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770 Main St
B Composite 74.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$104,900

770 Main St · Lykens, PA 17048
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 135 Days on market
Built 1920 6,970 sqft lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your handyman skills and unlock the potential of this spacious three bedroom, two bath home! Situated on a desirable corner lot, this property offers ample space and endless possibilities. Step inside to find a large, inviting kitchen, a generous dining room, and a comfortable entertainment room perfect for gatherings or future updates. An attic provides additional storage or potential expansion options. Whether you’re looking to transform this house into your dream home or seeking a promising investment opportunity for a flip, this property delivers the space and layout to make your vision a reality. Don’t miss your chance to bring new life to this home schedule your tour

Key facts

  • Attic storage
  • Generous dining room
  • Large kitchen

Tags

CORNER LOTLARGE KITCHENGENEROUS DINING ROOMATTIC STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $642 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#969 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Upper Dauphin Area SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #259 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Upper Dauphin Area Hs (math 77%, 343 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $220 of equity ($725 loan paydown + $-505 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $92,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.63%
Cash-on-cash
26.21%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$35,479
Equity at exit
$27,960
10-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$94,818
Equity at exit
$31,674

Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17048

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,748 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$550
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,746/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$642

Break-even live

Break-even rent $936
Max offer price $104,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,225
Closing costs
$3,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-14
    price $104,900
  3. 2026-02-16
    price $114,900
  4. 2025-11-29
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,746 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,746 · $146/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,976
− Mortgage interest
−$5,876
− Property taxes
−$1,746
− Insurance
−$524
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,678
− Management
−$1,678
− Depreciation
−$3,052
Taxable income
$6,421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,541
After-tax cash flow
$6,158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Upper Dauphin Area SD
NCES district ID
4224360
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$48,201
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4012
State rank
#259 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lykens

Score
67/100
State rank
#969
US rank
#10571

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lykens, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,801

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Polish 4% Romanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, India
Languages at home
88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 10% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.48%
Current HPI
241.7628
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $104,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-29 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,746 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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