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1163 Sycamore Dr
C- Composite 50.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$699,900

1163 Sycamore Dr · Simi Valley, CA 93065
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,580 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1964 6,098 sqft lot $443/sqft · 13% below area Est $801k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

in the Heart of Simi Valley. Discover the perfect canvas for your dream home at 1163 Sycamore Drive. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence in Central Simi offers a rare blend of functional design and 'retro-cool' charm. The highly sought-after floor plan features a convenient downstairs bedroom and bathroom with a walk-in shower--an ideal setup for guests, a home office, or multi-generational living. The light-filled living spaces are just waiting for a modern touch to bring out their full potential. Outside, the property boasts excellent curb appeal with a large driveway and ample space for potential RV parking. Whether you're a first-time buyer or a savvy renovator, this home is '

Key facts

  • Large driveway
  • Potential rv parking
  • Walk-in shower

Tags

DOWNSTAIRS BEDROOMDOWNSTAIRS BATHROOMWALK-IN SHOWERLARGE DRIVEWAYPOTENTIAL RV PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $700k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $587k (16.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $587k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.0% in Simi Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#456 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, cost of living F.
  • Simi Valley Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #170 of 517 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 212 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,873/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($121k/yr) (locally 2456% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($689k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $97k; list at $700k implies a 622% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $587,319 (16.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.70%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$801,097
List price
$699,900
Delta
-12.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2613 Hollister St 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,638 (+4%) 1mo $710,000 $433 72
2135 Elizondo Ave 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,580 (0%) 1mo $811,000 $513 70
2783 Fallon Cir 0.42mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,596 (+1%) 3mo $810,000 $508 67
2339 Dusan St 0.32mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,679 (+6%) 2mo $915,000 $545 66
2165 Malcolm St 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,580 (0%) 3mo $837,000 $530 65
2206 Rosemary St 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,703 (+8%) 1mo $790,000 $464 63
2968 Royal Ave 0.62mi 4/2.5 1,526 (-3%) 2mo $750,000 $491 62
2407 Elizondo Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,403 (-11%) 3mo $812,000 $579 53
1091 Vallejo Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,708 (+8%) 2mo $865,000 $506 52
1135 Donner Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,534 (-3%) 4mo $900,000 $587 52
1558 Ysrella Ave 0.61mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,725 (+9%) 3mo $865,000 $501 46
969 Roldan Ave 0.73mi 4/2.5 1,756 (+11%) 3mo $815,000 $464 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-99,478
Equity at exit
$104,357
10-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-105,715
Equity at exit
$60,515

Cash invested: $195,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93065

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,873 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,670
Tax from tax record
$238 /mo · $2,852/yr
Insurance
$292
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,233
Net cashflow
$440

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,316
Max offer price $699,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $836 -5% $638 +0% $440 +5% $242 +10% $44
Rent -10% $-24 -5% $208 +0% $440 +5% $672 +10% $904
Rate -1.0pp $793 -0.5pp $618 base $440 +0.5pp $259 +1.0pp $74

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$174,975
Closing costs
$20,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2433 Hansen Ct Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.5 1800 $7,500 $4.17 1d 1 0.09mi
1295 Harold Ave Simi Valley, CA 4.0 3.0 1800 $7,990 $4.44 3d 1 0.19mi
880 Ashford St Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1363 $3,800 $2.79 44d 1 0.33mi
2206 Stinson St Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1500 $5,000 $3.33 1d 1 0.42mi
1692 Sycamore Dr Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 947 $3,739 $3.95 2d 14 0.59mi
1687 Kane Ave Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1688 $4,400 $2.61 44d 1 0.68mi
1965 Fitzgerald Rd Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1608 $3,950 $2.46 44d 1 0.70mi
2087 Rhoda St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1580 $4,200 $2.66 24d 1 0.72mi
2250 Magnolia St Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $7,000 $5.83 24d 1 1.15mi
1854 Gaviota Ct Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1450 $9,000 $6.21 44d 1 1.25mi
1157 Hudspeth St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 1.5 1248 $4,500 $3.61 24d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    statusdays on market $699,900 Pending 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $699,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $699,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $699,900 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $699,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $699,900 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-05-06
    listed $750,000 Active 837-char remark
  8. 1985-01-22
    soldstatus $97,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,852 · $238/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,319 · $443/mo
Expected delta
+$2,467/yr (+$206/mo · 86.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$70,478
− Mortgage interest
−$39,205
− Property taxes
−$2,852
− Insurance
−$3,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,638
− Management
−$5,638
− Depreciation
−$20,361
Taxable loss
−$6,716
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,612
After-tax cash flow
$6,894/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Simi Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0636840
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$88,818
Composite
40.23/100
National rank
#3773
State rank
#170 of 517 in CA

Livability — Simi Valley

Score
63/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#15494

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Simi Valley, CA
County
Ventura County · 829,955 people
City population
128,600
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
Population (ZIP)
73,534
Household income
$120,519
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
2456.0

Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
895,754 people
By 2030
912,134 · +1.8%
By 2040
931,454 · +4.0%
By 2050
934,609 · +4.3%
By 2075
924,899 · +3.3%
By 2100
864,712 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Asian 9% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ventura

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -910.81%
Current HPI
285.0925
Rent YoY
▲ 0.61%
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+621.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $699,900 CSMAR
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $725,000 CSMAR
  • 1985-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,852 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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