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616 Noble Ave Duplex
C Composite 57.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$599,900

616 Noble Ave · Bridgeport, CT 06608
6 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,568 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1890 5,227 sqft lot Est $685k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity. Multi-family home available. Sold as is. Inquire for more details.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1890

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Oil fuel tank located in basement
  • Home design: Multi-family 2-family property
  • Construction: Concrete foundation; Flat roof; Other construction description
  • Exterior features: Deck; Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 total bedrooms (across units)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (across units)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired); Window-unit cooling
  • Interior features: 12 total rooms; Finished attic; Full unfinished basement; Washer and dryer provided for each unit; Window unit cooling
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in all units; 40-gallon electric hot water tanks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $600k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $73/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $526k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $526k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.0% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in CT, #1,374 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
  • Bridgeport School District (urban): math 9% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #151 of 153 in CT (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Waltersville School (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #500 of 553 statewide, top 91%, 451 students, 92% FRL); Warren Harding High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #192 of 194 statewide, top 100%, 1,109 students, 82% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 32 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,264/mo this rent would consume 138% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 910% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $64k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $60k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$103k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $255k; list at $600k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $526,400 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.04%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$685,056
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
690 William St 0.26mi 6/3.0 3,493 (-2%) 3mo $625,000 $179 80
289 Harriet St 0.15mi 7/4.0 (+1) 3,400 (-5%) 6mo $725,000 $213 73
528 William St 0.12mi 6/3.0 3,328 (-7%) 13mo $600,000 $180 70
438 Park St 0.24mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,200 (-10%) 4mo $675,000 $211 61
642 William St 0.22mi 6/3.0 3,277 (-8%) 19mo $450,000 $137 59
1568 E Main St 0.47mi 6/3.0 3,307 (-7%) 8mo $635,000 $192 58
554 Huntington Rd 0.73mi 6/3.5 3,503 (-2%) 9mo $680,000 $194 55
750 William St 0.32mi 7/5.0 (+1) 4,075 (+14%) 2mo $670,000 $164 48
1296 Noble Ave 0.64mi 6/2.0 3,264 (-8%) 7mo $550,000 $169 44
90 Roosevelt St 0.55mi 6/3.0 3,179 (-11%) 14mo $600,000 $189 43
317 Orchard St 0.50mi 6/3.0 3,062 (-14%) 15mo $590,000 $193 38
198-200 Wells St 0.69mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,186 (-11%) 14mo $660,000 $207 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$343,248
Equity at exit
$540,437
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
7.07×
Total profit
$1,019,039
Equity at exit
$1,165,474

Cash invested: $167,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06608

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
19.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,264 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,146
Tax from tax record
$617 /mo · $7,403/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,105
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,080
Max offer price $599,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $485 -5% $316 +0% $146 +5% $-24 +10% $-194
Rent -10% $-270 -5% $-62 +0% $146 +5% $354 +10% $562
Rate -1.0pp $448 -0.5pp $298 base $146 +0.5pp $-10 +1.0pp $-168

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,264

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$149,975
Closing costs
$17,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Catherine St Bridgeport, CT 7.0 2.5 4104 $2,900 $0.71 16d 1 0.65mi
1566 North Ave Bridgeport, CT 5.0 1.0 2837 $2,500 $0.88 45d 1 1.12mi
41 Perth St Bridgeport, CT 6.0 2.0 2640 $2,200 $0.83 16d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $599,900 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $599,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $599,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $599,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $599,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $599,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $599,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $599,900 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $599,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 577-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $599,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,403 · $617/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,120 · $843/mo
Expected delta
+$2,717/yr (+$226/mo · 36.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 41% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$63,168
− Mortgage interest
−$33,604
− Property taxes
−$7,403
− Insurance
−$3,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,053
− Management
−$5,053
− Depreciation
−$17,452
Taxable loss
−$8,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,015
After-tax cash flow
$3,764/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bridgeport School District
NCES district ID
0900450
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,507
Composite
12.09/100
National rank
#9656
State rank
#151 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
81/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#1374

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
149,153
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
12,146
Household income
$45,754
Rent vs Own
75.4% rent · 24.6% own
Severe rent burden
910.0

Population outlook (Greater Bridgeport County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
365,581

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Black 22% Two or more races 19% White 4% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 32% Cuban 1% Dominican 14%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Russian 1% Estonian 0%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
33% English-only · Spanish 56% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greater Bridgeport

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.3) · D 60.9% · R 37.6% · Other 1.5%
All cycles
2024: D+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.29%
Current HPI
530.5125
Rent YoY
▲ 4.35%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Coming Soon $599,900 Smart MLS
  • 2019-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-10 Sold (MLS) $65,000 Smart MLS
  • 2017-11-09 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2017-09-10 Listed $69,000 Smart MLS
  • 2007-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
  • 1988-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $168,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,403 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…