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36 Ember Ln
D Composite 43.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,900

36 Ember Ln · Willingboro, NJ 08046
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,770 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1967 6,996 sqft lot Est $377k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to one of the nicest 4 bedroom 2 full bath homes for sale in the very desirable Garfield East neighborhood. The moment you arrive you can see the professionally landscape yard and grounds. This well maintained ranch style home features a newer heater and central A/C system, new roof, modern eat in kitchen and a huge family room leading out from a newer sliding glass door to a beautiful huge deck with private professionally landscaped yard. The Solar Panels are owned and the Sellers monthly electric bills are minimal! Seller to provide Buyer with full details. All Offers must be on standard MLS Proposal to Purchas form with Mtge. Pre-Approval attached in one email No Buyer signed Con

Key facts

  • Newer heater
  • Huge family room
  • New roof

Tags

PROFESSIONALLY LANDSCAPED YARDNEWER HEATERCENTRAL A/C SYSTEMNEW ROOFMODERN EAT IN KITCHENHUGE FAMILY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple; Year built source: assessor; Above-grade finished area recorded as 1,770 (assessor)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage with garage door opener; Driveway; On-street parking; Public parking access
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water (with filter); Natural gas for heating, cooling fuel, and hot water
  • Home design: Detached home; Above-grade finished living space as recorded by assessor
  • Construction: Frame construction with aluminum siding; Slab foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 100; No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); Circuit breakers electrical
  • Interior features: No basement; Living area per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $339k (3.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $339k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Willingboro Public School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #433 of 472 in NJ (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $104k; list at $350k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $338,514 (3.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$377,010
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
72 Edge Ln 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,770 (0%) 1mo $305,000 $172 86
26 Elderberry Ln 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,730 (-2%) 1mo $335,000 $194 81
111 Edge Ln 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,573 (-11%) 1mo $335,000 $213 70
208 2nd St 0.58mi 4/2.0 1,795 (+1%) 1mo $560,000 $312 70
43 Elsin Ln 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,770 (0%) 3mo $415,000 $234 69
21 Glover Ln 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,791 (+1%) 5mo $360,000 $201 68
11 Valley Farm Rd 0.51mi 4/3.0 1,800 (+2%) 4mo $575,000 $319 66
7 Meadowbrook Dr 0.44mi 4/2.5 1,939 (+10%) 3mo $490,000 $253 60
69 Edgely Ln 0.34mi 5/— (+1) 1,959 (+11%) 2mo $305,000 $156 59
86 E River Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,573 (-11%) 3mo $265,000 $168 57
11 Guild Ct 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,542 (-13%) 5mo $355,865 $231 49
3 New Coach Ln 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,888 (+7%) 4mo $370,000 $196 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-51,087
Equity at exit
$52,171
10-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-36,827
Equity at exit
$30,253

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08046

Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,385 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$608 /mo · $7,295/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$711
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,277
Max offer price $349,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 Elliot Ln Westampton, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,900 $1.93 1d 1 0.26mi
16 Elridge Ln Willingboro, NJ 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,650 $1.96 1d 1 0.58mi
62 Sharpless Blvd Westampton, NJ 3.0 1.5 1490 $2,275 $1.53 1d 1 0.60mi
12 Holbrook Ln Willingboro, NJ 5.0 2.0 2100 $3,750 $1.79 15d 1 1.06mi
41 Messenger Ln Willingboro, NJ 5.0 2.0 1497 $3,500 $2.34 5d 1 1.20mi
89 Hampshire Ln Willingboro, NJ 4.0 2.0 1562 $3,400 $2.18 10d 1 1.37mi
48 Marboro Ln Willingboro, NJ 4.0 2.0 1497 $3,995 $2.67 3d 1 1.37mi
10 Melville Ln Willingboro, NJ 4.0 2.5 1797 $3,000 $1.67 15d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $349,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $349,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $349,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $349,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $349,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $349,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $349,900 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $349,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-04-18
    listed $399,900 Active
  10. 1990-09-12
    soldstatus $103,900
  11. 1986-07-25
    soldstatus $67,900
  12. 1985-07-01
    soldstatus $60,500
  13. 1980-04-01
    soldstatus $52,677

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,295 · $608/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,004 · $667/mo
Expected delta
+$709/yr (+$59/mo · 9.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,622
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$7,295
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,250
− Management
−$3,250
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable loss
−$4,701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,128
After-tax cash flow
$2,156/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Willingboro Public School District
NCES district ID
3418000
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$67,064
Composite
17.37/100
National rank
#9074
State rank
#433 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Willingboro

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Burlington County · 323,710 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
31,981
Household income
$98,178
Rent vs Own
15.8% rent · 84.2% own
Severe rent burden
342.0

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 14% White 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Swiss 4% Romanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -273.52%
Current HPI
348.3441
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+659.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $399,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1990-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $103,900 Public Records
  • 1986-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records
  • 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,500 Public Records
  • 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,677 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,295 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…