Cali Plan · Palm Bay, FL 32909

$334,990

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,828 sqft · SingleFamily · 545 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +7.0/30.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.9/10.0
• DSCR +1.2/10.0

Listing remarks

Introducing the Cali floorplan, designed and built throughout Palm Bay, Florida, where every inch of space is crafted for both sophistication and comfort. Located in a boat and RV-friendly area, this property offers unmatched convenience and flexibility-without HOA restrictions. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home spans 1,828 square feet of stylish living, blending modern convenience with timeless appeal. The residence features beautiful quartz countertops throughout the kitchen and bathrooms. Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious foyer that leads into the heart of the home. The open-concept design seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, making it ideal for enterta

Key facts

• Open-concept layout
• 2 garage spots
• Listed 545 days

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• ABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHT
• WELL-APPOINTED BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 2380 Emerson Dr SE, Palm Bay FL 32909; Last modified: 2026-05-03
• Financial info: List price $334,990

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family plan; Listing status: Active
• Construction: Living area approximately 1828; New construction inventory type: Plan

Interior

• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
• Interior features: Plan: Cali

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-487 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (21.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (30.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $231k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
• Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: W. Melbourne Elementary School For Science (math 88% / reading 86%, grade A+, #24 of 2,144 statewide, top 1%, 549 students, 18% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Bayside High School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,854 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1123 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 545 days — a 12% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $231,379 (30.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 545 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.69% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.55%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.23%
• DSCR: 0.72
• GRM: 12.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.63×
• Total profit: $153,023
• Equity at exit: $301,786

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.5%
• Equity multiple: 6.10×
• Total profit: $478,370
• Equity at exit: $650,812

Cash invested: $93,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32909

• Home prices YoY: 6.0%
• Rents YoY: 3.7%
• Active inventory: 1123
• Price-to-rent: 12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,314 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,757
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$419 /mo · $5,025/yr
• Insurance: −$140
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$486
• Net cashflow: $-487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,930

Max offer price $264,499

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-256	-5% $-371	+0% $-487	+5% $-603	+10% $-719
Rent	-10% $-670	-5% $-579	+0% $-487	+5% $-396	+10% $-304
Rate	-1.0pp $-318	-0.5pp $-402	base $-487	+0.5pp $-574	+1.0pp $-662

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $83,748
• Closing costs: $10,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 28 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
710 Avalon St SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1378	$1,995	$1.45	25d	1	0.22mi
647 Airoso Rd SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	3.0	2365	$2,900	$1.23	15d	1	0.34mi
1129 Colonial Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	3.0	2008	$2,500	$1.25	21d	1	0.40mi
1290 Sail Ct SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1509	$1,945	$1.29	25d	1	0.55mi
822 Seven Gables Cir SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1474	$1,835	$1.24	25d	1	0.60mi
818 Seven Gables Cir SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1490	$1,795	$1.20	25d	1	0.62mi
1224 Buffing Cir SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	2233	$2,395	$1.07	16d	1	0.63mi
743 Andrew St SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1252	$1,895	$1.51	25d	1	0.72mi
1255 Wadsworth St SE Unit 1255 Palm Bay, FL	3.0	3.0	1747	$2,350	$1.35	21d	1	0.78mi
896 Talmadge Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1263	$1,900	$1.50	16d	1	0.81mi
431 Brantley St SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1326	$2,050	$1.55	21d	1	0.82mi
885 Talmadge Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1787	$2,300	$1.29	23d	1	0.84mi
907 Algardi St SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1943	$2,330	$1.20	25d	1	0.90mi
2910 Emerson Dr SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1700	$1,950	$1.15	16d	1	0.91mi
1210 Vandalia Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1833	$2,050	$1.12	16d	1	0.97mi
1205 Jaslo St SE Palm Bay, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	992	$2,245	$2.26	16d	8	0.99mi
721 Taluga Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1556	$1,800	$1.16	25d	1	0.99mi
1517 Wacker Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1775	$2,200	$1.24	25d	1	1.01mi
829 Tampa Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1303	$1,740	$1.34	25d	1	1.02mi
857 Buchanan Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1257	$1,950	$1.55	25d	1	1.06mi
1150 Raoul St SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1787	$2,300	$1.29	25d	1	1.10mi
914 Caligula Ave SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1371	$1,841	$1.34	15d	1	1.10mi
1068 Saint Johns St SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1332	$2,000	$1.50	25d	1	1.21mi
1150 Tiger St SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1690	$1,950	$1.15	16d	1	1.27mi
84 San Filippo Dr SE Palm Bay, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1052	$2,044	$1.94	16d	30	1.31mi
309 Cactus St SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1846	$2,195	$1.19	16d	1	1.32mi
490 Hatcher St SE Palm Bay, FL	4.0	2.0	1833	$2,150	$1.17	23d	1	1.46mi
1418 Paley Cir SE Palm Bay, FL	3.0	2.0	1260	$1,850	$1.47	25d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $334,990 Active 545 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $334,990 Active 542 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $334,990 Active 541 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $334,990 Active 540 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $334,990 Active 539 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $334,990 Active 537 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $334,990 Active 534 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $334,990 Active 532 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $334,990 Active 531 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $334,990 Active 528 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $334,990 Active 527 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $334,990 Active 526 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $334,990 Active 525 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $334,990 Active 524 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,765
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,765
• − Property taxes: −$5,025
• − Insurance: −$1,675
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,221
• − Management: −$2,221
• − Depreciation: −$9,745
• Taxable loss: −$11,887
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,853
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,993/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brevard
• NCES district ID: 1200150
• Math proficiency: 53% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $49,426
• Composite: 46.86/100
• National rank: #2370
• State rank: #19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm Bay

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #366
• US rank: #6458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Palm Bay, FL
• County: Brevard County · 602,871 people
• City population: 132,211
• Metro: Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 41,804
• Household income: $79,977
• Rent vs Own: 17.3% rent · 82.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 697.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 623,254 people
• By 2030: 648,420 · +4.0%
• By 2040: 690,009 · +10.7%
• By 2050: 715,669 · +14.8%
• By 2075: 775,744 · +24.5%
• By 2100: 776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 46% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 16% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 5%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 84% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 18.81%
• Current HPI: 330.8595
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.67%
• Metro: Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B