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6420 Conley St Unit 7 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $975 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7373 Ardmore St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1095 | $1,526 | $1.39 | 5d | 24 | 0.88mi |
| 7379 Ardmore St Unit 1303 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,193 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7110 Ardmore St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 831 | $2,390 | $2.87 | 0d | 17 | 0.97mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,048 | $1.04 | 6d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3581 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,087 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1047 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,088 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 1187 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,037 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3611 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,037 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 324 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,048 | $1.04 | 9d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3581 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,083 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6215 Tierwester St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 25d | 3 | 1.11mi |
| 4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,149 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1241 | $1,772 | $1.43 | 25d | 18 | 1.15mi |
| 8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1356 | $1,641 | $1.21 | 0d | 48 | 1.15mi |
| 3426 Tampa St Unit 4272026 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1046 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 704 | $2,000 | $2.84 | 3d | 12 | 1.18mi |
| 2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $2,000 | $2.51 | 45d | 10 | 1.18mi |
| 7103 Grand Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,382 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2909 Dupree St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $1,495 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8383 El Mundo St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $1,292 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $105,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $105,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Pending 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Pending 111 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Pending 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Pending 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Pending 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Pending 103 DOM
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 100 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-03-10price $105,000 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
A great opportunity to build your own dream home, property is being sold as-is.
-
2026-02-24$115,000 Active 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
A great opportunity to build your own dream home, property is being sold as-is.
-
2019-04-11status Pending
-
2019-04-02$55,000 Active
-
2019-04-02historical
-
2015-12-23soldstatus
-
2015-11-17soldstatus
-
2013-09-06soldstatus Sold
-
2013-08-25status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2013-08-09status Option Pending
-
2013-07-19$16,000 Active
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,046 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,046 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,146
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$3,046
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $216
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$52
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,736/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,153
- Household income
- $45,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2532.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.22%
- Current HPI
- 230.2869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+556.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $105,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $115,000 HARMLS
- 2019-04-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2019-04-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2019-04-02 Listed $55,000 HARMLS
- 2015-12-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-11-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-09-06 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2013-08-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-08-09 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-07-19 Listed $16,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,046 · +21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…