1163 Sycamore Dr · Simi Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
in the Heart of Simi Valley. Discover the perfect canvas for your dream home at 1163 Sycamore Drive. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence in Central Simi offers a rare blend of functional design and 'retro-cool' charm. The highly sought-after floor plan features a convenient downstairs bedroom and bathroom with a walk-in shower--an ideal setup for guests, a home office, or multi-generational living. The light-filled living spaces are just waiting for a modern touch to bring out their full potential. Outside, the property boasts excellent curb appeal with a large driveway and ample space for potential RV parking. Whether you're a first-time buyer or a savvy renovator, this home is '
Key facts
- Large driveway
- Potential rv parking
- Walk-in shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $700k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $587k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $587k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.0% in Simi Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#456 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, cost of living F.
- Simi Valley Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #170 of 517 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 212 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,873/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($121k/yr) (locally 2456% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($689k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $97k; list at $700k implies a 622% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.70%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $801,097
- List price
- $699,900
- Delta
- -12.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2613 Hollister St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,638 (+4%) | 1mo | $710,000 | $433 | 72 |
| 2135 Elizondo Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,580 (0%) | 1mo | $811,000 | $513 | 70 |
| 2783 Fallon Cir | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+1%) | 3mo | $810,000 | $508 | 67 |
| 2339 Dusan St | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,679 (+6%) | 2mo | $915,000 | $545 | 66 |
| 2165 Malcolm St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,580 (0%) | 3mo | $837,000 | $530 | 65 |
| 2206 Rosemary St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,703 (+8%) | 1mo | $790,000 | $464 | 63 |
| 2968 Royal Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 1,526 (-3%) | 2mo | $750,000 | $491 | 62 |
| 2407 Elizondo Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,403 (-11%) | 3mo | $812,000 | $579 | 53 |
| 1091 Vallejo Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,708 (+8%) | 2mo | $865,000 | $506 | 52 |
| 1135 Donner Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,534 (-3%) | 4mo | $900,000 | $587 | 52 |
| 1558 Ysrella Ave | 0.61mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,725 (+9%) | 3mo | $865,000 | $501 | 46 |
| 969 Roldan Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 1,756 (+11%) | 3mo | $815,000 | $464 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-99,478
- Equity at exit
- $104,357
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-105,715
- Equity at exit
- $60,515
Cash invested: $195,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93065
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,873 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,670
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,852/yr
- Insurance
- −$292
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,233
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $836 | -5% $638 | +0% $440 | +5% $242 | +10% $44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-24 | -5% $208 | +0% $440 | +5% $672 | +10% $904 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $793 | -0.5pp $618 | base $440 | +0.5pp $259 | +1.0pp $74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,975
- Closing costs
- $20,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2433 Hansen Ct Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $7,500 | $4.17 | 1d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1295 Harold Ave Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $7,990 | $4.44 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 880 Ashford St Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1363 | $3,800 | $2.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2206 Stinson St Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $5,000 | $3.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1692 Sycamore Dr Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $3,739 | $3.95 | 2d | 14 | 0.59mi |
| 1687 Kane Ave Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1688 | $4,400 | $2.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1965 Fitzgerald Rd Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $3,950 | $2.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2087 Rhoda St Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $4,200 | $2.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2250 Magnolia St Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $7,000 | $5.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1854 Gaviota Ct Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $9,000 | $6.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1157 Hudspeth St Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $4,500 | $3.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $699,900 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $699,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $699,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $699,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $699,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $699,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$750,000 Active 837-char remark
-
1985-01-22soldstatus $97,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,852 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,319 · $443/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,467/yr (+$206/mo · 86.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $70,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,205
- − Property taxes
- −$2,852
- − Insurance
- −$3,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,638
- − Management
- −$5,638
- − Depreciation
- −$20,361
- Taxable loss
- −$6,716
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,612
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,894/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Simi Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636840
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,818
- Composite
- 40.23/100
- National rank
- #3773
- State rank
- #170 of 517 in CA
Livability — Simi Valley
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #15494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Simi Valley, CA
- County
- Ventura County · 829,955 people
- City population
- 128,600
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 73,534
- Household income
- $120,519
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2456.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Asian 9% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -910.81%
- Current HPI
- 285.0925
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.61%
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+621.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $699,900 CSMAR
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $725,000 CSMAR
- 1985-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,852 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…